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Alvark vs Utsunomiya Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 70-71
9-17 22-18 19-18 20-18
Position#2
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game66.3
vs
Position#1
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game70.3
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alvark v Utsunomiya Brex
01 Nov 2026
ALVA106
UTSU71
31 Oct 2026
ALVA100
UTSU90
12 Nov 2025
ALVA67
UTSU65
05 Oct 2025
ALVA64
UTSU66
03 Oct 2025
ALVA56
UTSU81
05 Mar 2025
ALVA63
UTSU61
15 Oct 2023
ALVA70
UTSU71
14 Oct 2023
ALVA75
UTSU60
05 Apr 2023
ALVA81
UTSU67
08 May 2022
ALVA67
UTSU56
07 May 2022
ALVA64
UTSU80
29 Dec 2021
ALVA69
UTSU66
21 Oct 2020
ALVA75
UTSU80
29 Apr 2020
ALVA v UTSU
upcoming
05 Apr 2020
ALVA v UTSU
upcoming
04 Apr 2020
ALVA v UTSU
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utsunomiya Brex winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
92-93
92
93
-1
no box
H06/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
63-73
63
73
-10
no box
H07/05
B League
Shimane
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
no box
A12/05
B League
Shimane
#3
W
82-72
82
72
+10
no box
A13/05
B League
Shimane
#3
W
83-82
83
82
+1
no box
A15/05
B League
Chiba
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
no box
A20/05
B League
Chiba
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
no box
A21/05
B League
Sendai
#16
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 77
A07/10
B League
Sendai
#16
W
90-61
90
61
+29
89avg 77
A08/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
75-60
75
60
+15
62avg 77
H14/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
21-23
24-19
29-24
14-11
13-21
19-15
17-26
20-13
15-31
25-23
11-19
14-12
16-22
32-14
20-24
22-10
18-24
20-21
23-27
10-17
19-22
20-36
17-14
16-27
13-23
17-22
16-21
32-20
24-16
11-19
19-23
23-19
16-15
29-10
22-17
10-12
20-22
24-16
21-10
155.7Avg total
77.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.766.3150.0+17.3100%
Season at home (1)75.060.0135.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)88.069.5157.5+18.5100%
Last 10 (10)77.078.7155.7-1.750%
Last 5 (5)75.876.2152.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.291.2158.5-24.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.573.3150.8+4.260%
vs Weaker (16)79.570.4149.9+9.169%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#21
W
62-53
62
53
+9
no box
H19/04
B League
Akita
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
A21/04
B League
Akita
#11
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A22/04
B League
Shiga
#23
W
86-74
86
74
+12
no box
A29/04
B League
Shiga
#23
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
A30/04
B League
Chiba
#1
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
H06/05
B League
Chiba
#1
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H07/05
B League
Gunma
#13
W
80-73
80
73
+7
81avg 65
H07/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
77-63
77
63
+14
71avg 65
H08/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
60-75
60
75
-15
44avg 65
A14/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-4
14-24
13-10
20-15
24-19
19-11
20-20
23-22
17-15
12-29
23-18
33-18
24-19
16-19
27-23
19-13
20-18
19-15
28-22
14-13
22-22
21-23
18-28
28-19
14-18
21-18
20-21
27-23
22-19
24-20
19-18
15-16
30-16
8-12
25-25
14-10
12-10
22-20
16-24
10-21
151.8Avg total
78.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.370.3142.7+2.067%
Season at home (2)78.568.0146.5+10.5100%
Season away (1)60.075.0135.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)78.873.0151.8+5.880%
Last 5 (5)77.676.6154.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.079.2151.2-7.220%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.071.4145.4+2.650%
vs Weaker (15)79.369.2148.5+10.173%
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
AlvarkUtsunomiya Brex
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H06/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/05
B League
Shimane
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/05
B League
Shimane
#3
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A13/05
B League
Shimane
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A15/05
B League
Chiba
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A20/05
B League
Chiba
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A21/05
B League
Sendai
#16
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A07/10
B League
Sendai
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H14/10
B League
