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Sergio Ceppi vs Arabe Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 55-68
17-16 11-19 20-11 7-22
Position#4
Record7-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game68.7
Sergio Ceppi
Chile
vs
Arabe Valparaiso 🏆
Chile
Position#6
Record6-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game66.1
ChileLNB 2LNB 2 - Quarter-finals
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso
13 Jul 2024
SERG79
ARAB71
30 Jul 2023
SERG75
ARAB56
29 Jul 2023
SERG55
ARAB68
27 May 2023
SERG85
ARAB76
25 Sep 2022
SERG67
ARAB53
30 Jul 2022
SERG75
ARAB106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sergio Ceppi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arabe Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A29/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#7
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H07/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#10
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A13/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H28/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#13
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H11/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A17/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#7
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A02/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#10
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H09/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
62-95
62
95
-33
H09/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A23/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
23-16
15-15
17-21
14-14
137.6Avg total
67.9Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)67.068.7135.7-1.758%
Season at home (6)68.370.7139.0-2.350%
Season away (6)65.766.7132.3-1.067%
Last 10 (10)67.969.7137.6-1.860%
Last 5 (5)65.274.6139.8-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)61.379.8141.1-18.510%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.470.0140.4+0.470%
vs Weaker (10)72.060.4132.4+11.680%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#7
L
51-71
51
71
-20
A13/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#10
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A20/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A28/05
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H08/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#13
W
72-45
72
45
+27
A17/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#8
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H24/06
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
43-76
43
76
-33
A01/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#7
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H08/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#10
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H16/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H23/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
16-23
15-15
21-17
14-14
134.1Avg total
64.5Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)66.266.1132.3+0.250%
Season at home (6)67.561.8129.3+5.767%
Season away (6)65.070.3135.3-5.333%
Last 10 (10)64.569.6134.1-5.140%
Last 5 (5)62.466.0128.4-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)57.383.2140.5-25.90%
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.271.5140.7-2.340%
vs Weaker (9)71.761.9133.6+9.867%
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
Sergio CeppiArabe Valparaiso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A23/07
LNB 2
69.0Avg total
38.0Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)33.535.468.9-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (9)32.735.368.0-2.744%-
Last 30 away (11)34.335.569.7-1.255%-
Last 10 (1)38.031.069.0+7.0100%-
Last 5 (1)38.031.069.0+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.942.071.9-12.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.835.271.0+0.660%-
vs Weaker (7)36.128.064.1+8.171%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H23/07
LNB 2
69.0Avg total
31.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)32.136.668.6-4.542%-
Last 30 at home (9)31.032.363.3-1.356%-
Last 30 away (10)33.040.473.4-7.430%-
Last 10 (1)31.038.069.0-7.00%-
Last 5 (1)31.038.069.0-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.740.670.2-10.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.733.969.6+1.957%-
vs Weaker (3)30.731.061.7-0.333%-
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sergio Ceppi wins
2
Arabe Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
23/07/23Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi66-69
28/05/23Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso85-76
29/10/22Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi56-71
25/09/22Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso67-53
31/07/22Sergio Ceppi v Arabe Valparaiso75-106
11/06/22Arabe Valparaiso v Sergio Ceppi64-58
Sergio Ceppilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/07/23AArabe Valparaiso69-66
09/07/23HSportiva Italiana62-95
09/07/23HBoston C. C.62-67
02/07/23ALuis Matte Larrain57-73
17/06/23AStadio Italiano76-72
11/06/23HBrisas64-46
28/05/23HArabe Valparaiso85-76
13/05/23ABoston C. C.71-60
07/05/23HLuis Matte Larrain73-69
29/04/23ASportiva Italiana60-73
Arabe Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/07/23HSergio Ceppi66-69
16/07/23HBoston C. C.69-61
08/07/23HLuis Matte Larrain55-52
01/07/23ASportiva Italiana43-76
24/06/23HStadio Italiano79-72
17/06/23ABrisas72-45
08/06/23HSportiva Italiana61-83
28/05/23ASergio Ceppi76-85
20/05/23ABoston C. C.73-82
13/05/23ALuis Matte Larrain51-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sergio Ceppi
LNB 2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW58%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game67.068.365.7
Allowed / game68.770.766.7
Point differential-1.7-2.3-1.0
Avg total135.7139.0132.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game66.267.565.0
Allowed / game66.161.870.3
Point differential+0.2+5.7-5.3
Avg total132.3129.3135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liceo Pablo Neruda13130100%92.359.1+33.2
2 Sportiva Italiana13130100%87.754.7+33.0
3 Colo Colo1210283%82.462.5+19.9
4 Truenos De Talca127558%72.168.2+3.8
5 Sergio Ceppi127558%67.068.7-1.7
6 Arabe Valparaiso126650%66.266.1+0.2
7 Stadio Italiano136746%65.673.5-7.8
8 Luis Matte Larrain125742%62.365.0-2.7
9 Municipal Chillan135838%64.978.5-13.6
10 Liceo Curico124833%73.978.9-5.0
11 Boston C. C.124833%64.270.0-5.8
12 Tomas Lawrence1221017%61.275.2-14.0
13 Brisas1221017%54.671.8-17.2
14 Aleman1221017%58.584.5-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sergio Ceppi171120755
Arabe Valparaiso1619112268
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