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AEK Larnaca vs Achilleas K. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 93-71
26-20 29-13 18-17 20-21
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game94.0
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Achilleas K.
Cyprus
Position#10
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game87.0
CyprusDivision ARound 2· Kition Athletic Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.
04 Dec 2026
ALA v ACHI
upcoming
12 Dec 2025
ALA85
ACHI65
21 Dec 2024
ALA99
ACHI61
14 Oct 2023
ALA93
ACHI71
16 Mar 2023
ALA106
ACHI50
22 Dec 2021
ALA94
ACHI49
09 Jan 2011
ALA60
ACHI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Achilleas K. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#5
W
84-71
84
71
+13
no box
A19/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
90-72
90
72
+18
no box
H22/04
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A07/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
85-55
85
55
+30
no box
H10/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
87-96
87
96
-9
no box
A14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A22/05
Division A
Levice
#47
W
74-66
74
66
+8
70avg 59
A25/09
Champions League
Benfica
#28
L
59-87
59
87
-28
48avg 59
A27/09
Champions League
AEL
#5
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
no box
A09/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
24-17
23-17
17-16
22-17
23-21
24-19
21-15
21-21
19-23
24-28
20-11
19-11
14-15
27-11
25-18
20-20
26-26
18-24
23-26
12-26
20-7
11-17
21-19
14-15
20-16
21-17
17-22
20-0
25-22
8-21
21-23
15-24
16-23
18-15
10-25
12-13
21-21
21-23
22-19
155.8Avg total
79.5Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)96.094.0190.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)96.094.0190.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.576.3155.8+3.270%
Last 5 (5)73.077.2150.2-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.087.0146.0-28.00%
vs Similar (7)76.473.3149.7+3.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.966.3151.1+18.686%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
no box
H08/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
no box
A22/01
Division A
Paralimni
#9
L
61-81
61
81
-20
no box
H29/01
Division A
AEL
#6
W
88-68
88
68
+20
no box
H07/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#8
L
66-79
66
79
-13
no box
A11/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
80-103
80
103
-23
no box
H16/02
Division A
Omonia
#11
L
60-80
60
80
-20
no box
A04/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
50-106
50
106
-56
no box
A16/03
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
H21/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 69
H08/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-13
14-25
26-28
21-15
27-15
28-24
18-29
18-28
8-22
13-17
17-21
23-21
21-14
27-22
17-22
23-10
14-19
9-18
18-23
25-19
24-20
20-31
20-26
16-26
12-19
12-18
13-26
23-17
13-26
8-29
17-20
12-31
17-21
23-25
11-27
20-17
22-25
22-23
15-14
17-25
158.6Avg total
71.5Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
Season at home (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.587.1158.6-15.610%
Last 5 (5)67.493.2160.6-25.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)68.581.6150.1-13.123%
vs Similar (7)76.474.9151.3+1.643%
vs Weaker (1)68.054.0122.0+14.0100%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
AEK LarnacaAchilleas K.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/04
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A07/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H10/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A14/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A22/05
Division A
Levice
#47
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A25/09
Champions League
Benfica
#28
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A27/09
Champions League
AEL
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A09/10
Division A
74.2Avg total
38.3Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.734.475.1+6.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.933.075.9+9.979%-
Last 30 away (16)38.835.774.4+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.335.974.2+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.468.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.047.078.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (7)36.037.973.9-1.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.533.375.8+9.276%-
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#3
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H08/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A22/01
Division A
Paralimni
#9
L
21-39
21
39
-18
H29/01
Division A
AEL
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H07/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#8
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A11/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H16/02
Division A
Omonia
#11
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A04/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A16/03
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H21/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/10
Division A
77.1Avg total
34.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.438.973.3-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.437.472.8-2.038%-
Last 30 away (14)33.340.774.0-7.429%-
Last 10 (10)34.542.677.1-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)34.647.482.0-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)32.841.274.0-8.427%-
vs Similar (7)39.434.674.0+4.943%-
vs Weaker (1)34.020.054.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 59.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.716.0
40.3%
51.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.0
28.1%
32.6%18.0
🏀 Free throws13.79.7
70.7%
71.2%9.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.0
52.9%
51.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.010.0
41.7%
32.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.010.0
62.5%
71.2%10.0
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/1 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WLWWLLWWWW
Achilleas K.
LLLLLLWLLL
#2
League position
#10
-17.0
Net rating
-13.6
82.4
Offensive rating
114.7
99.5
Defensive rating
128.3
41.0%
Effective FG%
56.9%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
64.0%
19.0%
Turnover %
20.9%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.1%
3-point %
41.7%
60.6%
Assist %
64.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence82.4 · 114.7Defence99.5 · 128.3Shooting41.0% · 56.9%3-point %28.1% · 41.7%Ball care19.0% · 20.9%Off. rebounds22.4% · 36.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Achilleas K.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
AEK Larnaca wins
3
Achilleas K. wins
DateGameScore
16/03/23AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.106-50
27/11/22Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca77-74
22/12/21AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.94-49
11/10/21Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca53-75
02/12/11Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca0-20
09/01/11AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.60-62
06/11/10Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca84-73
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/23AAEL96-94 OT
27/09/23ABenfica59-87
25/09/23ALevice74-66
22/05/23AKeravnos72-70
17/05/23HKeravnos64-69
14/05/23AKeravnos87-96
10/05/23HKeravnos85-55
07/05/23AKeravnos84-83
22/04/23HAnorthosis90-72
19/04/23AAnorthosis84-71
Achilleas K.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HApoel BC76-87
21/03/23HKeravnos71-90
16/03/23AAEK Larnaca50-106
04/03/23AOmonia60-80
16/02/23HAnorthosis80-103
11/02/23AApop Paphou66-79
07/02/23HAEL88-68
29/01/23HParalimni61-81
22/01/23AETHA Engomi91-96
08/01/23HApoel BC72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game96.0-96.0
Allowed / game94.0-94.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total190.0-190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
Achilleas K.
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game87.087.0-
Point differential-11.0-11.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos110100%106.069.0+37.0
2 Anorthosis110100%89.061.0+28.0
3 Apoel BC110100%87.076.0+11.0
4 Apop Paphou110100%91.088.0+3.0
5 AEK Larnaca110100%96.094.0+2.0
6 AEL1010%94.096.0-2.0
7 ETHA Engomi1010%88.091.0-3.0
8 Achilleas K.1010%76.087.0-11.0
9 Paralimni1010%61.089.0-28.0
10 Apollon1010%69.0106.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca2629182093
Achilleas K.2013172171
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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