Alvark vs Tsukuba Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 89-51

19-13 18-8 29-16 23-14

Position#2

Record25-8

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.2

Allowed / game69.7

Alvark 🏆

Tsukuba

Position#10

Record6-27

FormLLLLL

Points / game68.2

Allowed / game85.5

NBLRound 17

Other2013-14

Meetings · Alvark v Tsukuba

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tsukuba winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SeaHorses Mikawa

73-84

-11

H14/12

NBL

Trians

81-63

+18

A21/12

NBL

Trians

91-61

+30

A22/12

NBL

Kobe

#11

113-57

113

+56

H25/01

NBL

Kobe

#11

90-75

+15

H26/01

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

108-65

108

+43

A01/02

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

112-68

112

+44

A02/02

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

89-62

+27

H08/02

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

92-70

+22

H09/02

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

87-56

+31

H15/02

NBL

10-29

19-23

23-16

21-16

20-13

21-18

20-14

20-18

23-12

22-15

23-18

23-16

29-18

32-13

31-15

21-11

21-20

23-17

23-23

23-15

20-16

23-22

37-18

28-9

26-12

25-10

34-21

27-25

22-7

13-12

35-20

19-23

18-15

29-14

31-20

14-21

14-12

31-13

22-15

20-16

159.7Avg total

93.6Scored

66.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	86.2	69.7	155.9	+16.4	76%
Season at home (17)	85.5	69.4	154.9	+16.2	76%
Season away (16)	86.8	70.1	156.9	+16.7	75%
Last 10 (10)	93.6	66.1	159.7	+27.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	97.6	64.2	161.8	+33.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	77.7	86.7	164.3	-9.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	86.5	66.6	153.1	+19.9	81%

This opponent (Tsukuba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tsukuba

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hokkaido

86-83

A14/12

NBL

Chiba

57-81

-24

H21/12

NBL

Chiba

63-75

-12

H22/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

63-84

-21

A25/01

NBL

Sun Rockers

63-91

-28

A26/01

NBL

Brave Thunders

64-95

-31

H01/02

NBL

Brave Thunders

78-97

-19

H02/02

NBL

Tochigi Brex

74-83

-9

A08/02

NBL

Tochigi Brex

62-84

-22

A09/02

NBL

Alvark

56-87

-31

A15/02

NBL

19-16

17-23

16-23

34-21

4-21

13-26

19-14

21-20

15-18

19-18

14-15

15-24

17-26

16-20

14-24

16-14

15-16

16-21

20-18

12-36

8-26

12-16

19-22

25-31

21-25

20-19

17-23

20-30

20-21

24-28

21-16

9-18

16-24

20-18

11-20

15-22

12-14

13-31

15-22

16-20

152.6Avg total

66.6Scored

86.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	68.2	85.5	153.7	-17.4	18%
Season at home (16)	70.7	88.4	159.1	-17.8	25%
Season away (17)	65.8	82.8	148.6	-17.0	12%
Last 10 (10)	66.6	86.0	152.6	-19.4	10%
Last 5 (5)	66.8	89.2	156.0	-22.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	66.4	87.5	154.0	-21.1	8%
vs Similar (4)	77.2	75.8	153.0	+1.5	75%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlvarkTsukuba

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	16.9	37.0	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	16.7	36.5	+3.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	17.2	37.5	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	15.4	35.7	+4.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	12.4	32.4	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	16.3	22.3	38.7	-6.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.4	16.3	36.8	+4.1	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	21.8	38.3	-5.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	23.5	40.5	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	20.1	36.1	-4.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.7	20.7	35.4	-6.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	22.0	37.4	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	16.0	21.9	38.0	-5.9	19%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	15.8	36.5	+5.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	15.4	35.3	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	16.1	37.8	+5.5	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	15.7	39.5	+8.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	14.2	38.4	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.0	15.3	36.3	+5.6	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.2	21.4	38.6	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	20.5	37.0	-4.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.4	40.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	16.5	21.9	38.4	-5.4	15%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	14.8	33.8	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SeaHorses Mikawa

29-52

-23

H14/12

NBL

Trians

41-31

+10

A21/12

NBL

Trians

45-27

+18

A22/12

NBL

Kobe

#11

61-31

+30

H25/01

NBL

Kobe

#11

44-37

H26/01

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

43-38

A01/02

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

51-22

+29

A02/02

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

35-19

+16

H08/02

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

47-29

+18

H09/02

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

45-25

+20

H15/02

NBL

75.2Avg total

44.1Scored

31.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	32.7	73.5	+8.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	32.1	71.7	+7.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	33.3	75.3	+8.6	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	31.1	75.2	+13.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	26.6	70.8	+17.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	35.3	42.0	77.3	-6.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	41.4	31.7	73.1	+9.7	85%	-

This opponent (Tsukuba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TsukubaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hokkaido

