Alytaus Patriotai vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 12:10

Projected 89-80

Projected total 169.7

Final 85-81

29-19 19-25 16-16 21-21

Position#8

Record7-6

FormLWWWL

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game85.2

Alytaus Patriotai 🏆

79%

21%

■ ALYT 79%■ MAZ 21%

Pythia win probability

Mazeikiai

Position#15

Record3-10

FormLWLLW

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game89.2

NKLRound 14· Alytus Sports and Recreation Center

Other2026-27

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Alytaus Patriotai host Mazeikiai in the NKL on 14 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 79% to 21% because of their 7-6 record, 83.7 points per game and 85.2 allowed, compared to Mazeikiai's 3-10 record, 78.8 points per game and 89.2 allowed; the Patriotai also lead the league at 10th place versus Mazeikiai's 15th. At home the Patriotai have gone 4-3, scoring 88.1 and conceding 86.4, while Mazeikiai have been 1-5 on the road, 78.8 to 86.8. In the last five games the Patriotai went 3-2, including a 73-58 win over Ukmerges Stekas and a 87-76 home victory over Plunges Olimpas, whereas Mazeikiai went 2-3, with a 103-96 home win over Vilkaviskis but losses to Silute and Vytis VDU. The teams have met once before, with the most recent game noted in the record. Pythia projects a 89-80 score for the Patriotai, a total of 169.7 points, a -10.5 spread that the home side covers 45% of the time, an over on the 166.5 line 57% of the time, and a 4% chance of overtime. The next game will see the Patriotai try to extend their home advantage.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Patriotai winWon

79.2%fair 1.26

Best odds1.22

Implied80.8%

Edge-1.6pp

Mazeikiai winLost

20.8%fair 4.80

Best odds4.75

Implied19.2%

Edge+1.6pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus Patriotai Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPatriotai

Date

Competition

Kauno Atletas

#17

86-75

+11

70avg 77

H10/10

NKL

Vytis VDU

110-105 OT

110

105

101avg 77

H15/10

NKL

Silute

77-92

-15

64avg 77

A17/10

NKL

Kretinga

#16

90-70

+20

90avg 77

H22/10

NKL

Omega-Tauras

85-74

+11

75avg 77

A24/10

NKL

BC Olimpas Palanga

81-84

-3

61avg 77

H29/10

NKL

Rytas 2

#18

101-91

101

+10

106avg 77

A31/10

NKL

Plunges Olimpas

#10

87-76

+11

no box

H05/11

NKL

Ukmerges Stekas

#13

73-58

+15

no box

A07/11

NKL

Telsiai

67-91

-24

no box

A12/11

NKL

20-26

21-13

26-12

19-24

26-24

21-20

18-23

31-29

23-24

15-24

26-19

13-25

25-15

23-21

25-13

17-21

19-16

25-17

16-30

25-11

19-22

20-11

29-23

13-28

25-23

25-19

28-19

23-30

17-12

23-18

27-24

20-22

14-12

27-17

9-17

23-12

18-21

14-25

20-27

15-18

167.3Avg total

85.7Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	83.7	85.2	168.8	-1.5	54%
Season at home (7)	88.1	86.4	174.6	+1.7	57%
Season away (6)	78.5	83.7	162.2	-5.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	85.7	81.6	167.3	+4.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	80.0	161.8	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	81.8	89.5	171.3	-7.7	33%
vs Similar (3)	82.3	92.0	174.3	-9.7	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	87.5	73.5	161.0	+14.0	100%

