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Alytaus Dzukija vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 93-76
32-19 17-24 22-15 22-18
Position#8
Record9-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#10
Record5-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game87.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Alytaus Dzukija v Nevezis
28 Mar 2022
ADZ93
NEV76
11 Oct 2021
ADZ81
NEV66
19 Jan 2020
ADZ86
NEV87
23 Sep 2019
ADZ68
NEV62
03 Feb 2019
ADZ86
NEV73
29 Sep 2018
ADZ81
NEV61
14 Jan 2018
ADZ80
NEV84
07 Oct 2017
ADZ85
NEV82
01 Apr 2017
ADZ83
NEV73
19 Nov 2016
ADZ66
NEV63
16 Apr 2016
ADZ60
NEV53
21 Nov 2015
ADZ57
NEV69
06 Dec 2014
ADZ83
NEV78
07 Oct 2014
ADZ98
NEV62
01 Feb 2014
ADZ70
NEV62
22 Oct 2013
ADZ76
NEV82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Dzukija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus DzukijaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDzukija
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
61-88
61
88
-27
48avg 72
H02/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
85-97
85
97
-12
84avg 72
A10/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
no box
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#5
W
85-70
85
70
+15
70avg 72
A19/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
90avg 72
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
83-80
83
80
+3
74avg 72
H31/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
63-94
63
94
-31
61avg 72
A14/02
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
61avg 72
H17/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
48avg 72
H07/03
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
70avg 72
A24/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
17-22
15-24
18-22
29-26
16-23
21-29
19-19
16-22
23-34
22-17
19-21
23-20
18-19
23-13
21-18
27-22
20-16
26-22
19-26
15-17
28-24
18-21
22-18
22-27
14-22
14-25
13-20
18-18
18-23
19-23
18-17
14-17
13-14
25-24
11-19
21-23
19-12
18-11
19-24
159.6Avg total
76.2Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.980.3156.1-4.441%
Season at home (12)76.577.7154.2-1.250%
Season away (10)75.183.4158.5-8.330%
Last 10 (10)76.283.4159.6-7.240%
Last 5 (5)71.879.8151.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.486.2162.6-9.826%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.476.3154.8+2.156%
vs Weaker (2)74.569.5144.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
77-78
77
78
-1
no box
H29/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
58avg 70
H02/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
88-87
88
87
+1
73avg 70
A10/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
102-93
102
93
+9
95avg 70
A30/01
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
95-100
95
100
-5
80avg 70
H05/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
73-108
73
108
-35
58avg 70
A13/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
77-94
77
94
-17
63avg 70
A15/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
85-109
85
109
-24
68avg 70
H05/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
59avg 70
H12/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 70
H19/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
23-19
23-20
9-17
24-27
15-17
17-17
13-16
21-24
18-32
24-19
25-12
35-21
26-23
23-21
18-28
21-21
24-17
19-27
31-35
22-26
17-25
17-23
17-34
14-21
25-29
27-31
11-13
28-17
21-28
21-30
15-34
12-26
24-21
17-18
13-14
18-18
18-33
29-18
20-23
173.4Avg total
81.7Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.087.9166.8-8.923%
Season at home (12)78.986.2165.2-7.317%
Season away (10)79.089.8168.8-10.830%
Last 10 (10)81.791.7173.4-10.020%
Last 5 (5)77.296.4173.6-19.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)75.588.8164.3-13.35%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.082.0164.0+0.056%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -5.4-5.4
Alytaus DzukijaNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus DzukijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H02/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A10/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A19/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H31/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A14/02
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H17/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H07/03
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A24/03
LKL
80.3Avg total
38.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.177.6-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.637.775.2-0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)37.442.980.3-5.636%-
Last 10 (10)38.242.180.3-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.475.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.341.078.3-3.737%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.240.278.4-2.044%-
vs Weaker (2)36.031.567.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H29/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H02/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A10/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A30/01
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H05/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A13/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H05/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H12/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H19/03
LKL
89.5Avg total
42.8Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.583.8-5.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.942.182.0-2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)38.747.285.9-8.514%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.789.5-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.848.888.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)38.544.583.0-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.444.485.9-3.044%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Dzukijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Dzukija: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.0
45.5%
53.6%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.5
37.0%
33.8%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.913.8
69.3%
73.1%13.8
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.0
56.6%
53.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.5
30.0%
33.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.511.6
70.3%
73.1%11.6
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Dzukija
WLLLWWWLLL
Nevezis
LLLLLLWWLL
#8
League position
#10
-8.9
Net rating
-12.6
103.0
Offensive rating
105.4
111.9
Defensive rating
118.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
51.7%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.0%
3-point %
30.0%
62.0%
Assist %
50.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 105.4Defence111.9 · 118.1Shooting49.7% · 51.7%3-point %37.0% · 30.0%Ball care16.2% · 15.8%Off. rebounds24.9% · 23.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Alytaus Dzukija   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alytaus Dzukija wins
4
Nevezis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/22APrienai77-70
07/03/22HZalgiris Kaunas63-74
17/02/22HJonava73-81
14/02/22ALietkabelis63-94
31/01/22HJuventus83-80
24/01/22HPieno Zvaigzdes92-86
19/01/22ANeptunas85-70
15/01/22ARytas80-94
10/01/22ASiauliai85-97
02/01/22HRytas61-88
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/22HPieno Zvaigzdes85-92
12/03/22HSiauliai66-79
05/03/22HRytas85-109
15/02/22AJuventus77-94
13/02/22ARytas73-108
05/02/22HJonava95-100
30/01/22APrienai102-93
10/01/22APieno Zvaigzdes88-87
02/01/22HZalgiris Kaunas69-77
29/12/21HLietkabelis77-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Dzukija
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW41%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %41%50%30%
Points / game75.976.575.1
Allowed / game80.377.783.4
Point differential-4.4-1.2-8.3
Avg total156.1154.2158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %9%8%10%
Nevezis
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %23%17%30%
Points / game79.078.979.0
Allowed / game87.986.289.8
Point differential-8.9-7.3-10.8
Avg total166.8165.2168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)20% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2422292%87.174.6+12.5
2 Rytas2421388%90.174.5+15.5
3 Lietkabelis2520580%83.873.7+10.0
4 Siauliai23121152%81.180.7+0.4
5 Juventus22111150%84.483.4+1.0
6 Jonava24111346%76.681.2-4.6
7 Neptunas24101442%77.080.7-3.6
8 Alytaus Dzukija2291341%75.980.3-4.4
9 Nevezis2251723%79.087.9-8.9
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2351822%79.687.7-8.2
11 Prienai2532212%76.687.7-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Dzukija3217222293
Nevezis1924151876
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