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Shinshu vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 74-66
20-12 19-17 19-8 16-29
Position#5
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game81.8
Shinshu 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#12
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game91.8
JapanB2.League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shinshu v Aomori
13 Apr 2025
SHIN96
AOMO72
12 Apr 2025
SHIN80
AOMO65
20 Oct 2024
SHIN89
AOMO73
19 Oct 2024
SHIN74
AOMO66
21 Dec 2014
SHIN72
AOMO94
20 Dec 2014
SHIN79
AOMO76
10 Nov 2013
SHIN69
AOMO64
09 Nov 2013
SHIN94
AOMO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
71-62
71
62
+9
74avg 66
A20/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
74-73
74
73
+1
74avg 66
A21/04
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
69-79
69
79
-10
61avg 66
H27/04
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
83-56
83
56
+27
85avg 66
H28/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
79-94
79
94
-15
76avg 66
A04/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
59-82
59
82
-23
48avg 66
A05/05
B League
Fukui
#7
L
73-80 OT
73
80
-7
60avg 66
A05/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
76-91
76
91
-15
72avg 66
A06/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
98-92 OT
98
92
+6
85avg 66
A12/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 66
A13/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
14-14
17-14
16-17
19-19
14-15
23-18
18-21
25-18
13-22
16-15
15-24
18-17
30-19
14-10
21-10
19-21
17-25
19-21
24-27
16-21
13-25
14-12
16-24
22-19
20-13
10-16
16-20
23-26
13-18
16-26
24-21
18-17
14-21
20-13
19-20
23-16
25-9
19-22
31-17
155.3Avg total
78.0Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.281.8168.0+4.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)86.281.8168.0+4.550%
Last 10 (10)78.077.3155.3+0.750%
Last 5 (5)80.881.8162.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)73.882.0155.8-8.28%
vs Similar (2)72.567.5140.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)86.281.8168.0+4.550%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Nara
#11
L
90-103
90
103
-13
74avg 75
H14/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
85avg 75
A20/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
76-83
76
83
-7
73avg 75
A21/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A03/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A04/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
no box
A05/05
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 75
A05/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
96-91
96
91
+5
88avg 75
A06/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
65avg 75
H12/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
56-95
56
95
-39
37avg 75
H13/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
22-29
15-22
25-25
19-22
23-18
21-21
17-19
21-28
23-23
18-15
14-17
25-19
30-26
20-21
13-18
22-28
18-22
21-20
18-23
18-22
26-23
17-22
18-25
19-28
26-19
24-20
22-17
29-25
27-25
20-24
20-17
26-20
22-22
10-26
17-29
15-26
17-19
8-24
16-26
172.5Avg total
81.6Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.591.8171.2-12.250%
Season at home (2)65.596.0161.5-30.50%
Season away (2)93.587.5181.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.690.9172.5-9.330%
Last 5 (5)79.491.8171.2-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.593.2174.8-11.825%
vs Similar (16)87.086.8173.8+0.250%
vs Weaker (2)89.076.0165.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.6-3.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.6-3.6
ShinshuAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A20/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A21/04
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/04
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H28/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A05/05
B League
Fukui
#7
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A05/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A06/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A13/10
B2.League
75.2Avg total
38.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.241.478.6-4.223%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.744.483.1-5.817%-
Last 30 away (18)36.239.375.6-3.128%-
Last 10 (10)38.037.275.2+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.074.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)37.043.280.2-6.217%-
vs Similar (2)35.532.568.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.534.874.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#11
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H14/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A20/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A21/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A03/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A04/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/05
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A05/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A06/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H12/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H13/10
B2.League
92.7Avg total
45.6Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.988.3+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.143.687.7+0.550%-
Last 30 away (18)44.644.188.7+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)45.647.192.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.045.890.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)45.246.391.6-1.142%-
vs Similar (16)43.242.685.8+0.644%-
vs Weaker (2)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.9
50.9%
51.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.3
29.7%
32.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.914.1
70.9%
70.7%14.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.023.0
56.1%
51.0%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.6
33.5%
32.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.912.5
66.1%
70.7%12.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
WWLLLLWLWW
Aomori
LLWWLLWLLL
#5
League position
#12
-0.7
Net rating
-10.3
101.0
Offensive rating
109.6
101.7
Defensive rating
119.9
48.2%
Effective FG%
53.8%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.7%
3-point %
33.5%
69.5%
Assist %
65.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 109.6Defence101.7 · 119.9Shooting48.2% · 53.8%3-point %29.7% · 33.5%Ball care17.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds28.8% · 28.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Shinshu   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Shinshu wins
4
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
15/03/15Aomori v Shinshu84-65
14/03/15Aomori v Shinshu83-86
21/12/14Shinshu v Aomori72-94
20/12/14Shinshu v Aomori79-76
30/03/14Aomori v Shinshu82-78
29/03/14Aomori v Shinshu90-75
10/11/13Shinshu v Aomori69-64
09/11/13Shinshu v Aomori94-81
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24AEhime Orange Vikings98-64
12/10/24AEhime Orange Vikings98-92 OT
06/10/24AFukui76-91
05/10/24AFukui73-80 OT
05/05/24ASun Rockers Shibuya59-82
04/05/24ASun Rockers Shibuya79-94
28/04/24HYokohama83-56
27/04/24HYokohama69-79
21/04/24AToyama74-73
20/04/24AToyama71-62
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24HToyama56-95
12/10/24HToyama75-97
06/10/24ANara96-91
05/10/24ANara91-84
05/05/24AShiga79-92
04/05/24AShiga79-93
03/05/24AShiga88-84
21/04/24AIwate76-83
20/04/24AIwate86-87 OT
14/04/24HNara90-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
Home--
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %50%-50%
Points / game86.2-86.2
Allowed / game81.8-81.8
Point differential+4.5-+4.5
Avg total168.0-168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%-25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%-50%
Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game79.565.593.5
Allowed / game91.896.087.5
Point differential-12.2-30.5+6.0
Avg total171.2161.5181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba550100%92.873.8+19.0
2 Kagoshima Rebnise54180%80.479.8+0.6
3 Toyama43175%89.878.8+11.0
4 Kobe43175%90.581.2+9.2
5 Shizuoka53260%74.674.0+0.6
6 Shinshu42250%86.281.8+4.5
7 Fukui42250%85.583.5+2.0
8 Fukushima42250%79.883.5-3.8
9 Aomori42250%79.591.8-12.2
10 Fukuoka52340%80.475.4+5.0
11 Yamagata Wyverns41325%79.080.0-1.0
12 Nara51420%84.684.8-0.2
13 Ehime Orange Vikings51420%75.489.6-14.2
14 Kumamoto4040%72.095.2-23.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu2019191674
Aomori121782966
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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