This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mazeikiai

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMazeikiai

Date

Competition

Jurbarkas

62-91

-29

47avg 73

H10/10

NKL

Kedainiai BC

#14

85-92

-7

74avg 73

A15/10

NKL

Neptunas 2

77-90

-13

67avg 73

H17/10

NKL

Plunges Olimpas

#10

72-80

-8

57avg 73

H22/10

NKL

Ukmerges Stekas

#13

70-74

-4

55avg 73

A24/10

NKL

Suduva-Mantinga

85-109

109

-24

72avg 73

H29/10

NKL

Kauno Atletas

#17

97-88

89avg 73

A31/10

NKL

Vytis VDU

77-101

101

-24

no box

H05/11

NKL

Silute

79-98

-19

no box

A07/11

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

103-96 OT

103

no box

H12/11

NKL

13-27

13-12

21-24

15-28

16-21

21-25

25-28

23-18

24-27

24-25

16-23

13-15

21-22

16-17

10-24

25-17

19-14

17-17

17-18

17-25

13-28

22-26

26-35

24-20

26-24

20-15

32-24

19-25

21-26

20-17

15-32

17-22

18-27

22-24

22-25

9-20

24-22

29-23

23-20

172.6Avg total

80.7Scored

91.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	78.8	89.2	168.0	-10.5	23%
Season at home (7)	78.7	91.3	170.0	-12.6	29%
Season away (6)	78.8	86.8	165.7	-8.0	17%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	91.9	172.6	-11.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	98.4	186.6	-10.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	76.7	93.3	170.0	-16.6	10%
vs Similar (17)	83.2	85.6	168.8	-2.5	41%
vs Weaker (3)	90.3	73.7	164.0	+16.7	100%

This opponent (Alytaus Patriotai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 161.5Actual: Over 161.5

Over 161.5

68.5%

Under 161.5

31.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 166.5 · main lineActual: Under 166.5

Over 166.5

57.0%

@ 1.87+7.0pp

Under 166.5

43.0%

@ 1.87-7.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.87

Betano

1.85

SBO

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.77

Under

Pinnacle

1.87

Bet365

1.83

SBO

1.83

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.73

Over/Under 171.5Actual: Under 171.5

Over 171.5

44.9%

Under 171.5

55.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Alytaus Patriotai total 84.5Actual: Alytaus Patriotai over 84.5

Over 84.5

68.8%

@ 1.39+5.8pp

Under 84.5

31.2%

@ 2.37-5.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.39

Under

1xBet

2.37

Alytaus Patriotai total 88.5 · main lineActual: Alytaus Patriotai under 88.5

Over 88.5

53.7%

@ 1.80+3.6pp

Under 88.5

46.3%

@ 1.83-3.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.73

Under

Betano

1.83

1xBet

1.71

Alytaus Patriotai total 92.5Actual: Alytaus Patriotai under 92.5

Over 92.5

38.0%

@ 2.41+1.5pp

Under 92.5

62.0%

@ 1.38-1.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.41

Under

1xBet

1.38

Mazeikiai total 73.5Actual: Mazeikiai over 73.5

Over 73.5

74.0%

@ 1.37+10.0pp

Under 73.5

26.0%

@ 2.44-10.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.37

Under

1xBet

2.44

Mazeikiai total 77.5 · main lineActual: Mazeikiai over 77.5

Over 77.5

59.8%

@ 1.78+9.0pp

Under 77.5

40.2%

@ 1.85-9.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.70

Under

Betano

1.85

1xBet

1.74

Mazeikiai total 81.5Actual: Mazeikiai under 81.5

Over 81.5

44.3%

@ 2.35+7.1pp

Under 81.5

55.7%

@ 1.39-7.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.35

Under

1xBet

1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Alytaus Patriotai -14Actual: Mazeikiai +14

ALYT -14

32.8%

MAZ +14

67.2%

Best 5 market prices

ALYT

No market prices yet.

MAZ

No market prices yet.

