Alvik W host Uppsala W on 4 November 2026 in the Basketligan W, with the model favouring Alvik W at 59% to 41% and projecting a 76-73 win for the home side; the spread of -2.5 gives Alvik a 52% chance to cover, while the over/147.5 line carries a 53% probability and a 5% overtime chance. Alvik enters the game undefeated 4-0, averaging 83.0 points and allowing 65.8, and sits first in the league; at home they are 1-0 with 87.0 points for and 76.0 against. Their last five games were 4-1, highlighted by victories over Sodertalje W 81-67, Brahe W 86-53 and Hogsbo W 78-67. Uppsala, 2-2 overall with 80.0 points scored and 72.0 allowed, ranks seventh; on the road they are 1-0, 68.0 for and 60.0 against. Their last five were 2-3, including a 89-59 win over AIK Basket W and a 68-60 win over Lund W. The teams have split ten meetings, with Uppsala's most recent win 74-42 on 5 March 2026. The projected total of 148.9 points reflects the close contest the model anticipates.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 83.0 | 65.8 | 148.8 | +17.2 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 87.0 | 76.0 | 163.0 | +11.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 81.7 | 62.3 | 144.0 | +19.3 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 69.7 | 76.2 | 145.9 | -6.5 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.0 | 69.6 | 150.6 | +11.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 65.3 | 82.8 | 148.1 | -17.5 | 6% |
| vs Similar (4) | 81.2 | 85.5 | 166.8 | -4.2 | 25% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 81.6 | 56.7 | 138.3 | +24.9 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 80.0 | 72.0 | 152.0 | +8.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (3) | 84.0 | 76.0 | 160.0 | +8.0 | 33% |
| Season away (1) | 68.0 | 60.0 | 128.0 | +8.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.1 | 69.9 | 148.0 | +8.2 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.0 | 74.6 | 153.6 | +4.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 63.5 | 70.0 | 133.5 | -6.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (12) | 81.8 | 83.3 | 165.1 | -1.6 | 42% |
| vs Weaker (16) | 80.9 | 61.2 | 142.1 | +19.7 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 72 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.9 | 36.9 | 71.8 | -2.0 | 37% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 33.3 | 36.9 | 70.2 | -3.6 | 29% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 36.2 | 36.9 | 73.1 | -0.6 | 44% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.2 | 38.7 | 73.9 | -3.5 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.6 | 33.8 | 78.4 | +10.8 | 80% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 30.6 | 41.1 | 71.7 | -10.4 | 12% | 38% |
| vs Similar (4) | 36.2 | 42.2 | 78.5 | -6.0 | 25% | 100% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 41.1 | 28.1 | 69.2 | +13.0 | 80% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 72 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.5 | 35.2 | 76.6 | +6.3 | 67% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 42.8 | 35.0 | 77.8 | +7.8 | 81% | 69% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.0 | 35.4 | 75.4 | +4.6 | 50% | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.8 | 33.9 | 74.7 | +6.9 | 70% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.8 | 37.2 | 78.0 | +3.6 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 36.5 | 28.0 | 64.5 | +8.5 | 100% | 0% |
| vs Similar (12) | 42.9 | 41.4 | 84.3 | +1.5 | 50% | 100% |
| vs Weaker (16) | 41.0 | 31.4 | 72.4 | +9.6 | 75% | 44% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvik W +5.5 | 75.4% | 1.71 | 1.86 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.38 | - | +26.1pp | Won |
| Alvik W +5 | 74.6% | 1.81 | 1.81 | - | - | - | - | +23.9pp | Won |
| Alvik W +7.5 | 80.8% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +23.4pp | Won |
| Alvik W +4.5 | 72.4% | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.45 | - | - | +22.4pp | Won |
| Alvik W +8.5 | 83.1% | 1.46 | 1.46 | - | - | - | - | +22.3pp | Won |
| Alvik W +4 | 71.4% | 1.83 | 1.83 | - | - | - | - | +21.4pp | Won |
| Alvik W +9.5 | 85.2% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +20.8pp | Won |
| Alvik W over 70 | 72.0% | 1.66 | 1.66 | - | - | - | - | +20.1pp | Won |
