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Alytaus Dzukija vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-62
25-10 19-23 15-14 27-15
Position#8
Record4-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#4
Record5-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game77.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Alytaus Dzukija v Jonava
17 Feb 2022
ADZ73
JON81
12 Dec 2021
ADZ86
JON62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Dzukija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus DzukijaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDzukija
Date
Competition
Juventus
#3
L
68-75
68
75
-7
no box
A13/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
84-101
84
101
-17
96avg 74
A16/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
111-101 OT
111
101
+10
no box
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#3
L
80-81
80
81
-1
no box
H04/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
81-75 OT
81
75
+6
no box
A06/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
65-76
65
76
-11
54avg 74
H13/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
H17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
58avg 74
A20/11
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
74avg 74
A06/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-95
81
95
-14
no box
H09/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-9
25-26
14-19
16-21
20-25
20-25
21-25
23-26
23-18
25-18
25-20
21-38
21-19
23-15
24-26
12-21
25-19
11-19
16-10
18-22
24-21
13-16
9-24
19-15
13-12
17-14
11-16
24-22
17-21
18-19
13-22
17-19
10-26
26-19
20-29
22-9
11-17
13-31
28-25
29-22
161.0Avg total
77.8Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.480.7157.1-4.340%
Season at home (5)78.676.4155.0+2.260%
Season away (5)74.285.0159.2-10.820%
Last 10 (10)77.883.2161.0-5.430%
Last 5 (5)70.879.8150.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)78.888.6167.4-9.822%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.483.1164.5-1.740%
vs Weaker (2)71.563.0134.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#11
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
W
88-76
88
76
+12
103avg 73
H18/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
86-92
86
92
-6
no box
H21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
L
87-93
87
93
-6
51avg 73
A25/10
LKL
Nevezis
#11
L
65-81
65
81
-16
no box
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
76avg 73
A30/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
W
78-74
78
74
+4
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
60-76
60
76
-16
50avg 73
A13/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
93-77
93
77
+16
32avg 73
H20/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
58-69
58
69
-11
51avg 73
H04/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
26-10
16-16
13-21
23-20
26-22
20-13
19-21
24-19
27-19
20-26
15-28
21-27
17-18
25-21
24-27
15-24
15-13
13-18
22-26
20-21
31-28
13-21
22-19
20-17
15-20
22-16
21-21
24-8
13-20
12-33
11-15
23-12
25-21
16-18
29-26
16-23
11-12
18-14
13-20
158.1Avg total
78.4Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.177.1156.2+2.050%
Season at home (6)79.772.8152.5+6.867%
Season away (4)78.283.5161.8-5.225%
Last 10 (10)78.479.7158.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)75.077.0152.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.384.1159.4-8.914%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.677.3155.9+1.256%
vs Weaker (2)90.576.5167.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.5-3.5
Alytaus DzukijaJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus DzukijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A13/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A16/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H04/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A06/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A20/11
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A06/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
24-48
24
48
-24
H09/12
King Mindaugas Cup
75.7Avg total
36.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.379.5-3.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)37.543.380.8-5.844%-
Last 10 (10)36.838.975.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.439.271.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.042.480.4-4.444%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.941.880.7-2.940%-
vs Weaker (2)36.529.065.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#11
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H18/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H21/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A25/10
LKL
Nevezis
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A30/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A13/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H20/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H04/12
LKL
79.7Avg total
42.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)40.440.580.9-0.139%-
Last 30 at home (10)42.837.280.0+5.650%-
Last 30 away (8)37.444.682.0-7.225%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.779.7+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.476.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.944.183.0-5.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.838.378.1+1.433%-
vs Weaker (2)48.537.586.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Dzukijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Dzukija: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.4
53.3%
53.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.8
29.6%
33.8%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.612.4
66.7%
73.1%12.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.320.2
46.7%
53.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.9
33.9%
33.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.212.6
68.9%
73.1%12.6
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Dzukija
LLLWLWLWLL
Jonava
LWLWLLLLWW
#8
League position
#4
-10.3
Net rating
+3.7
98.7
Offensive rating
101.0
109.1
Defensive rating
97.3
49.9%
Effective FG%
48.2%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.2%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.6%
3-point %
33.9%
58.8%
Assist %
66.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 101.0Defence109.1 · 97.3Shooting49.9% · 48.2%3-point %29.6% · 33.9%Ball care18.3% · 17.2%Off. rebounds25.9% · 30.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Alytaus Dzukija   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alytaus Dzukija wins
1
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
26/09/21Jonava v Alytaus Dzukija85-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/21HRytas81-95
06/12/21ANevezis78-83
20/11/21ARytas65-81
17/11/21HPieno Zvaigzdes65-64
13/11/21HLietkabelis65-76
06/11/21APieno Zvaigzdes81-75 OT
04/11/21HJuventus80-81
20/10/21ASiauliai111-101 OT
16/10/21AJuventus84-101
13/10/21AJuventus68-75
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/21HSiauliai58-69
20/11/21HPrienai93-77
13/11/21ARytas60-76
03/11/21HPrienai78-74
30/10/21AJuventus86-89
27/10/21ANevezis65-81
25/10/21ASiauliai87-93
21/10/21HNeptunas86-92
18/10/21HNevezis88-76
14/10/21HNevezis83-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Dzukija
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game76.478.674.2
Allowed / game80.776.485.0
Point differential-4.3+2.2-10.8
Avg total157.1155.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %20%20%20%
Jonava
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game79.179.778.2
Allowed / game77.172.883.5
Point differential+2.0+6.8-5.2
Avg total156.2152.5161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1211192%90.877.0+13.8
2 Rytas1110191%85.374.3+11.0
3 Juventus118373%88.483.3+5.1
4 Siauliai117464%81.779.6+2.1
5 Lietkabelis138562%80.973.7+7.2
6 Jonava105550%79.177.1+2.0
7 Alytaus Dzukija104640%76.480.7-4.3
8 Neptunas103730%77.285.0-7.8
9 Nevezis113827%76.184.4-8.3
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1221017%75.884.3-8.5
11 Prienai110110%74.489.5-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Dzukija2519152786
Jonava1023141562
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