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Alvark vs Utsunomiya Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:35
Final 63-61
15-13 11-13 14-20 23-15
Position#4
Record28-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game70.7
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#1
Record33-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game76.1
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alvark v Utsunomiya Brex
01 Nov 2026
ALVA106
UTSU71
31 Oct 2026
ALVA100
UTSU90
12 Nov 2025
ALVA67
UTSU65
05 Oct 2025
ALVA64
UTSU66
03 Oct 2025
ALVA56
UTSU81
05 Mar 2025
ALVA63
UTSU61
15 Oct 2023
ALVA70
UTSU71
14 Oct 2023
ALVA75
UTSU60
05 Apr 2023
ALVA81
UTSU67
08 May 2022
ALVA67
UTSU56
07 May 2022
ALVA64
UTSU80
29 Dec 2021
ALVA69
UTSU66
21 Oct 2020
ALVA75
UTSU80
29 Apr 2020
ALVA v UTSU
upcoming
05 Apr 2020
ALVA v UTSU
upcoming
04 Apr 2020
ALVA v UTSU
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utsunomiya Brex winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
77-69
77
69
+8
66avg 72
H12/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
73avg 72
A25/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
78-72
78
72
+6
74avg 72
A26/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
87-65
87
65
+22
92avg 72
A29/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
87-67
87
67
+20
76avg 72
H01/02
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
58-83
58
83
-25
44avg 72
H02/02
B League
Sendai
#23
W
82-57
82
57
+25
90avg 72
A08/02
B League
Sendai
#23
W
79-64
79
64
+15
79avg 72
A09/02
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
71avg 72
H01/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
81-66
81
66
+15
75avg 72
H02/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
14-20
19-15
21-21
19-13
19-17
15-24
18-17
17-12
26-23
15-16
20-21
15-18
22-19
31-14
19-14
22-9
26-20
26-14
13-24
23-23
14-24
12-19
9-17
21-9
26-15
25-13
10-20
17-19
21-11
19-16
22-18
14-18
14-17
22-20
19-14
19-23
21-19
15-10
26-14
150.3Avg total
79.3Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)77.070.7147.7+6.372%
Season at home (19)75.671.5147.1+4.168%
Season away (20)78.370.0148.4+8.375%
Last 10 (10)79.371.0150.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)76.670.2146.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)72.082.0154.0-10.00%
vs Similar (16)72.471.8144.2+0.650%
vs Weaker (13)80.968.1149.0+12.892%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
96-87
96
87
+9
88avg 82
H12/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
105-86
105
86
+19
106avg 82
A25/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
88-97
88
97
-9
69avg 82
A26/01
B League
Chiba
#5
W
91-73
91
73
+18
88avg 82
H29/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
89-64
89
64
+25
90avg 82
A01/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
90-81 OT
90
81
+9
79avg 82
A02/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 82
H08/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
94-74
94
74
+20
98avg 82
H09/02
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
81-64
81
64
+17
70avg 82
H01/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
98-91
98
91
+7
98avg 82
H02/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
19-24
27-19
27-18
25-23
20-12
29-24
31-27
30-33
20-23
18-25
20-16
18-18
21-15
26-28
26-12
18-14
19-15
25-13
27-22
10-25
21-21
18-13
25-15
24-25
30-20
20-16
18-14
26-17
25-18
25-23
18-16
19-18
25-13
21-15
16-18
19-24
28-15
23-25
28-27
171.6Avg total
92.4Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)86.876.1162.9+10.785%
Season at home (18)87.675.7163.2+11.989%
Season away (21)86.276.4162.6+9.881%
Last 10 (10)92.479.2171.6+13.290%
Last 5 (5)91.077.0168.0+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)94.785.3180.0+9.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)88.175.0163.1+13.189%
This opponent (Alvark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +5.1+5.1
AlvarkUtsunomiya Brex
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H12/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A25/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A26/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A29/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H01/02
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H02/02
B League
Sendai
#23
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A08/02
B League
Sendai
#23
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A09/02
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H01/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H02/03
B League
73.5Avg total
39.3Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.935.172.0+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.436.774.1+0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)36.533.670.1+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)39.334.273.5+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.673.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)45.040.085.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (16)34.237.671.8-3.425%-