| Alvik W over 69.5 | 72.9% | 1.46 | 1.46 | - | - | - | - | +13.2pp | Won |
| Alvik W over 68.5 | 76.1% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +13.0pp | Won |
| Alvik W over 67.5 | 79.0% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +12.6pp | Won |
| Alvik W over 66.5 | 81.7% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| Alvik W +6.5 | 78.2% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +10.4pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Uppsala W under 78.5 | 70.2% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Uppsala W under 79.5 | 73.4% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Uppsala W over 67.5 | 70.4% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.6 | 15.7 | 46.8% | 31.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.1 | 7.8 | 30.7% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.1 | 11.6 | 71.1% | 11.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.9 | 19.1 | 46.8% | 38.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.5 | 8.3 | 30.7% | 24.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.9 | 12.8 | 71.1% | 12.8 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 | Uppsala W v Alvik W | 74-42 |
| 22/10/25 | Alvik W v Uppsala W | 59-78 |
| 18/01/25 | Alvik W v Uppsala W | 72-63 |
| 12/10/24 | Uppsala W v Alvik W | 65-81 |
| 17/02/24 | Alvik W v Uppsala W | 69-77 |
| 18/11/23 | Uppsala W v Alvik W | 75-76 |
| 15/02/23 | Alvik W v Uppsala W | 70-59 |
| 21/12/22 | Uppsala W v Alvik W | 84-79 |
| 16/03/22 | Alvik W v Uppsala W | 60-59 |
| 01/11/21 | Uppsala W v Alvik W | 73-69 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/26 | A | Sodertalje W | 81-67 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Brahe W | 86-53 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Hogsbo W | 78-67 |
| 04/10/26 | H | AIK Basket W | 87-76 |
| 21/03/26 | H | Lund W | 73-85 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Uppsala W | 42-74 |
| 01/03/26 | A | Hogsbo W | 61-94 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Norrkoping W | 58-91 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Hogsbo W | 62-67 |
| 11/02/26 | H | Sodertalje W | 69-88 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/26 | H | AIK Basket W | 89-59 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Ostersund W | 89-92 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Lund W | 68-60 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Sodertalje W | 74-77 |
| 30/03/26 | A | Norrkoping W | 75-85 |
| 28/03/26 | H | Norrkoping W | 81-85 |
| 21/03/26 | A | RIG Lulea W | 75-53 |
| 20/03/26 | A | Lulea W | 66-71 |
| 05/03/26 | H | Alvik W | 74-42 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Hogsbo W | 90-75 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 83.0 | 87.0 | 81.7 |
| Allowed / game | 65.8 | 76.0 | 62.3 |
| Point differential | +17.2 | +11.0 | +19.3 |
| Avg total | 148.8 | 163.0 | 144.0 |
| Over 146.5 | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLW | 50% |
| Home | LLW | 33% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 100% |
| Points / game | 80.0 | 84.0 | 68.0 |
| Allowed / game | 72.0 | 76.0 | 60.0 |
| Point differential | +8.0 | +8.0 | +8.0 |
| Avg total | 152.0 | 160.0 | 128.0 |
| Over 146.5 | 75% | 100% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 83.0 | 65.8 | +17.2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 80.2 | 63.4 | +16.8 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 99.2 | 56.2 | +43.0 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 88.0 | 63.8 | +24.2 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 73.2 | 69.0 | +4.2 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 80.0 | 79.2 | +0.8 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 80.0 | 72.0 | +8.0 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 74.8 | 76.4 | -1.6 | |
| 9 | AIK Basket W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 65.6 | 83.2 | -17.6 |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 58.4 | 76.2 | -17.8 | |
| 11 | Hogsbo W | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 58.0 | 90.0 | -32.0 |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 55.6 | 95.8 | -40.2 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 12 | 25 | 22 | 80 | |
| 24 | 17 | 13 | 19 | 73 |
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