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Apolonia Fier vs Elbasani Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 144-93
38-20 40-26 27-25 39-22
Position#5
Record11-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game83.1
Apolonia Fier 🏆
Albania
vs
Elbasani
Albania
Position#9
Record5-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game94.1
AlbaniaSuperligaRound 21· Pallati Sportit Flamurtari
Other2023-24
Meetings · Apolonia Fier v Elbasani
22 Mar 2026
APOL91
ELBA62
07 Apr 2024
APOL144
ELBA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apolonia Fier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Elbasani winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apolonia FierAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFier
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#9
W
98-79
98
79
+19
93avg 78
A08/12
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#11
W
111-75
111
75
+36
109avg 78
H15/12
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
74-95
74
95
-21
63avg 78
A27/01
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
86avg 78
A03/02
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
W
95-70
95
70
+25
89avg 78
H11/02
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
W
75-70
75
70
+5
71avg 78
H10/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
60-101
60
101
-41
48avg 78
A14/03
Superliga
Fieri
#10
W
105-69
105
69
+36
105avg 78
H17/03
Superliga
Vllaznia
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
79avg 78
H23/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#7
W
98-85
98
85
+13
90avg 78
A04/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
30-22
23-16
22-21
33-13
29-16
21-17
28-29
9-25
17-22
16-28
32-20
24-17
13-20
26-23
20-18
20-25
19-10
34-18
22-17
19-15
23-23
9-11
24-21
17-27
14-22
19-30
10-22
26-15
22-21
25-17
32-16
27-15
19-34
15-19
23-18
24-18
22-26
25-23
27-18
169.1Avg total
88.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.883.1167.8+1.761%
Season at home (9)88.382.4170.8+5.967%
Season away (9)81.283.7164.9-2.456%
Last 10 (10)88.380.8169.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)84.482.2166.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.887.3160.2-14.517%
vs Similar (11)80.481.6162.0-1.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)94.175.0169.1+19.1100%
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElbasaniAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormElbasani
Date
Competition
Apolonia Fier
#5
L
79-98
79
98
-19
64avg 70
H08/12
Superliga
Vllaznia
#2
L
84-102
84
102
-18
67avg 70
A16/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
55avg 70
H26/01
Superliga
Fieri
#10
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 70
A03/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#11
W
96-74
96
74
+22
90avg 70
A10/02
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
100-130
100
130
-30
86avg 70
H01/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
L
58-103
58
103
-45
50avg 70
A09/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
86-108
86
108
-22
72avg 70
H13/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
L
71-89
71
89
-18
67avg 70
A24/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
74-148
74
148
-74
53avg 70
H03/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
22-30
16-23
21-22
21-25
16-21
19-24
28-32
24-20
16-22
14-21
12-14
18-20
22-19
23-16
22-23
22-16
31-14
25-17
18-27
25-31
23-23
27-43
25-33
6-38
22-28
15-16
15-21
21-24
20-33
26-25
19-26
17-17
30-22
14-35
10-15
13-35
17-33
25-45
19-35
180.6Avg total
79.9Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.294.1174.3-13.928%
Season at home (9)85.292.3177.6-7.122%
Season away (9)75.195.9171.0-20.833%
Last 10 (10)79.9100.7180.6-20.820%
Last 5 (5)77.8115.6193.4-37.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.4102.1176.5-27.87%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)100.566.0166.5+34.5100%
This opponent (Apolonia Fier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -5.9-5.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -5.9-5.9
Apolonia FierElbasani
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Apolonia FierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#9
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#11
W
62-29
62
29
+33
H15/12
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A27/01
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A03/02
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H11/02
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A14/03
Superliga
Fieri
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H17/03
Superliga
Vllaznia
#2
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H23/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A04/04
Superliga
83.6Avg total
43.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.441.781.2-2.341%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.940.380.2-0.347%-
Last 30 away (14)38.943.382.2-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.683.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.285.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.545.277.7-12.69%-
vs Similar (11)39.741.180.8-1.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)49.937.387.1+12.6100%-
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElbasaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apolonia Fier
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/12
Superliga
Vllaznia
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A16/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H26/01
Superliga
Fieri
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A03/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#11
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A10/02
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H01/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
L
28-66
28
66
-38
A09/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H13/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
30-68
30
68
-38
H03/04
Superliga
90.0Avg total
40.6Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)41.644.986.5-3.344%-
Last 30 at home (9)44.943.388.2+1.644%-
Last 30 away (9)38.346.484.8-8.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.649.490.0-8.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.856.895.6-18.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.149.787.9-11.629%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)53.828.081.8+25.8100%-
This opponent (Apolonia Fier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Apolonia Fiertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apolonia Fier: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
56%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.5
56.5%
52.4%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.7
30.4%
31.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.412.2
66.3%
66.8%12.2
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Elbasanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Elbasani: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
56%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.324.2
53.4%
52.4%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.15.6
24.2%
31.7%16.8
🏀 Free throws21.014.2
67.6%
66.8%14.2
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Apolonia Fier
WLWLWWWLWW
Elbasani
LLLLLWWLLL
#5
League position
#9
+9.3
Net rating
-24.4
108.9
Offensive rating
93.1
99.5
Defensive rating
117.5
52.6%
Effective FG%
47.7%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.1%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.4%
3-point %
24.2%
53.9%
Assist %
42.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 93.1Defence99.5 · 117.5Shooting52.6% · 47.7%3-point %30.4% · 24.2%Ball care18.7% · 20.1%Off. rebounds34.8% · 23.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Apolonia Fier   ■ Elbasani
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Apolonia Fier wins
0
Elbasani wins
DateGameScore
08/12/23Elbasani v Apolonia Fier79-98
Apolonia Fierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24APartizani Tirana98-85
23/03/24HVllaznia84-86
17/03/24HFieri105-69
14/03/24ABeselidhja60-101
10/03/24HPBC Flamurtari75-70
11/02/24HKamza Basket95-70
03/02/24ATeuta Durres83-78
27/01/24ATirana74-95
15/12/23HSkenderbeu111-75
08/12/23AElbasani98-79
Elbasanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/24HBeselidhja74-148
24/03/24APBC Flamurtari71-89
13/03/24HKamza Basket86-108
09/03/24ATeuta Durres58-103
01/03/24HTirana100-130
10/02/24ASkenderbeu96-74
03/02/24AFieri85-78
26/01/24HPartizani Tirana66-77
16/12/23AVllaznia84-102
08/12/23HApolonia Fier79-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apolonia Fier
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW61%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game84.888.381.2
Allowed / game83.182.483.7
Point differential+1.7+5.9-2.4
Avg total167.8170.8164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%33%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Elbasani
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%22%33%
Points / game80.285.275.1
Allowed / game94.192.395.9
Point differential-13.9-7.1-20.8
Avg total174.3177.6171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja19190100%105.667.1+38.5
2 Teuta Durres1914574%94.280.2+14.0
3 Vllaznia1914574%83.375.4+7.9
4 Tirana1813572%95.673.0+22.6
5 Apolonia Fier1811761%84.883.1+1.7
6 Kamza Basket2012860%88.878.2+10.5
7 PBC Flamurtari1871139%73.481.5-8.1
8 Partizani Tirana1961332%80.782.1-1.4
9 Elbasani1851328%80.294.1-13.9
10 Fieri1921711%70.495.8-25.4
11 Skenderbeu190190%61.7108.7-47.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Apolonia Fier38402739144
Elbasani2026252293
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