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Apop Paphou vs Achilleas K. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 63-67
16-19 9-13 21-17 17-18
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game83.5
Apop Paphou
Cyprus
vs
Achilleas K. 🏆
Cyprus
Position#10
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game84.1
CyprusDivision ARound 8· Aphroditi Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Apop Paphou v Achilleas K.
25 Nov 2023
APOP63
ACHI67
11 Feb 2023
APOP79
ACHI66
05 Mar 2022
APOP63
ACHI83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apop Paphou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Achilleas K. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apop PaphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaphou
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#9
W
59-54
59
54
+5
no box
H05/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
57-92
57
92
-35
no box
A21/03
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
63-103
63
103
-40
no box
A01/04
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
48-91
48
91
-43
no box
H05/04
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
no box
H06/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
91-94
91
94
-3
82avg 68
A16/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
65avg 68
H22/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
69avg 68
A28/10
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 68
H11/11
Division A
AEL
#5
L
53-82
53
82
-29
45avg 68
A17/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
15-10
17-18
14-10
14-30
10-18
16-14
17-30
11-29
19-23
6-26
27-25
7-19
10-25
16-24
15-23
14-17
17-27
24-12
23-22
23-15
24-23
13-31
31-25
29-22
16-14
9-23
20-8
24-23
8-26
20-25
24-20
22-15
21-22
17-25
20-14
13-17
10-19
11-25
19-21
153.3Avg total
69.2Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.583.5161.0-6.050%
Season at home (3)81.777.0158.7+4.7100%
Season away (3)73.390.0163.3-16.70%
Last 10 (10)69.284.1153.3-14.940%
Last 5 (5)74.882.6157.4-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)64.179.1143.3-15.024%
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.778.7151.4-6.043%
vs Weaker (2)85.585.0170.5+0.550%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
Omonia
#11
L
60-80
60
80
-20
no box
A04/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
50-106
50
106
-56
no box
A16/03
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
H21/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 60
H08/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 60
A14/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
63-80
63
80
-17
50avg 60
H20/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 60
A29/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
84-68
84
68
+16
50avg 60
H05/11
Division A
PAEEK
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
77avg 60
A10/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
57avg 60
H18/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
12-18
13-26
23-17
13-26
8-29
17-20
12-31
17-21
23-25
11-27
20-17
22-25
22-23
15-14
17-25
20-26
13-29
17-18
21-20
16-21
18-22
12-19
17-18
12-33
15-22
34-11
15-25
16-21
23-12
17-20
28-15
21-24
16-24
20-24
25-20
25-25
12-14
16-19
17-20
156.8Avg total
70.3Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.684.1158.7-9.614%
Season at home (4)73.278.2151.5-5.025%
Season away (3)76.392.0168.3-15.70%
Last 10 (10)70.386.5156.8-16.210%
Last 5 (5)75.081.8156.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)69.383.9153.2-14.717%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.376.6151.9-1.329%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
Apop PaphouAchilleas K.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Apop PaphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#9
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H05/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A21/03
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A01/04
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
17-44
17
44
-27
H05/04
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H06/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A16/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H22/10
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A28/10
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/11
Division A
AEL
#5
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A17/11
Division A
73.0Avg total
32.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.741.072.7-9.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.738.971.5-6.240%-
Last 30 away (15)30.843.173.9-12.37%-
Last 10 (10)32.041.073.0-9.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.277.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)30.041.671.5-11.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.340.173.4-6.929%-
vs Weaker (2)45.037.582.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omonia
#11
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A04/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A16/03
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H21/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A14/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H20/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A29/10
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H05/11
Division A
PAEEK
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A10/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/11
Division A
79.5Avg total
33.6Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.741.575.2-7.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.837.872.6-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)32.445.778.1-13.314%-
Last 10 (10)33.645.979.5-12.310%-
Last 5 (5)34.843.678.4-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.643.075.6-10.522%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.436.373.7+1.143%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Apop Paphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apop Paphou: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.616.4
48.8%
51.0%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.6
32.0%
32.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.012.0
80.0%
71.2%12.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.915.3
49.5%
51.0%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.610.9
33.3%
32.6%32.6
🏀 Free throws15.010.6
70.5%
71.2%10.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/7 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Apop Paphou
LWLWLWLLLW
Achilleas K.
LLWLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#10
-11.0
Net rating
-13.4
96.5
Offensive rating
98.8
107.6
Defensive rating
112.2
48.4%
Effective FG%
49.8%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.2%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.0%
3-point %
33.3%
60.8%
Assist %
63.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 98.8Defence107.6 · 112.2Shooting48.4% · 49.8%3-point %32.0% · 33.3%Ball care17.9% · 17.2%Off. rebounds20.9% · 22.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Apop Paphou   ■ Achilleas K.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Apop Paphou wins
3
Achilleas K. wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23Apop Paphou v Achilleas K.79-66
10/12/22Achilleas K. v Apop Paphou69-49
05/03/22Apop Paphou v Achilleas K.63-83
12/12/21Achilleas K. v Apop Paphou75-68
Apop Paphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23AAEL53-82
11/11/23HParalimni80-76
28/10/23AKeravnos76-94
22/10/23HPAEEK74-67
16/10/23AApollon91-94
06/10/23HETHA Engomi91-88 OT
05/04/23HKeravnos48-91
01/04/23AKeravnos63-103
21/03/23AAEK Larnaca57-92
05/03/23HParalimni59-54
Achilleas K.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HKeravnos70-78
10/11/23APAEEK82-92
05/11/23HApollon84-68
29/10/23AETHA Engomi76-91
20/10/23HAnorthosis63-80
14/10/23AAEK Larnaca71-93
08/10/23HApoel BC76-87
21/03/23HKeravnos71-90
16/03/23AAEK Larnaca50-106
04/03/23AOmonia60-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apop Paphou
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.581.773.3
Allowed / game83.577.090.0
Point differential-6.0+4.7-16.7
Avg total161.0158.7163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Achilleas K.
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game74.673.276.3
Allowed / game84.178.292.0
Point differential-9.6-5.0-15.7
Avg total158.7151.5168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Apoel BC660100%73.067.2+5.8
2 Keravnos65183%88.267.5+20.7
3 AEK Larnaca65183%82.070.5+11.5
4 AEL86275%84.976.0+8.9
5 Anorthosis64267%81.569.8+11.7
6 Apop Paphou63350%77.583.5-6.0
7 PAEEK62433%75.079.7-4.7
8 Apollon72529%77.384.4-7.1
9 ETHA Engomi72529%76.484.4-8.0
10 Achilleas K.71614%74.684.1-9.6
11 Paralimni7070%68.487.3-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Apop Paphou169211763
Achilleas K.1913171867
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