74.1Avg total
35.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.936.071.9-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.235.471.5+0.845%-
Last 30 away (19)35.736.472.2-0.742%-
Last 10 (10)35.438.774.1-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.675.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.547.075.5-18.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.636.871.4-2.240%-
vs Weaker (16)38.632.871.4+5.856%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#21
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H19/04
B League
Akita
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A21/04
B League
Akita
#11
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A22/04
B League
Shiga
#23
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A29/04
B League
Shiga
#23
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A30/04
B League
Chiba
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H06/05
B League
Chiba
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H07/05
B League
Gunma
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H07/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H08/10
B League
Alvark
#2
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/10
B League
72.7Avg total
37.6Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.733.870.5+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.835.671.4+0.147%-
Last 30 away (13)38.031.469.4+6.677%-
Last 10 (10)37.635.172.7+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.674.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.436.669.0-4.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.931.467.3+4.560%-
vs Weaker (15)38.734.573.2+4.380%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.322.0
49.6%
50.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.38.3
41.0%
33.5%25.0
🏀 Free throws19.313.3
69.0%
72.0%13.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.0
46.6%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.3
29.4%
33.5%25.0
🏀 Free throws16.010.7
66.7%
72.0%10.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWLLWWLLL
Utsunomiya Brex
LWWWLWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+23.3
Net rating
+3.8
115.0
Offensive rating
102.5
91.8
Defensive rating
98.6
53.4%
Effective FG%
45.5%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.7%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
41.0%
3-point %
29.4%
69.2%
Assist %
67.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 102.5Defence91.8 · 98.6Shooting53.4% · 45.5%3-point %41.0% · 29.4%Ball care15.8% · 15.7%Off. rebounds36.1% · 36.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Alvark   ■ Utsunomiya Brex
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Alvark wins
1
Utsunomiya Brex wins
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HUtsunomiya Brex75-60
08/10/23ASendai90-61
07/10/23ASendai86-78
21/05/23AChiba62-93
20/05/23AChiba66-89
15/05/23AShimane83-82
13/05/23AShimane82-72
12/05/23AShimane71-86
07/05/23HDiamond Dolphins63-73
06/05/23HDiamond Dolphins92-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AAlvark60-75
08/10/23HGunma77-63
07/10/23HGunma80-73
07/05/23HChiba82-80
06/05/23HChiba89-92
30/04/23AShiga81-68
29/04/23AShiga86-74
22/04/23AAkita85-80
21/04/23AAkita86-72
19/04/23HHokkaido62-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.775.088.0
Allowed / game66.360.069.5
Point differential+17.3+15.0+18.5
Avg total150.0135.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game72.378.560.0
Allowed / game70.368.075.0
Point differential+2.0+10.5-15.0
Avg total142.7146.5135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark330100%83.766.3+17.3
2 Osaka440100%88.075.2+12.8
3 Nagoya Fighting Eagles330100%78.768.3+10.3
4 Diamond Dolphins440100%86.878.0+8.8
5 Nagasaki440100%92.583.8+8.8
6 Ryukyu440100%84.277.5+6.8
7 Shimane43175%82.075.8+6.2
8 NeoPhoenix32167%81.776.3+5.3
9 Yokohama32167%83.080.7+2.3
10 Utsunomiya Brex32167%72.370.3+2.0
11 Brave Thunders32167%82.080.7+1.3
12 Shinshu32167%86.086.3-0.3
13 Chiba31233%88.387.7+0.7
14 SeaHorses Mikawa31233%78.779.0-0.3
15 Gunma31233%78.782.7-4.0
16 Hiroshima D.41325%73.074.0-1.0
17 Akita41325%72.879.0-6.2
18 Hokkaido41325%76.582.8-6.2
19 Saga41325%70.881.0-10.2
20 Sun Rockers Shibuya4040%78.083.0-5.0
21 Ibaraki Robots3030%79.785.3-5.7
22 Kyoto3030%70.782.0-11.3
23 Toyama4040%79.292.2-13.0
24 Sendai4040%72.587.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark922192070
Utsunomiya Brex1718181871
← all games of the day
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