On 12 November 2026 the NKL will see Mazeikiai host Vilkaviskis, with the model favouring Vilkaviskis at 62% to 38% for Mazeikiai, a game the Pythia expects to finish 85-81. Mazeikiai enter with a 2-10 record, averaging 76.8 points and conceding 88.7, and a 1-5 home record of 74.7 to 90.5, while Vilkaviskis sit 5-7 overall, 80.9 to 85.2, and 1-5 on the road, 78.7 to 89.2. The last five games for Mazeikiai were one win and four losses, including a 97-88 victory over Kauno Atletas, whereas Vilkaviskis have two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 97-74 win over Ukmerges Stekas. In their ten meetings Vilkaviskis have won three times, most recently beating Mazeikiai 91-67 on 28 February 2026. The Pythia projects a total of 165.8 points, with a spread line of 8.0 favouring Mazeikiai and a 65% chance that Mazeikiai will cover, and an over line of 163.5 with a 55% probability of the over; the game has a 5% chance of overtime. The final score projected by the model, 81-85, reflects the slight edge Vilkaviskis holds in both offensive and defensive averages.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (12) | 76.8 | 88.7 | 165.4 | -11.9 | 17% |
| Season at home (6) | 74.7 | 90.5 | 165.2 | -15.8 | 17% |
| Season away (6) | 78.8 | 86.8 | 165.7 | -8.0 | 17% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.6 | 90.6 | 168.2 | -13.0 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.6 | 94.0 | 175.6 | -12.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 73.8 | 93.0 | 166.8 | -19.2 | 0% |
| vs Similar (19) | 83.6 | 86.1 | 169.7 | -2.4 | 42% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 87.0 | 66.5 | 153.5 | +20.5 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (12) | 80.9 | 85.2 | 166.2 | -4.3 | 42% |
| Season at home (6) | 83.2 | 81.3 | 164.5 | +1.8 | 67% |
| Season away (6) | 78.7 | 89.2 | 167.8 | -10.5 | 17% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.3 | 85.1 | 163.4 | -6.8 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.0 | 84.8 | 161.8 | -7.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 74.5 | 87.5 | 162.0 | -12.9 | 18% |
| vs Similar (10) | 83.3 | 85.1 | 168.4 | -1.8 | 30% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 88.1 | 77.4 | 165.6 | +10.7 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.0 | 44.4 | 84.4 | -4.4 | 33% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.7 | 44.7 | 86.3 | -3.0 | 33% | 73% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.4 | 44.1 | 82.5 | -5.7 | 33% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.5 | 44.6 | 82.1 | -7.1 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.8 | 45.0 | 83.8 | -6.2 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 35.9 | 49.2 | 85.1 | -13.3 | 0% | 67% |
| vs Similar (19) | 41.6 | 43.2 | 84.8 | -1.5 | 47% | 68% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 43.5 | 34.5 | 78.0 | +9.0 | 50% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.3 | 41.7 | 85.0 | +1.6 | 57% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 43.6 | 40.1 | 83.7 | +3.6 | 64% | 57% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 43.1 | 43.1 | 86.2 | -0.1 | 50% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.9 | 40.0 | 82.9 | +2.9 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 38.4 | 80.4 | +3.6 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 40.5 | 41.8 | 82.4 | -1.3 | 27% | 55% |
| vs Similar (10) | 44.6 | 43.9 | 88.5 | +0.7 | 60% | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 45.3 | 39.1 | 84.4 | +6.2 | 89% | 67% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazeikiai +10 | 72.3% | 1.56 | 1.56 | - | - | - | - | +14.2pp | Won |
| Mazeikiai +9.5 | 70.1% | 1.54 | 1.61 | 1.48 | - | - | - | +13.6pp | Won |
| Mazeikiai +10.5 | 73.2% | 1.46 | 1.52 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +13.6pp | Won |
| Mazeikiai +11.5 | 76.0% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Mazeikiai over 74.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Won |
| Mazeikiai +12.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Won |
| Mazeikiai over 75.5 | 71.2% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Mazeikiai over 73.5 | 77.5% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Vilkaviskis under 91.5 | 74.2% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Lost |