36-39

-3

A14/12

NBL

Chiba

17-47

-30

H21/12

NBL

Chiba

34-36

-2

H22/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

33-46

-13

A25/01

NBL

Sun Rockers

31-37

-6

A26/01

NBL

Brave Thunders

20-42

-22

H01/02

NBL

Brave Thunders

41-44

-3

H02/02

NBL

Tochigi Brex

44-49

-5

A08/02

NBL

Tochigi Brex

36-42

-6

A09/02

NBL

Alvark

25-45

-20

A15/02

NBL

74.4Avg total

31.7Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.3	42.8	76.1	-9.5	10%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.1	44.9	79.1	-10.8	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.4	40.7	73.1	-8.3	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.7	42.7	74.4	-11.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	44.4	77.6	-11.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	32.5	43.8	76.4	-11.3	4%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.0	36.0	74.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	18.9	42.4	+4.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	18.1	39.7	+3.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.9	18.0	45.9	+9.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	18.8	50.6	+13.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.0	22.7	41.7	-3.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.9	18.0	41.0	+4.9	63%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	20.8	38.1	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.1	20.3	36.4	-4.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.3	39.7	-2.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	19.7	36.3	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.6	37.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	16.8	20.6	37.3	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	22.2	42.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	17.1	38.6	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	16.7	36.6	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	17.5	40.7	+5.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	23.3	22.0	45.3	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.3	16.6	37.9	+4.8	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	22.4	39.7	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	23.0	41.9	-4.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	21.7	37.5	-6.0	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	23.6	41.9	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	24.2	41.2	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.1	23.1	40.2	-6.0	19%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	17.5	36.2	+1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	35.6	79.7	+8.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	35.5	79.0	+7.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.7	35.7	80.3	+9.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.5	35.0	84.5	+14.5	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.4	37.6	91.0	+15.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	42.3	44.7	87.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	44.3	34.6	78.9	+9.7	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.6	43.2	77.8	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.0	43.3	78.3	-8.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.2	43.0	77.2	-8.8	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	43.3	78.2	-8.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	44.8	78.4	-11.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	33.9	43.7	77.6	-9.8	15%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.2	39.8	79.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alvark wins

Tsukuba wins

Date	Game	Score
15/02/14	Alvark v Tsukuba	87-56
08/12/13	Tsukuba v Alvark	63-102
07/12/13	Tsukuba v Alvark	71-105

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/14	H	Tsukuba	87-56
09/02/14	H	Diamond Dolphins	92-70
08/02/14	H	Diamond Dolphins	89-62
02/02/14	A	Kumamoto	112-68
01/02/14	A	Kumamoto	108-65
26/01/14	H	Kobe	90-75
25/01/14	H	Kobe	113-57
22/12/13	A	Trians	91-61
21/12/13	A	Trians	81-63
14/12/13	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	73-84

Tsukubalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/14	A	Alvark	56-87
09/02/14	A	Tochigi Brex	62-84
08/02/14	A	Tochigi Brex	74-83
02/02/14	H	Brave Thunders	78-97
01/02/14	H	Brave Thunders	64-95
26/01/14	A	Sun Rockers	63-91
25/01/14	A	Sun Rockers	63-84
22/12/13	H	Chiba	63-75
21/12/13	H	Chiba	57-81
14/12/13	A	Hokkaido	86-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	76%
Home	WWWWW	76%
Away	WWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	17	16
Win %	76%	76%	75%
Points / game	86.2	85.5	86.8
Allowed / game	69.7	69.4	70.1
Point differential	+16.4	+16.2	+16.7
Avg total	155.9	154.9	156.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	71%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Tsukuba

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	18%
Home	LLLLL	25%
Away	LLLLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	18%	25%	12%
Points / game	68.2	70.7	65.8
Allowed / game	85.5	88.4	82.8
Point differential	-17.4	-17.8	-17.0
Avg total	153.7	159.1	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	33	29	4	88%	87.0	75.5	+11.5
2	Brave Thunders	33	28	5	85%	89.3	75.5	+13.8
3	Alvark	33	25	8	76%	86.2	69.7	+16.4
4	Trians	34	25	9	74%	84.1	76.4	+7.7
5	Tochigi Brex	32	18	14	56%	79.8	78.4	+1.3
6	Hokkaido	34	19	15	56%	79.9	76.5	+3.4
7	Diamond Dolphins	34	19	15	56%	79.0	76.1	+2.9
8	Sun Rockers	33	10	23	30%	74.6	82.2	-7.6
9	Chiba	34	9	25	26%	69.6	76.5	-6.9
10	Kobe	32	6	26	19%	73.5	85.5	-12.0
11	Tsukuba	33	6	27	18%	68.2	85.5	-17.4
12	Kumamoto	33	5	28	15%	77.6	91.4	-13.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alvark	19	18	29	23	89
Tsukuba	13	8	16	14	51

← all games of the day

Alvark vs Tsukuba Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature