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Elbasani vs Tirana Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 100-130
25-31 23-23 27-43 25-33
Position#9
Record5-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game85.8
Elbasani
Albania
vs
Tirana 🏆
Albania
Position#3
Record9-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game72.8
AlbaniaSuperligaRound 15· Tomorr Sinani
Other2023-24
Meetings · Elbasani v Tirana
18 Dec 2025
ELBA76
TIRA124
16 Apr 2025
ELBA55
TIRA103
01 Mar 2024
ELBA100
TIRA130
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elbasani winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tirana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElbasaniAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormElbasani
Date
Competition
Tirana
#3
L
72-101
72
101
-29
52avg 72
A29/10
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
L
62-75
62
75
-13
50avg 72
H03/11
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
77-115
77
115
-38
64avg 72
A10/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
L
79-83
79
83
-4
77avg 72
H24/11
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
51-122
51
122
-71
24avg 72
A02/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#5
L
79-98
79
98
-19
64avg 72
H08/12
Superliga
Vllaznia
#2
L
84-102
84
102
-18
67avg 72
A16/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
55avg 72
H26/01
Superliga
Fieri
#10
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 72
A03/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#11
W
96-74
96
74
+22
90avg 72
A10/02
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-25
15-25
15-29
19-13
14-19
12-23
17-20
16-29
16-27
15-33
30-26
22-21
26-20
16-23
15-19
15-33
12-25
20-32
4-32
20-23
22-30
16-23
21-22
21-25
16-21
19-24
28-32
24-20
16-22
14-21
12-14
18-20
22-19
23-16
22-23
22-16
31-14
25-17
18-27
167.6Avg total
75.1Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.185.8166.9-4.838%
Season at home (6)84.574.2158.7+10.333%
Season away (7)78.195.9174.0-17.743%
Last 10 (10)75.192.5167.6-17.420%
Last 5 (5)82.085.8167.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.494.7167.1-22.211%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)100.566.0166.5+34.5100%
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TiranaAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTirana
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#9
W
101-72
101
72
+29
110avg 88
H29/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#11
W
92-47
92
47
+45
94avg 88
A04/11
Superliga
Fieri
#10
W
104-54
104
54
+50
108avg 88
H11/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
W
93-92
93
92
+1
90avg 88
H19/11
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
76-78
76
78
-2
69avg 88
A24/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
W
81-47
81
47
+34
88avg 88
A09/12
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
88-96
88
96
-8
79avg 88
H15/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#5
W
95-74
95
74
+21
94avg 88
H27/01
Superliga
Vllaznia
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
75avg 88
A04/02
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#7
W
103-77
103
77
+26
98avg 88
H10/02
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
25-21
25-15
29-15
28-5
29-15
15-17
20-10
29-11
27-7
27-15
21-21
28-25
19-19
17-23
29-25
21-16
22-21
21-20
12-21
22-7
23-7
22-14
14-19
20-20
22-22
15-31
31-23
25-9
22-17
28-16
20-32
14-22
19-20
26-13
18-28
26-10
23-27
24-27
30-13
163.0Avg total
91.0Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.272.8161.9+16.469%
Season at home (7)96.675.9172.4+20.786%
Season away (6)80.569.2149.7+11.350%
Last 10 (10)91.072.0163.0+19.070%
Last 5 (5)88.875.4164.2+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.096.0184.0-8.00%
vs Similar (11)77.674.4152.0+3.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)91.172.3163.4+18.878%
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +8.9+8.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +8.9+8.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
ElbasaniTirana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ElbasaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tirana
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H03/11
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A10/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H24/11
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
27-58
27
58
-31
A02/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/12
Superliga
Vllaznia
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A16/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H26/01
Superliga
Fieri
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A03/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#11
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A10/02
Superliga
83.8Avg total
39.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)42.740.383.0+2.454%-
Last 30 at home (6)47.535.282.7+12.367%-
Last 30 away (7)38.644.783.3-6.143%-
Last 10 (10)39.444.483.8-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.084.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.845.883.6-8.033%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)53.828.081.8+25.8100%-
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TiranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#11
W
57-20
57
20
+37
A04/11
Superliga
Fieri
#10
W
56-18
56
18
+38
H11/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H19/11
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A24/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
W
45-14
45
14
+31
A09/12
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H15/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#5
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H27/01
Superliga
Vllaznia
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A04/02
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H10/02
Superliga
78.8Avg total
46.6Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.836.279.1+6.659%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.235.579.7+8.767%-
Last 30 away (14)41.437.078.4+4.450%-
Last 10 (10)46.632.278.8+14.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.232.275.4+11.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.042.084.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (11)38.038.776.7-0.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.034.380.3+11.776%-
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Elbasanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Elbasani: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
56%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.622.1
48.5%
52.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.0
25.8%
31.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws19.912.9
64.8%
66.8%12.9
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tiranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tirana: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
56%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.827.2
58.2%
52.4%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.3
31.3%
31.7%22.0
🏀 Free throws19.713.4
68.4%
66.8%13.4
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Elbasani
WWLLLLLLLL
Tirana
WLWLWLWWWW
#9
League position
#3
-21.3
Net rating
+20.0
89.1
Offensive rating
112.9
110.4
Defensive rating
92.9
45.1%
Effective FG%
54.4%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
20.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
25.8%
3-point %
31.3%
48.8%
Assist %
63.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.1 · 112.9Defence110.4 · 92.9Shooting45.1% · 54.4%3-point %25.8% · 31.3%Ball care20.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds25.1% · 32.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Elbasani   ■ Tirana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Elbasani wins
1
Tirana wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Tirana v Elbasani101-72
Elbasanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24ASkenderbeu96-74
03/02/24AFieri85-78
26/01/24HPartizani Tirana66-77
16/12/23AVllaznia84-102
08/12/23HApolonia Fier79-98
02/12/23ABeselidhja51-122
24/11/23HPBC Flamurtari79-83
10/11/23AKamza Basket77-115
03/11/23HTeuta Durres62-75
29/10/23ATirana72-101
Tiranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HPartizani Tirana103-77
04/02/24AVllaznia77-83
27/01/24HApolonia Fier95-74
15/12/23HBeselidhja88-96
09/12/23APBC Flamurtari81-47
24/11/23AKamza Basket76-78
19/11/23HTeuta Durres93-92
11/11/23HFieri104-54
04/11/23ASkenderbeu92-47
29/10/23HElbasani101-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Elbasani
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%33%43%
Points / game81.184.578.1
Allowed / game85.874.295.9
Point differential-4.8+10.3-17.7
Avg total166.9158.7174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Tirana
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%86%50%
Points / game89.296.680.5
Allowed / game72.875.969.2
Point differential+16.4+20.7+11.3
Avg total161.9172.4149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja12120100%105.270.2+35.1
2 Vllaznia1410471%81.475.1+6.3
3 Tirana139469%89.272.8+16.4
4 Kamza Basket149564%87.677.9+9.8
5 Teuta Durres138562%90.281.4+8.8
6 Apolonia Fier138562%84.983.4+1.5
7 PBC Flamurtari125742%73.181.2-8.2
8 Elbasani135838%81.185.8-4.8
9 Partizani Tirana134931%83.582.7+0.8
10 Fieri121118%69.892.9-23.2
11 Skenderbeu130130%63.3106.8-43.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Elbasani25232725100
Tirana31234333130
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