| Vilkaviskis under 90.5 | 71.0% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 94.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.0 | 19.4 | 54.5% | 38.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.1 | 8.6 | 31.3% | 25.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.7 | 11.9 | 67.1% | 11.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 45.8 | 25.8 | 54.5% | 51.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.6 | 5.8 | 31.3% | 17.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.2 | 11.0 | 67.1% | 11.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 | Vilkaviskis v Mazeikiai | 91-67 |
| 18/12/25 | Vilkaviskis v Mazeikiai | 59-79 |
| 16/10/25 | Mazeikiai v Vilkaviskis | 91-85 |
| 01/12/22 | Mazeikiai v Vilkaviskis | 82-64 |
| 13/10/22 | Vilkaviskis v Mazeikiai | 83-76 |
| 26/03/22 | Mazeikiai v Vilkaviskis | 77-75 |
| 23/03/22 | Vilkaviskis v Mazeikiai | 85-93 |
| 20/03/22 | Mazeikiai v Vilkaviskis | 124-113 OT |
| 17/03/22 | Vilkaviskis v Mazeikiai | 105-93 |
| 02/12/21 | Mazeikiai v Vilkaviskis | 96-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Silute | 79-98 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Vytis VDU | 77-101 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Kauno Atletas | 97-88 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Suduva-Mantinga | 85-109 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Ukmerges Stekas | 70-74 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Plunges Olimpas | 72-80 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Neptunas 2 | 77-90 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Kedainiai BC | 85-92 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Jurbarkas | 62-91 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Telsiai | 72-83 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Suduva-Mantinga | 60-80 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Ukmerges Stekas | 97-74 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Vytis VDU | 81-107 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Plunges Olimpas | 73-91 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Rytas 2 | 74-72 |
| 24/10/26 | A | BC Olimpas Palanga | 81-87 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Omega-Tauras | 82-73 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Telsiai | 70-94 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Silute | 81-97 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Kauno Atletas | 84-76 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 17% |
| Home | LLLLL | 17% |
| Away | LLLWL | 17% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 6 | 6 |
| Win % | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Points / game | 76.8 | 74.7 | 78.8 |
| Allowed / game | 88.7 | 90.5 | 86.8 |
| Point differential | -11.9 | -15.8 | -8.0 |
| Avg total | 165.4 | 165.2 | 165.7 |
| Over 163.75 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 42% |
| Home | LWWLW | 67% |
| Away | WLLLL | 17% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 6 | 6 |
| Win % | 42% | 67% | 17% |
| Points / game | 80.9 | 83.2 | 78.7 |
| Allowed / game | 85.2 | 81.3 | 89.2 |
| Point differential | -4.3 | +1.8 | -10.5 |
| Avg total | 166.2 | 164.5 | 167.8 |
| Over 163.75 | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 92% | 90.5 | 74.2 | +16.3 | |
| 2 | Jurbarkas | 11 | 10 | 1 | 91% | 90.2 | 77.6 | +12.5 |
| 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 83% | 96.2 | 84.7 | +11.6 | |
| 4 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 91.7 | 77.6 | +14.1 | |
| 5 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 96.4 | 89.6 | +6.8 | |
| 6 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 78.2 | 75.0 | +3.2 | |
| 7 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 84.3 | 82.2 | +2.2 | |
| 8 | Plunges Olimpas | 12 | 7 | 5 | 58% | 82.6 | 78.8 | +3.8 |
| 9 | Alytaus Patriotai | 12 | 7 | 5 | 58% | 85.1 | 84.7 | +0.4 |
| 10 | Omega-Tauras | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 90.0 | 87.2 | +2.8 |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 94.2 | 96.8 | -2.7 | |
| 12 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 80.9 | 85.2 | -4.3 | |
| 13 | Kedainiai BC | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 77.0 | 84.7 | -7.7 |
| 14 | Ukmerges Stekas | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25% | 77.8 | 89.5 | -11.8 |
| 15 | Kretinga | 12 | 2 | 10 | 17% | 80.2 | 89.3 | -9.2 |
| 16 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 17% | 76.8 | 88.7 | -11.9 | |
| 17 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 17% | 79.3 | 92.6 | -13.2 | |
| 18 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 8% | 77.7 | 87.2 | -9.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 24 | 29 | 23 | 18 | 103 | |
| 20 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 11 | 96 |
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