Spread Alytaus Patriotai -11 · main lineActual: Mazeikiai +11

ALYT -11

43.3%

@ 1.90-5.7pp

MAZ +11

56.7%

@ 1.83+5.7pp

Best 5 market prices

ALYT

Pinnacle

1.90

SBO

1.88

MAZ

Pinnacle

1.83

SBO

1.82

Spread Alytaus Patriotai -8Actual: Mazeikiai +8

ALYT -8

54.7%

@ 1.53-5.8pp

MAZ +8

45.3%

@ 2.34+5.8pp

Best 5 market prices

ALYT

Pinnacle

1.53

MAZ

Pinnacle

2.34

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Alytaus PatriotaiMazeikiai

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (13)	19.5	21.2	40.6	-1.7	46%	46%
Last 30 at home (7)	20.6	21.9	42.4	-1.3	43%	57%
Last 30 away (6)	18.2	20.3	38.5	-2.2	50%	33%
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.8	21.8	40.7	-3.0	33%	33%
vs Similar (3)	18.7	22.7	41.3	-4.0	33%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	75%	50%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.9	42.7	-3.0	23%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	24.0	43.8	-4.2	13%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	21.7	41.6	-1.9	33%	47%
Last 10 (10)	17.9	23.1	41.0	-5.2	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	17.2	24.0	41.2	-6.8	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.3	25.5	42.8	-8.2	0%	50%
vs Similar (17)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.4	29%	65%
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	17.7	40.0	+4.7	67%	33%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (6)	20.7	20.2	40.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+2.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	24.0	17.5	41.5	+6.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	22.4	40.9	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.2	44.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.3	23.0	41.3	-4.7	20%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.4	41%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	67%	-

Alytaus PatriotaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kauno Atletas

#17

41-39

H10/10

NKL

Vytis VDU

47-44

H15/10

NKL

Silute

38-48

-10

A17/10

NKL

Kretinga

#16

48-36

+12

H22/10

NKL

Omega-Tauras

44-33

+11

A24/10

NKL

BC Olimpas Palanga

39-33

H29/10

NKL

Rytas 2

#18

50-42

A31/10

NKL

Plunges Olimpas

#10

40-30

+10

H05/11

NKL

Ukmerges Stekas

#13

41-29

+12

A07/11

NKL

Telsiai

32-46

-14

A12/11

NKL

80.0Avg total

42.0Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.5
Last 30 (13)	40.1	40.4	80.5	-0.3	62%	38%
Last 30 at home (7)	41.1	40.3	81.4	+0.9	71%	43%
Last 30 away (6)	38.8	40.5	79.3	-1.7	50%	33%
Last 10 (10)	42.0	38.0	80.0	+4.0	80%	40%
Last 5 (5)	40.4	36.0	76.4	+4.4	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.5	41.2	78.7	-3.7	50%	17%
vs Similar (3)	38.7	44.0	82.7	-5.3	33%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	45.0	36.5	81.5	+8.5	100%	50%

This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurbarkas

26-39

-13

H10/10

NKL

Kedainiai BC

#14

37-46

-9

A15/10

NKL

Neptunas 2

48-52

-4

H17/10

NKL

Plunges Olimpas

#10

37-39

-2

H22/10

NKL

Ukmerges Stekas

#13

36-31

A24/10

NKL

Suduva-Mantinga

35-54

-19

H29/10

NKL

Kauno Atletas

#17

46-39

A31/10

NKL

Vytis VDU

42-52

-10

H05/11

NKL

Silute

35-49

-14

A07/11

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

33-42

-9

H12/11

NKL

81.8Avg total

37.5Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.5
Last 30 (30)	40.1	44.1	84.1	-4.0	33%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	44.0	85.7	-2.3	33%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	44.1	82.5	-5.7	33%	47%
Last 10 (10)	37.5	44.3	81.8	-6.8	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	38.2	47.2	85.4	-9.0	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	35.6	48.5	84.1	-12.9	0%	60%
vs Similar (17)	41.9	42.9	84.8	-0.9	47%	53%
vs Weaker (3)	44.3	36.0	80.3	+8.3	67%	33%

This opponent (Alytaus Patriotai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Alytaus Patriotai win

ALYT win

no forecast

@ 1.40

MAZ win

no forecast

@ 3.55

1st half Spread Alytaus Patriotai -4.5 · main lineActual: Mazeikiai +4.5

ALYT -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

MAZ +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 83.5 · main lineActual: Over 83.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Alytaus Patriotai 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Alytaus Patriotai over 44.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.78

