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Arabe Valparaiso vs Illapel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 69-58
26-20 11-13 18-14 14-11
Position#4
Record1-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game67.3
Arabe Valparaiso 🏆
Chile
vs
Illapel
Chile
Position#7
Record2-0
FormWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game72.0
ChileLNB 2· Fortín Prat
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arabe Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illapel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValparaiso
Date
Competition
Brisas
#11
L
49-81
49
81
-32
45avg 55
H20/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
59avg 55
A07/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
60avg 55
A14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 55
H14/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
58-77
58
77
-19
44avg 55
A16/07
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
61-66
61
66
-5
45avg 55
H20/07
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
55avg 55
H21/07
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#12
L
57-75
57
75
-18
39avg 55
H29/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#13
W
90-56
90
56
+34
90avg 55
A05/04
LNB 2
The Sharks
#14
L
69-71
69
71
-2
53avg 55
A12/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
11-15
14-22
5-28
7-24
17-18
23-18
26-22
18-19
18-21
12-18
23-21
28-12
16-24
9-22
15-21
13-20
12-15
17-19
16-23
20-26
13-11
17-16
11-13
17-19
18-19
18-12
17-15
11-17
16-26
15-15
15-17
18-10
23-14
28-13
21-19
19-18
12-20
18-19
20-14
139.7Avg total
66.6Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.067.3139.3+4.733%
Season at home (1)57.075.0132.0-18.00%
Season away (2)79.563.5143.0+16.050%
Last 10 (10)66.673.1139.7-6.520%
Last 5 (5)69.466.6136.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)64.675.8140.4-11.121%
vs Similar (11)65.966.1132.0-0.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)73.269.4142.6+3.840%
This opponent (Illapel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllapelChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIllapel
Date
Competition
The Sharks
#14
W
80-77
80
77
+3
56avg 65
H05/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#12
W
76-67
76
67
+9
75avg 65
A12/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
23-25
15-21
20-13
21-21
13-10
22-20
20-16
150.0Avg total
78.0Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.072.0150.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)80.077.0157.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)76.067.0143.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (2)78.072.0150.0+6.0100%
Last 5 (2)78.072.0150.0+6.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (2)78.072.0150.0+6.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +5.5+5.5
Arabe ValparaisoIllapel
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisas
#11
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H20/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A07/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A16/07
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H20/07
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/07
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#12
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H29/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#13
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A05/04
LNB 2
The Sharks
#14
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A12/04
LNB 2
69.0Avg total
32.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.836.269.1-3.431%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.537.571.0-3.927%-
Last 30 away (14)32.134.967.0-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)32.636.469.0-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.069.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.737.169.8-4.429%-
vs Similar (10)32.236.168.3-3.930%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)34.434.268.6+0.240%-
This opponent (Illapel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllapelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
The Sharks
#14
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H05/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A12/04
LNB 2
76.5Avg total
39.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)39.537.076.5+2.5100%-
Last 30 at home (1)45.043.088.0+2.0100%-
Last 30 away (1)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
Last 10 (2)39.537.076.5+2.5100%-
Last 5 (2)39.537.076.5+2.5100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (2)39.537.076.5+2.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Arabe Valparaisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arabe Valparaiso: 65.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.118.5
45.0%
46.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.75.4
22.8%
27.9%16.2
🏀 Free throws20.812.4
59.6%
64.0%12.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illapeltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illapel: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.5
50.0%
46.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.58.5
39.5%
27.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.517.5
74.5%
64.0%17.5
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Arabe Valparaiso
LWLWLLLLLL
Illapel
WW
#4
League position
#7
-8.4
Net rating
+8.9
83.8
Offensive rating
99.1
92.2
Defensive rating
90.2
41.0%
Effective FG%
53.5%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
39.7%
22.5%
Turnover %
24.7%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.42
22.8%
3-point %
39.5%
50.6%
Assist %
51.9%
20%
Form (last 10/2)
100%

Profile

Offence83.8 · 99.1Defence92.2 · 90.2Shooting41.0% · 53.5%3-point %22.8% · 39.5%Ball care22.5% · 24.7%Off. rebounds30.9% · 22.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.42Form (last 10/2)20% · 100%
■ Arabe Valparaiso   ■ Illapel
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arabe Valparaiso wins
0
Illapel wins
No previous meetings.
Arabe Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25AThe Sharks69-71
05/04/25AArturo Prat San Felipe90-56
29/03/25HQuilpue Basquetbol57-75
21/07/24HMunicipal Chillan70-65
20/07/24HAleman61-66
16/07/24ABoston C. C.58-77
14/07/24HStadio Italiano68-79
14/07/24ASergio Ceppi71-79
07/07/24AColo Colo73-82
20/06/24HBrisas49-81
Illapellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25AQuilpue Basquetbol76-67
05/04/25HThe Sharks80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game72.057.079.5
Allowed / game67.375.063.5
Point differential+4.7-18.0+16.0
Avg total139.3132.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illapel
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.080.076.0
Allowed / game72.077.067.0
Point differential+6.0+3.0+9.0
Avg total150.0157.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Puerto Montt330100%90.365.7+24.7
2 Truenos De Talca220100%70.061.0+9.0
3 Illapel220100%78.072.0+6.0
4 Boston C. C.32167%70.065.0+5.0
5 Stadio Italiano32167%78.374.3+4.0
6 Aleman32167%60.056.3+3.7
7 Luis Matte Larrain32167%71.368.0+3.3
8 CDSB Constitucion21150%79.073.5+5.5
9 Regional Temuco21150%80.075.0+5.0
10 Quilpue Basquetbol21150%71.066.5+4.5
11 The Sharks21150%74.074.5-0.5
12 Municipal Chillan21150%70.073.5-3.5
13 Liceo Curico21150%65.570.5-5.0
14 Omega21150%32.040.5-8.5
15 Arabe Valparaiso31233%72.067.3+4.7
16 Sergio Ceppi31233%68.074.7-6.7
17 Tinguiririca2020%67.073.0-6.0
18 Brisas2020%61.069.5-8.5
19 CD Huachipato4040%59.879.2-19.5
20 Arturo Prat San Felipe1010%56.090.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arabe Valparaiso2611181469
Illapel2013141158
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