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Arabe Valparaiso vs Sergio Ceppi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 68-72
12-13 10-24 19-17 27-18
Position#6
Record7-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game65.9
Allowed / game66.3
Arabe Valparaiso
Chile
vs
Sergio Ceppi 🏆
Chile
Position#4
Record9-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game67.9
ChileLNB 2LNB 2 - Quarter-finals
Other2023-24
Meetings · Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi
11 May 2024
ARAB84
SERG81
06 Aug 2023
ARAB68
SERG72
05 Aug 2023
ARAB70
SERG71
23 Jul 2023
ARAB66
SERG69
29 Oct 2022
ARAB56
SERG71
11 Jun 2022
ARAB64
SERG58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arabe Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sergio Ceppi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H08/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#13
W
72-45
72
45
+27
A17/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#8
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H24/06
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
43-76
43
76
-33
A01/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#7
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H08/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#10
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H16/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H23/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H05/08
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
16-23
15-15
21-17
14-14
16-17
19-11
11-20
22-7
13-17
17-16
12-20
14-22
24-16
8-21
24-11
14-23
129.8Avg total
63.9Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)65.966.3132.2-0.347%
Season at home (7)67.963.1131.0+4.757%
Season away (8)64.269.0133.2-4.838%
Last 10 (10)63.965.9129.8-2.050%
Last 5 (5)65.866.2132.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)56.582.2138.7-25.70%
vs Similar ◀ (12)68.571.5140.0-3.033%
vs Weaker (8)73.063.2136.2+9.862%
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H28/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#13
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H11/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A17/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#7
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A02/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#10
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H09/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
62-95
62
95
-33
H09/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A23/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H30/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H30/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A05/08
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
23-16
15-15
17-21
14-14
17-16
11-19
20-11
7-22
17-13
16-17
20-12
22-14
16-24
21-8
11-24
23-14
136.5Avg total
67.6Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)67.067.9134.9-0.960%
Season at home (8)67.568.5136.0-1.050%
Season away (7)66.467.1133.6-0.771%
Last 10 (10)67.668.9136.5-1.360%
Last 5 (5)66.471.0137.4-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)60.181.1141.2-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)68.668.2136.8+0.467%
vs Weaker (9)69.861.1130.9+8.778%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
Arabe ValparaisoSergio Ceppi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H23/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/08
LNB 2
66.0Avg total
32.0Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)33.336.069.3-2.747%-
Last 30 at home (8)32.933.666.5-0.862%-
Last 30 away (11)33.637.771.4-4.136%-
Last 10 (4)32.034.066.0-2.025%-
Last 5 (4)32.034.066.0-2.025%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.239.469.6-9.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.933.669.4+2.356%-
vs Weaker (2)34.033.567.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A23/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H30/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H30/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A05/08
LNB 2
66.0Avg total
34.0Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)32.835.268.0-2.445%-
Last 30 at home (10)31.935.367.2-3.440%-
Last 30 away (10)33.735.168.8-1.450%-
Last 10 (4)34.032.066.0+2.075%-
Last 5 (4)34.032.066.0+2.075%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.342.971.1-14.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.434.068.4+0.457%-
vs Weaker (6)36.227.763.8+8.567%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Arabe Valparaiso wins
6
Sergio Ceppi wins
DateGameScore
05/08/23Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi70-71
30/07/23Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso75-56
30/07/23Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso55-68
23/07/23Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi66-69
28/05/23Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso85-76
29/10/22Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi56-71
25/09/22Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso67-53
31/07/22Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso75-106
11/06/22Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi64-58
Arabe Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/08/23HSergio Ceppi70-71
30/07/23ASergio Ceppi56-75
30/07/23ASergio Ceppi68-55
23/07/23HSergio Ceppi66-69
16/07/23HBoston C. C.69-61
08/07/23HLuis Matte Larrain55-52
01/07/23ASportiva Italiana43-76
24/06/23HStadio Italiano79-72
17/06/23ABrisas72-45
08/06/23HSportiva Italiana61-83
Sergio Ceppilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/08/23AArabe Valparaiso71-70
30/07/23HArabe Valparaiso75-56
30/07/23HArabe Valparaiso55-68
23/07/23AArabe Valparaiso69-66
09/07/23HSportiva Italiana62-95
09/07/23HBoston C. C.62-67
02/07/23ALuis Matte Larrain57-73
17/06/23AStadio Italiano76-72
11/06/23HBrisas64-46
28/05/23HArabe Valparaiso85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL47%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%57%38%
Points / game65.967.964.2
Allowed / game66.363.169.0
Point differential-0.3+4.7-4.8
Avg total132.2131.0133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%14%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sergio Ceppi
LNB 2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%50%71%
Points / game67.067.566.4
Allowed / game67.968.567.1
Point differential-0.9-1.0-0.7
Avg total134.9136.0133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sportiva Italiana14140100%88.955.1+33.9
2 Liceo Pablo Neruda15150100%92.158.9+33.1
3 Colo Colo1513287%82.461.7+20.7
4 Sergio Ceppi159660%67.067.9-0.9
5 Arabe Valparaiso157847%65.966.3-0.3
6 Truenos De Talca157847%69.471.1-1.7
7 Stadio Italiano146843%65.275.7-10.5
8 Luis Matte Larrain125742%62.365.0-2.7
9 Liceo Curico124833%73.978.9-5.0
10 Boston C. C.124833%64.270.0-5.8
11 Municipal Chillan1551033%64.080.1-16.1
12 Tomas Lawrence1221017%61.275.2-14.0
13 Brisas1221017%54.671.8-17.2
14 Aleman1221017%58.584.5-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arabe Valparaiso1210192768
Sergio Ceppi1324171872
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