Mazeikiai 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Mazeikiai over 38.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread Alytaus Patriotai -5.5Actual: Mazeikiai +5.5

ALYT -5.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

MAZ +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Spread Alytaus Patriotai -6.5Actual: Mazeikiai +6.5

ALYT -6.5

no forecast

@ 1.87

MAZ +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Alytaus Patriotai (regulation)

ALYT

no forecast

@ 1.29

Draw

no forecast

@ 18.50

MAZ

no forecast

@ 3.70

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	54%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	22.3	19.1	41.4	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (6)	19.5	23.5	43.0	-4.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.7	43.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.8	23.8	42.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.0	23.7	47.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.0	15.2	37.2	+6.8	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	24.0	45.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	24.6	50.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.3	22.4	41.7	-3.1	20%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.7	16.7	41.3	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	21.2	22.1	43.3	-0.8	31%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	22.1	24.1	46.3	-2.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (6)	20.2	19.7	39.8	+0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.0	40.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.5	21.2	43.7	+1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	24.3	44.0	-4.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.5	21.8	42.2	-1.2	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.4	41.1	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	21.9	41.5	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	22.5	42.1	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.4	45.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	42.2	43.2	85.5	-1.0	46%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	44.4	43.3	87.7	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (6)	39.7	43.2	82.8	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	42.7	85.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	44.0	85.4	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.3	45.0	86.3	-3.7	17%	-
vs Similar (3)	43.7	48.0	91.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	42.5	37.0	79.5	+5.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	42.6	83.6	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	42.3	84.3	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	42.9	83.0	-2.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	46.5	87.9	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	49.0	95.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	39.3	43.7	83.0	-4.4	30%	-
vs Similar (17)	41.2	42.8	84.0	-1.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (3)	46.0	37.7	83.7	+8.3	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

ALYT win + total 166.5

🔒 Pro

MAZ win + total 166.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ALYT leads at half

🔒 Pro

🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Mazeikiai over 73.5	74.0%	1.37	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Mazeikiai over 74.5	70.7%	1.43	1xBet 1.43	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Mazeikiai over 72.5	77.1%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Alytaus Patriotai over 82.5	75.5%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Alytaus Patriotai over 83.5	72.3%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Mazeikiai +15.5	71.4%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Overtime: no	96.2%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Mazeikiai +16.5	74.3%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Alytaus Patriotai (regulation)	76.9%	1.17	1xBet 1.17	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Alytaus Patriotai win	79.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.22	WilliamHill 1.17	Betfair 1.17	Betano 1.15	1xBet 1.14	-1.6pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Alytaus Patriotaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Patriotai: 86.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀60%

🏀🏀🏀22%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 60% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

54%

29%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.6	25.8	54.2%	54.5%	51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	6.3	27.0%	31.3%	19.0
🏀 Free throws	24.6	15.9	64.7%	67.1%	15.9

They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 76.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

54%

29%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	19.4	49.7%	54.5%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	8.6	34.3%	31.3%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	18.7	11.9	63.6%	67.1%	11.9

They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.2	21.9	50.6%	54.5%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	7.2	28.6%	31.3%	21.7
🏀 Free throws	31.1	20.6	66.1%	67.1%	20.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	23.5	58.2%	54.5%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	8.0	35.1%	31.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.3	69.5%	67.1%	15.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	20.3	54.6%	54.5%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	9.0	33.2%	31.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.2	71.4%	67.1%	13.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.2	21.9	50.6%	54.5%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	7.2	28.6%	31.3%	21.7
🏀 Free throws	31.1	20.6	66.1%	67.1%	20.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	21.2	57.9%	54.5%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	9.2	33.0%	31.3%	27.5
🏀 Free throws	20.5	14.3	69.8%	67.1%	14.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Alytaus Patriotai

LWWWLWWLWW

Mazeikiai

WLLWLLLLLL

League position

#15

+0.5

Net rating

-11.3

91.0

Offensive rating

87.9

90.6

Defensive rating

99.2

49.7%

Effective FG%

50.4%

47.8%

Opp. effective FG%

56.2%

14.4%

Turnover %

16.7%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.29

27.0%

3-point %

34.3%

46.4%

Assist %

52.9%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ Alytaus Patriotai ■ Mazeikiai

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alytaus Patriotai wins

Mazeikiai wins

No previous meetings.

