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Jonava vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-92
24-19 27-19 20-26 15-28
Position#8
Record2-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game82.7
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2021-22
Meetings · Jonava v Neptunas
08 May 2027
JON v NEP
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
JON83
NEP84
21 Mar 2026
JON81
NEP64
07 Dec 2025
JON117
NEP124
20 May 2025
JON93
NEP98
28 Dec 2024
JON86
NEP82
15 Oct 2024
JON88
NEP84
08 Apr 2024
JON78
NEP81
29 Oct 2023
JON88
NEP77
01 Feb 2023
JON83
NEP66
21 Jan 2023
JON76
NEP75
16 Dec 2021
JON64
NEP89
21 Oct 2021
JON86
NEP92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H13/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H20/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H26/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H02/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#11
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H18/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-32
17-21
13-21
14-15
15-31
21-26
21-20
19-14
24-27
16-20
18-25
22-14
20-11
26-12
22-24
17-16
16-32
14-23
16-18
28-16
18-17
10-14
26-20
20-15
27-22
16-23
20-17
22-19
16-24
18-17
25-9
21-26
28-23
26-10
16-16
13-21
23-20
26-22
20-13
19-21
158.9Avg total
80.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.780.0160.7+0.767%
Season at home (1)83.070.0153.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)79.585.0164.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)80.278.7158.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)82.073.8155.8+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.284.2160.4-8.020%
vs Similar (4)83.272.5155.8+10.8100%
vs Weaker (1)88.076.0164.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
53-81
53
81
-28
H06/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
79-98
79
98
-19
A10/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H16/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
24-24
19-18
21-31
26-24
20-21
10-24
22-25
15-19
12-18
20-26
15-20
13-19
23-10
24-20
15-22
32-16
23-14
18-16
16-28
21-22
21-22
22-15
20-25
16-25
15-22
5-19
17-15
19-23
23-20
19-23
18-32
13-16
24-13
13-16
17-22
17-24
19-13
12-30
33-22
164.1Avg total
78.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.382.7170.0+4.767%
Season at home (3)87.382.7170.0+4.767%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.385.8164.1-7.530%
Last 5 (5)77.288.4165.6-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.387.7161.0-14.46%
vs Similar (11)83.782.4166.1+1.473%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)87.382.7170.0+4.767%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -4.8-4.8
JonavaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H13/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H20/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H26/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H02/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#11
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H18/10
LKL
83.7Avg total
41.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)41.042.783.7-1.730%-
Last 30 at home (6)44.538.282.7+6.350%-
Last 30 away (4)35.849.585.2-13.80%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.783.7-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.848.685.4-11.80%-
vs Similar (4)44.235.579.8+8.850%-
vs Weaker (1)49.042.091.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H06/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/10
LKL
Prienai
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H16/10
LKL
79.1Avg total
40.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.837.977.7+1.865%-
Last 30 away (13)39.042.081.0-3.023%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.679.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.077.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.441.679.1-4.225%-
vs Similar (11)40.938.479.3+2.573%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.734.379.0+10.367%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
51%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.523.0
47.4%
54.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.0
36.8%
34.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.8
73.8%
74.0%14.8
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
51%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.7
55.7%
54.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.2
35.8%
34.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.213.6
70.8%
74.0%13.6
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WWWWWLWLLL
Neptunas
LLLLWWWLLL
#8
League position
#4
+14.9
Net rating
-13.2
105.5
Offensive rating
105.1
90.6
Defensive rating
118.3
49.8%
Effective FG%
54.9%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
23.2%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.8%
3-point %
35.8%
55.6%
Assist %
65.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 105.1Defence90.6 · 118.3Shooting49.8% · 54.9%3-point %36.8% · 35.8%Ball care14.7% · 23.2%Off. rebounds28.8% · 29.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Jonava   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jonava wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
29/09/21Neptunas v Jonava89-74
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/21HNevezis88-76
14/10/21HNevezis83-70
11/10/21APieno Zvaigzdes80-76
07/10/21APrienai85-81
02/10/21HLietkabelis74-66
29/09/21ANeptunas74-89
26/09/21HAlytaus Dzukija85-63
20/09/21HZalgiris Kaunas80-86
26/10/20APieno Zvaigzdes76-91
13/10/20HPieno Zvaigzdes77-89
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/21HRytas81-89
14/10/21HPrienai76-79 OT
10/10/21AZalgiris Kaunas79-98
06/10/21HLietkabelis53-81
03/10/21HNevezis97-95 OT
29/09/21HJonava89-74
26/09/21HPieno Zvaigzdes75-71
18/09/21ALietkabelis62-83
16/05/21HLietkabelis78-94
13/05/21ALietkabelis93-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game80.783.079.5
Allowed / game80.070.085.0
Point differential+0.7+13.0-5.5
Avg total160.7153.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game87.387.3-
Allowed / game82.782.7-
Point differential+4.7+4.7-
Avg total170.0170.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %67%67%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus440100%87.081.2+5.8
2 Neptunas32167%87.382.7+4.7
3 Jonava32167%80.780.0+0.7
4 Prienai32167%81.080.7+0.3
5 Alytaus Dzukija42250%83.091.0-8.0
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes41325%82.577.2+5.2
7 Siauliai41325%90.893.8-3.0
8 Nevezis3030%82.087.7-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2427201586
Neptunas1919262892
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