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Toyama vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 08:35
Final 80-78
16-24 19-19 19-15 26-20
Position#3
Record7-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game81.2
Toyama 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#5
Record8-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game77.0
JapanB2.League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Shinshu
06 Apr 2025
TOYA96
SHIN85
05 Apr 2025
TOYA67
SHIN80
10 Nov 2024
TOYA66
SHIN74
09 Nov 2024
TOYA80
SHIN78
21 Apr 2024
TOYA73
SHIN74
20 Apr 2024
TOYA62
SHIN71
16 Apr 2023
TOYA102
SHIN96
15 Apr 2023
TOYA65
SHIN95
30 Nov 2022
TOYA70
SHIN61
15 Dec 2021
TOYA92
SHIN75
03 Oct 2021
TOYA41
SHIN55
02 Oct 2021
TOYA71
SHIN72
26 Oct 2014
TOYA95
SHIN80
25 Oct 2014
TOYA108
SHIN88
23 Feb 2014
TOYA68
SHIN69
22 Feb 2014
TOYA86
SHIN70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
L
81-99
81
99
-18
74avg 68
H06/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
97-75
97
75
+22
92avg 68
A12/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
95-56
95
56
+39
96avg 68
A13/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
78-107
78
107
-29
75avg 68
A19/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
88-64
88
64
+24
89avg 68
A20/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
104-79
104
79
+25
100avg 68
H23/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
82avg 68
A26/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 68
A27/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
77avg 68
A02/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
90-64
90
64
+26
94avg 68
A03/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
23-23
13-31
22-26
20-26
22-22
26-10
29-17
26-15
19-17
24-8
26-16
16-34
24-18
25-26
13-29
23-14
24-21
32-15
9-14
18-24
32-17
29-20
25-18
14-25
25-25
25-25
26-25
24-19
21-19
16-19
13-25
26-24
30-14
20-24
9-20
32-9
22-28
17-14
19-13
169.0Avg total
88.2Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.081.2169.2+6.864%
Season at home (3)90.387.7178.0+2.767%
Season away (8)87.178.8165.9+8.462%
Last 10 (10)88.280.8169.0+7.460%
Last 5 (5)88.681.4170.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.188.5157.6-19.40%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.572.8150.2+4.850%
vs Weaker (7)89.980.7170.6+9.171%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
76-91
76
91
-15
72avg 68
A06/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
98-92 OT
98
92
+6
85avg 68
A12/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 68
A13/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
66avg 68
H19/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
89-73
89
73
+16
88avg 68
H20/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
92-77
92
77
+15
81avg 68
H23/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
101-74
101
74
+27
94avg 68
A26/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 68
A27/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
64-74
64
74
-10
53avg 68
H02/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
102-76
102
76
+26
106avg 68
H03/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
13-18
16-26
24-21
18-17
14-21
20-13
19-20
23-16
25-9
19-22
31-17
20-12
19-17
19-8
16-29
19-13
28-15
24-23
18-22
30-14
24-19
23-23
15-21
20-6
27-22
25-22
29-24
30-22
19-19
24-20
20-19
17-23
15-21
20-14
12-16
28-19
27-25
28-19
19-13
165.4Avg total
88.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.377.0164.3+10.373%
Season at home (5)84.273.2157.4+11.080%
Season away (6)89.880.2170.0+9.767%
Last 10 (10)88.776.7165.4+12.080%
Last 5 (5)90.476.2166.6+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.281.5157.6-5.312%
vs Similar ◀ (3)79.070.7149.7+8.3100%
vs Weaker (10)86.877.0163.8+9.870%
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
ToyamaShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A12/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A13/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A19/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A20/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H23/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A26/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A27/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A02/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A03/11
B2.League
87.7Avg total
46.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.242.580.7-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.440.277.7-2.842%-
Last 30 away (18)38.744.082.7-5.328%-
Last 10 (10)46.441.387.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.840.889.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.543.878.3-9.316%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)43.836.580.2+7.275%-
vs Weaker (7)44.942.487.3+2.457%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A06/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A13/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H19/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H20/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H23/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A26/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A27/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H02/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H03/11
B2.League
79.3Avg total
43.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.679.3+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.441.483.8+1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)37.438.175.4-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)43.935.479.3+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)47.438.085.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.643.481.0-5.724%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)41.732.774.3+9.067%-
vs Weaker (10)42.735.378.0+7.470%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.524.8
54.5%
51.0%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.6
33.9%
32.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.6
73.6%
70.7%15.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.324.5
56.6%
51.0%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.5
31.5%
32.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.414.0
72.2%
70.7%14.0
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
WWLLWWLWWL
Shinshu
WLWWWWWWWL
#3
League position
#5
+9.4
Net rating
+15.7
116.1
Offensive rating
112.9
106.7
Defensive rating
97.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
18.9%
Turnover %
14.5%
41.6%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.9%
3-point %
31.5%
65.4%
Assist %
60.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 112.9Defence106.7 · 97.2Shooting53.3% · 53.0%3-point %33.9% · 31.5%Ball care18.9% · 14.5%Off. rebounds41.6% · 31.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Toyama   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toyama wins
7
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
21/04/24Toyama v Shinshu73-74
20/04/24Toyama v Shinshu62-71
05/11/23Shinshu v Toyama83-79
04/11/23Shinshu v Toyama86-79
16/04/23Toyama v Shinshu102-96
15/04/23Toyama v Shinshu65-95
15/03/23Shinshu v Toyama80-66
30/11/22Toyama v Shinshu70-61
23/03/22Shinshu v Toyama78-71
15/12/21Toyama v Shinshu92-75
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise90-64
02/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise85-82
27/10/24AAltiri Chiba74-82
26/10/24AAltiri Chiba90-100
23/10/24HFukushima104-79
20/10/24AYamagata Wyverns88-64
19/10/24AYamagata Wyverns78-107
13/10/24AAomori95-56
12/10/24AAomori97-75
06/10/24HKobe81-99
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24HYamagata Wyverns102-76
02/11/24HYamagata Wyverns64-74
27/10/24AFukushima93-80
26/10/24AFukushima101-74
23/10/24HFukuoka92-77
20/10/24HAomori89-73
19/10/24HAomori74-66
13/10/24AEhime Orange Vikings98-64
12/10/24AEhime Orange Vikings98-92 OT
06/10/24AFukui76-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game88.090.387.1
Allowed / game81.287.778.8
Point differential+6.8+2.7+8.4
Avg total169.2178.0165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game87.384.289.8
Allowed / game77.073.280.2
Point differential+10.3+11.0+9.7
Avg total164.3157.4170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %18%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba12120100%90.875.8+15.0
2 Shinshu118373%87.377.0+10.3
3 Kagoshima Rebnise128467%80.881.1-0.3
4 Toyama117464%88.081.2+6.8
5 Fukui117464%81.476.4+5.0
6 Shizuoka127558%77.376.3+1.0
7 Aomori126650%80.284.6-4.3
8 Fukuoka115645%80.477.5+2.8
9 Kobe115645%82.582.7-0.2
10 Nara125742%80.280.4-0.2
11 Yamagata Wyverns114736%79.783.8-4.1
12 Fukushima124833%77.683.7-6.1
13 Ehime Orange Vikings111109%75.388.3-13.0
14 Kumamoto111109%75.989.1-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama1619192680
Shinshu2419152078
← all games of the day
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