Alytaus Patriotailast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/26	A	Telsiai	67-91
07/11/26	A	Ukmerges Stekas	73-58
05/11/26	H	Plunges Olimpas	87-76
31/10/26	A	Rytas 2	101-91
29/10/26	H	BC Olimpas Palanga	81-84
24/10/26	A	Omega-Tauras	85-74
22/10/26	H	Kretinga	90-70
17/10/26	A	Silute	77-92
15/10/26	H	Vytis VDU	110-105 OT
10/10/26	H	Kauno Atletas	86-75

Mazeikiailast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/26	H	Vilkaviskis	103-96 OT
07/11/26	A	Silute	79-98
05/11/26	H	Vytis VDU	77-101
31/10/26	A	Kauno Atletas	97-88
29/10/26	H	Suduva-Mantinga	85-109
24/10/26	A	Ukmerges Stekas	70-74
22/10/26	H	Plunges Olimpas	72-80
17/10/26	H	Neptunas 2	77-90
15/10/26	A	Kedainiai BC	85-92
10/10/26	H	Jurbarkas	62-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Patriotai

NKL 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	54%
Home	WWWLW	57%
Away	LWWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	54%	57%	50%
Points / game	83.7	88.1	78.5
Allowed / game	85.2	86.4	83.7
Point differential	-1.5	+1.7	-5.2
Avg total	168.8	174.6	162.2
Over 166.5	38%	43%	33%
Win by 10+	46%	43%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	15%	29%	0%

Mazeikiai

NKL 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	23%
Home	LLLLW	29%
Away	LLLWL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	23%	29%	17%
Points / game	78.8	78.7	78.8
Allowed / game	89.2	91.3	86.8
Point differential	-10.5	-12.6	-8.0
Avg total	168.0	170.0	165.7
Over 166.5	54%	57%	50%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Telsiai	13	12	1	92%	90.5	73.6	+16.9
2	Jurbarkas	12	11	1	92%	90.4	78.0	+12.4
3	BC Olimpas Palanga	13	10	3	77%	94.8	84.9	+9.9
4	Suduva-Mantinga	12	9	3	75%	91.4	77.7	+13.8
5	Vytis VDU	11	8	3	73%	97.4	90.4	+7.0
6	Neptunas 2	13	9	4	69%	78.1	74.7	+3.4
7	Silute	12	8	4	67%	84.3	82.2	+2.2
8	Omega-Tauras	13	7	6	54%	90.5	86.2	+4.2
9	Plunges Olimpas	13	7	6	54%	82.5	79.9	+2.6
10	Alytaus Patriotai	13	7	6	54%	83.7	85.2	-1.5
11	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	12	5	7	42%	94.2	96.8	-2.7
12	Vilkaviskis	13	5	8	38%	82.1	86.6	-4.5
13	Kedainiai BC	13	4	9	31%	76.5	84.1	-7.5
14	Ukmerges Stekas	13	4	9	31%	77.6	87.9	-10.3
15	Mazeikiai	13	3	10	23%	78.8	89.2	-10.5
16	Kretinga	13	2	11	15%	81.5	90.7	-9.2
17	Kauno Atletas	13	2	11	15%	79.0	92.8	-13.8
18	Rytas 2	13	1	12	8%	77.0	86.4	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alytaus Patriotai	29	19	16	21	85
Mazeikiai	19	25	16	21	81

← all games of the day

Alytaus Patriotai vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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