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Neptunas vs Alytaus Dzukija Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 70-85
20-23 19-18 13-23 18-21
Position#5
Record6-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#8
Record5-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game80.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Neptunas v Alytaus Dzukija
19 Jan 2022
NEP70
ADZ85
09 Feb 2021
NEP81
ADZ64
18 Sep 2020
NEP84
ADZ81
26 Feb 2020
NEP78
ADZ73
25 Sep 2019
NEP74
ADZ67
18 Apr 2019
NEP70
ADZ68
08 Dec 2018
NEP89
ADZ67
03 May 2018
NEP90
ADZ86
13 Feb 2018
NEP77
ADZ85
22 Oct 2017
NEP98
ADZ58
23 Apr 2017
NEP69
ADZ60
26 Nov 2016
NEP64
ADZ58
20 Apr 2016
NEP85
ADZ65
20 Dec 2015
NEP76
ADZ71
06 May 2015
NEP71
ADZ47
29 Apr 2015
NEP88
ADZ59
10 Apr 2015
NEP62
ADZ70
24 Sep 2014
NEP82
ADZ72
26 Sep 2013
NEP96
ADZ69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Dzukija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
79avg 78
H06/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
87-62
87
62
+25
87avg 78
A15/11
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 78
A05/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
94-87
94
87
+7
91avg 78
H12/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
89-64
89
64
+25
95avg 78
A16/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
99avg 78
A20/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
79-67
79
67
+12
70avg 78
A28/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
H05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-80
80
80
+0
no box
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
17-20
24-24
28-12
21-17
13-27
15-22
30-22
19-17
24-13
25-16
19-16
15-25
23-25
20-26
18-21
22-12
26-23
24-24
22-28
27-18
20-16
20-19
22-11
22-23
28-18
13-21
25-21
24-19
23-21
19-12
13-15
17-15
22-15
21-22
9-21
23-24
16-24
19-14
22-18
159.9Avg total
82.6Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.181.8160.9-2.846%
Season at home (6)78.085.0163.0-7.033%
Season away (7)80.079.1159.1+0.957%
Last 10 (10)82.677.3159.9+5.360%
Last 5 (5)81.073.4154.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.389.4164.7-14.110%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.680.0166.6+6.678%
vs Weaker (11)85.578.3163.8+7.373%
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus DzukijaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDzukija
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
H17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
65-81
65
81
-16
58avg 74
A20/11
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
74avg 74
A06/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-95
81
95
-14
no box
H09/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
W
86-62
86
62
+24
84avg 74
H12/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
65avg 74
A19/12
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
67-79
67
79
-12
59avg 74
H28/12
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
61-88
61
88
-27
48avg 74
H02/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
85-97
85
97
-12
84avg 74
A10/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
no box
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
17-14
11-16
24-22
17-21
18-19
13-22
17-19
10-26
26-19
20-29
22-9
11-17
13-31
28-25
29-22
25-10
19-23
15-14
27-15
19-14
15-18
13-31
23-15
19-24
21-23
12-19
15-13
11-20
17-22
15-24
18-22
29-26
16-23
21-29
19-19
16-22
23-34
22-17
19-21
155.9Avg total
73.8Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.580.7156.3-5.233%
Season at home (8)75.976.4152.2-0.550%
Season away (7)75.185.7160.9-10.614%
Last 10 (10)73.882.1155.9-8.320%
Last 5 (5)72.687.2159.8-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)77.888.5166.3-10.820%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.078.6157.6+0.444%
vs Weaker (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
NeptunasAlytaus Dzukija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H06/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A15/11
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H12/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A16/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A20/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A28/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
80.6Avg total
41.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.380.4+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.437.778.1+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)41.840.982.7+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.880.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.683.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.042.381.3-3.330%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.238.780.9+3.667%-
vs Weaker (11)42.137.179.2+5.064%-
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus DzukijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A20/11
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A06/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
24-48
24
48
-24
H09/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H12/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A19/12
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H28/12
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H02/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A10/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
77.3Avg total
35.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.641.979.5-4.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.539.077.5-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)36.844.881.6-8.033%-
Last 10 (10)35.541.877.3-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.245.282.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.442.680.0-5.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.841.980.7-3.133%-
vs Weaker (1)32.028.060.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.725.2
61.9%
53.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.5
29.7%
33.8%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.812.7
71.3%
73.1%12.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Dzukijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Dzukija: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.6
50.0%
53.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.6
33.3%
33.8%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.713.4
71.7%
73.1%13.4
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLWWWWLWLW
Alytaus Dzukija
LLLLLWLLLW
#5
League position
#8
+0.4
Net rating
-9.8
111.8
Offensive rating
101.0
111.4
Defensive rating
110.8
55.8%
Effective FG%
50.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
20.3%
Turnover %
19.3%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.7%
3-point %
33.3%
64.0%
Assist %
59.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 101.0Defence111.4 · 110.8Shooting55.8% · 50.0%3-point %29.7% · 33.3%Ball care20.3% · 19.3%Off. rebounds33.8% · 28.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Neptunas   ■ Alytaus Dzukija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Neptunas wins
1
Alytaus Dzukija wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/22ALietkabelis80-80
05/01/22HLietkabelis69-73
28/12/21AAlytaus Dzukija79-67
20/12/21ANevezis88-83
16/12/21AJonava89-64
12/12/21HNevezis94-87
05/12/21ARytas76-97
15/11/21APrienai87-62
06/11/21HJuventus79-88
03/11/21ANevezis85-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/22ARytas80-94
10/01/22ASiauliai85-97
02/01/22HRytas61-88
28/12/21HNeptunas67-79
19/12/21AZalgiris Kaunas70-78
12/12/21HJonava86-62
09/12/21HRytas81-95
06/12/21ANevezis78-83
20/11/21ARytas65-81
17/11/21HPieno Zvaigzdes65-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW46%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayWLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%33%57%
Points / game79.178.080.0
Allowed / game81.885.079.1
Point differential-2.8-7.0+0.9
Avg total160.9163.0159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alytaus Dzukija
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%50%14%
Points / game75.575.975.1
Allowed / game80.776.485.7
Point differential-5.2-0.5-10.6
Avg total156.3152.2160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1716194%88.275.9+12.3
2 Rytas1615194%88.673.6+15.1
3 Lietkabelis1611569%81.973.7+8.2
4 Siauliai1610662%82.281.1+1.2
5 Juventus158753%83.983.1+0.8
6 Neptunas136746%79.181.8-2.8
7 Jonava167944%76.479.1-2.6
8 Alytaus Dzukija1551033%75.580.7-5.2
9 Nevezis1541127%76.983.9-6.9
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1521313%76.184.5-8.5
11 Prienai161156%74.688.7-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2019131870
Alytaus Dzukija2318232185
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