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Aomori vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 81-75 (OT)
18-14 14-15 24-18 12-21 13-7
Position#12
Record6-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game84.2
Aomori 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#5
Record9-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game76.4
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aomori v Shinshu
17 Nov 2024
AOMO80
SHIN112
16 Nov 2024
AOMO81
SHIN75
15 Mar 2015
AOMO84
SHIN65
14 Mar 2015
AOMO83
SHIN86
30 Mar 2014
AOMO82
SHIN78
29 Mar 2014
AOMO90
SHIN75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
L
56-95
56
95
-39
37avg 76
H13/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
52avg 76
A19/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
64avg 76
A20/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
71avg 76
H23/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
83-90
83
90
-7
68avg 76
H26/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
103-76
103
76
+27
107avg 76
H27/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
75-87
75
87
-12
64avg 76
A02/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
85-82
85
82
+3
83avg 76
A03/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
66avg 76
H09/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
57avg 76
H10/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
17-19
8-24
16-26
12-20
17-19
8-19
29-16
13-19
15-28
23-24
22-18
27-22
11-7
21-18
19-29
18-17
13-28
19-22
33-23
32-19
31-16
22-18
18-23
21-21
19-16
14-22
21-28
21-21
23-17
14-20
27-24
27-15
22-24
20-13
13-22
15-21
13-20
20-21
21-17
159.2Avg total
77.0Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.484.2163.5-4.846%
Season at home (7)78.083.9161.9-5.943%
Season away (6)81.084.5165.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)77.082.2159.2-5.240%
Last 5 (5)82.879.6162.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.986.5166.4-6.635%
vs Similar (13)85.587.8173.4-2.338%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 68
A13/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
66avg 68
H19/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
89-73
89
73
+16
88avg 68
H20/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
92-77
92
77
+15
81avg 68
H23/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
101-74
101
74
+27
94avg 68
A26/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 68
A27/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
64-74
64
74
-10
53avg 68
H02/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
102-76
102
76
+26
106avg 68
H03/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 68
A09/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
74-66
74
66
+8
63avg 68
A10/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
25-9
19-22
31-17
20-12
19-17
19-8
16-29
19-13
28-15
24-23
18-22
30-14
24-19
23-23
15-21
20-6
27-22
25-22
29-24
30-22
19-19
24-20
20-19
17-23
15-21
20-14
12-16
28-19
27-25
28-19
19-13
24-16
19-19
15-19
20-26
13-20
23-15
13-11
25-20
159.5Avg total
86.5Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.576.4161.9+9.269%
Season at home (5)84.273.2157.4+11.080%
Season away (8)86.478.4164.8+8.062%
Last 10 (10)86.573.0159.5+13.580%
Last 5 (5)82.275.2157.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.580.5156.1-5.013%
vs Similar (5)77.871.6149.4+6.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.877.0163.8+9.870%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
AomoriShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H13/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A19/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A20/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H23/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H26/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H27/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A02/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A03/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H09/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H10/11
B2.League
77.7Avg total
38.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.985.3-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.741.083.7+1.754%-
Last 30 away (17)42.144.486.5-2.241%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.577.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.082.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)41.943.285.1-1.441%-
vs Similar (13)43.042.585.5+0.554%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A13/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H19/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H20/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H23/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A26/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A27/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H02/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H03/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A09/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A10/11
B2.League
79.2Avg total
45.0Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.878.6+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.440.883.2+1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)37.937.275.1+0.653%-
Last 10 (10)45.034.279.2+10.890%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.882.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.642.980.5-5.327%-
vs Similar (5)40.833.674.4+7.280%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.735.378.0+7.470%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.2
48.4%
51.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.8
31.2%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.69.6
61.5%
70.7%9.6
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.8
55.9%
51.0%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.6
31.0%
32.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.112.9
75.4%
70.7%12.9
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
LWWLWLWLLL
Shinshu
WLWLWWWWWW
#12
League position
#5
-6.5
Net rating
+17.9
98.8
Offensive rating
111.7
105.2
Defensive rating
93.8
47.8%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.0%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.2%
3-point %
31.0%
66.2%
Assist %
60.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 111.7Defence105.2 · 93.8Shooting47.8% · 52.2%3-point %31.2% · 31.0%Ball care18.7% · 15.0%Off. rebounds31.7% · 31.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Aomori   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Aomori wins
6
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Shinshu v Aomori89-73
19/10/24Shinshu v Aomori74-66
15/03/15Aomori v Shinshu84-65
14/03/15Aomori v Shinshu83-86
21/12/14Shinshu v Aomori72-94
20/12/14Shinshu v Aomori79-76
30/03/14Aomori v Shinshu82-78
29/03/14Aomori v Shinshu90-75
10/11/13Shinshu v Aomori69-64
09/11/13Shinshu v Aomori94-81
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HShizuoka69-79
09/11/24HShizuoka82-74
03/11/24AFukushima85-82
02/11/24AFukushima75-87
27/10/24HYamagata Wyverns103-76
26/10/24HYamagata Wyverns83-90
23/10/24HFukui78-76
20/10/24AShinshu73-89
19/10/24AShinshu66-74
13/10/24HToyama56-95
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24AToyama74-66
09/11/24AToyama78-80
03/11/24HYamagata Wyverns102-76
02/11/24HYamagata Wyverns64-74
27/10/24AFukushima93-80
26/10/24AFukushima101-74
23/10/24HFukuoka92-77
20/10/24HAomori89-73
19/10/24HAomori74-66
13/10/24AEhime Orange Vikings98-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL46%
HomeWLWWL43%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%43%50%
Points / game79.478.081.0
Allowed / game84.283.984.5
Point differential-4.8-5.9-3.5
Avg total163.5161.9165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %69%80%62%
Points / game85.584.286.4
Allowed / game76.473.278.4
Point differential+9.2+11.0+8.0
Avg total161.9157.4164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%60%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %15%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba13130100%90.475.9+14.5
2 Shinshu139469%85.576.4+9.2
3 Fukui139469%81.076.5+4.5
4 Toyama138562%85.780.4+5.3
5 Shizuoka138562%77.575.8+1.7
6 Kagoshima Rebnise138562%80.581.5-0.9
7 Fukuoka137654%82.675.8+6.8
8 Kobe137654%84.281.6+2.5
9 Nara136746%80.179.5+0.5
10 Aomori136746%79.484.2-4.8
11 Yamagata Wyverns134931%79.383.1-3.8
12 Fukushima134931%76.983.2-6.3
13 Kumamoto131128%75.889.7-13.8
14 Ehime Orange Vikings131128%73.989.3-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Aomori181424121381
Shinshu14151821775
← all games of the day
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