vs Weaker (13)39.731.571.2+8.277%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H12/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A25/01
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A26/01
B League
Chiba
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H29/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A01/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A02/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H08/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H09/02
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H01/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H02/03
B League
83.9Avg total
44.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.438.283.6+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.938.584.5+7.473%-
Last 30 away (15)44.937.882.7+7.173%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.983.9+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.284.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)44.741.386.0+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.537.883.3+7.774%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.023.1
51.3%
51.2%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.9
32.5%
33.4%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.711.4
68.3%
72.7%11.4
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 91.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.619.6
62.0%
51.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.813.8
38.5%
33.4%41.4
🏀 Free throws14.311.2
78.3%
72.7%11.2
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWWLWWWLW
Utsunomiya Brex
WWWWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#1
+11.2
Net rating
+18.7
111.3
Offensive rating
124.3
100.1
Defensive rating
105.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
59.8%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
13.1%
Turnover %
13.0%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.5%
3-point %
38.5%
70.0%
Assist %
64.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 124.3Defence100.1 · 105.6Shooting50.5% · 59.8%3-point %32.5% · 38.5%Ball care13.1% · 13.0%Off. rebounds32.3% · 28.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Alvark   ■ Utsunomiya Brex
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alvark wins
3
Utsunomiya Brex wins
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HKyoto81-66
01/03/25HKyoto83-81 OT
09/02/25ASendai79-64
08/02/25ASendai82-57
02/02/25HRyukyu58-83
01/02/25HRyukyu87-67
29/01/25ASeaHorses Mikawa87-65
26/01/25AHokkaido78-72
25/01/25AHokkaido81-86 OT
12/01/25HDiamond Dolphins77-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HHokkaido98-91
01/03/25HHokkaido81-64
09/02/25HBrave Thunders94-74
08/02/25HBrave Thunders92-75
02/02/25AIbaraki Robots90-81 OT
01/02/25AIbaraki Robots89-64
29/01/25HChiba91-73
26/01/25ARyukyu88-97
25/01/25ARyukyu105-86
12/01/25HAkita96-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeWWLWW68%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %72%68%75%
Points / game77.075.678.3
Allowed / game70.771.570.0
Point differential+6.3+4.1+8.3
Avg total147.7147.1148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%42%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %10%11%10%
Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWLWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391821
Win %85%89%81%
Points / game86.887.686.2
Allowed / game76.175.776.4
Point differential+10.7+11.9+9.8
Avg total162.9163.2162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%56%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)67% (6)100% (3)
Overtime %10%0%19%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3935490%92.978.7+14.3
2 Utsunomiya Brex3933685%86.876.1+10.7
3 Gunma40291172%78.671.6+7.0
4 Alvark39281172%77.070.7+6.3
5 SeaHorses Mikawa40281270%82.775.0+7.6
6 Ryukyu40281270%83.876.7+7.2
7 Shimane40261465%80.374.4+5.9
8 Chiba40261465%81.377.7+3.6
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya40221855%74.871.1+3.6
10 Diamond Dolphins40221855%82.081.2+0.8
11 Osaka40211952%82.281.8+0.4
12 Kyoto40202050%80.579.6+0.9
13 Akita40192148%73.674.1-0.5
14 Nagasaki40182245%75.878.2-2.4
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles40182245%78.080.8-2.8
16 Hiroshima D.40182245%78.682.2-3.6
17 Yokohama40162440%75.379.5-4.2
18 Hokkaido40142635%73.779.3-5.5
19 Koshigaya Alphas40132732%77.281.0-3.8
20 Brave Thunders40132732%77.485.5-8.1
21 Saga40112928%74.078.8-4.8
22 Ibaraki Robots4083220%72.981.5-8.6
23 Sendai4083220%72.782.7-10.1
24 Shiga3943510%76.189.7-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark1511142363
Utsunomiya Brex1313201561
← all games of the day
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