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Arabe Valparaiso vs Luis Matte Larrain Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 53-69
14-13 16-10 13-20 10-26
Position#25
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game59.4
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#22
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game56.2
Allowed / game85.4
ChileCopa ChileRound 8
Other2022
Meetings · Arabe Valparaiso v Luis Matte Larrain
13 Apr 2024
ARAB80
LUIS76
08 Jul 2023
ARAB55
LUIS52
13 Nov 2022
ARAB53
LUIS69
18 Jun 2022
ARAB61
LUIS51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arabe Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Luis Matte Larrain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manquehue
#4
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A10/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A16/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#14
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H23/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
81-108
81
108
-27
H26/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#8
W
106-75
106
75
+31
A31/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#18
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A25/09
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
A07/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#14
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H16/10
Copa Chile
Sergio Ceppi
#18
L
56-71
56
71
-15
H29/10
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
51-82
51
82
-31
A06/11
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
13-20
16-16
10-16
15-18
19-31
10-19
18-17
14-21
19-10
23-19
14-23
18-21
30-25
13-31
20-31
16-27
34-13
29-13
27-22
12-22
10-10
15-23
16-12
18-12
21-15
16-24
18-22
16-21
17-9
9-13
8-14
20-20
12-10
15-16
9-25
13-25
18-12
8-22
12-23
144.6Avg total
67.4Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)59.471.2130.6-11.820%
Season at home (2)53.064.0117.0-11.00%
Season away (3)63.776.0139.7-12.333%
Last 10 (10)67.477.2144.6-9.820%
Last 5 (5)59.471.2130.6-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)61.983.3145.2-21.46%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.377.0154.3+0.356%
vs Weaker (5)69.464.4133.8+5.060%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisas
#14
L
53-81
53
81
-28
A03/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
61-98
61
98
-37
A17/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#8
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H23/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
43-77
43
77
-34
H24/07
LNB 2
Manquehue
#4
L
52-90
52
90
-38
A30/07
LNB 2
Catolica
#14
L
30-108
30
108
-78
A30/09
Copa Chile
Arabe Valparaiso
#25
L
79-87 OT
79
87
-8
H07/10
Copa Chile
Sergio Ceppi
#18
L
65-93
65
93
-28
A15/10
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
61-80
61
80
-19
H23/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#14
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H06/11
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-17
19-18
15-25
11-21
11-31
14-23
17-29
19-15
14-19
17-21
13-14
19-11
11-20
9-15
11-18
12-24
17-23
12-23
8-19
15-25
8-33
3-25
8-22
11-28
12-18
15-21
24-16
22-18
9-27
16-23
17-17
23-26
19-15
18-6
10-32
14-27
14-18
9-14
21-9
2-18
139.1Avg total
55.3Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)56.285.4141.6-29.20%
Season at home (3)62.075.3137.3-13.30%
Season away (2)47.5100.5148.0-53.00%
Last 10 (10)55.383.8139.1-28.50%
Last 5 (5)56.285.4141.6-29.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)55.778.0133.7-22.312%
vs Similar ◀ (3)68.371.3139.7-3.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -9.8-9.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -6.5-6.5
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -9.8-9.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -6.5-6.5
Arabe ValparaisoLuis Matte Larrain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manquehue
#4
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A10/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A16/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#14
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H23/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H26/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A31/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#18
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A25/09
Copa Chile
Luis Matte Larrain
#22
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A07/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#14
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H16/10
Copa Chile
Sergio Ceppi
#18
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H29/10
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A06/11
Copa Chile
71.9Avg total
35.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.537.570.0-5.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.435.368.7-1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)31.539.771.3-8.233%-
Last 10 (10)35.436.571.9-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)31.431.262.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.141.072.1-9.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.035.270.2-0.267%-
vs Weaker (5)32.230.462.6+1.860%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisas
#14
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A03/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
25-54
25
54
-29
A17/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H23/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#6
L
20-35
20
35
-15
H24/07
LNB 2
Manquehue
#4
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A30/07
LNB 2
Catolica
#14
L
11-58
11
58
-47
A30/09
Copa Chile
Arabe Valparaiso
#25
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H07/10
Copa Chile
Sergio Ceppi
#18
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A15/10
Copa Chile
Sportiva Italiana
#2
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H23/10
Copa Chile
Catolica
#14
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H06/11
Copa Chile
66.5Avg total
25.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)26.536.963.4-10.432%-
Last 30 at home (10)28.433.962.3-5.540%-
Last 30 away (9)24.440.264.7-15.822%-
Last 10 (10)25.541.066.5-15.510%-
Last 5 (5)24.640.064.6-15.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)26.137.763.8-11.631%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)28.732.761.3-4.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Arabe Valparaiso wins
1
Luis Matte Larrain wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/22ASportiva Italiana51-82
29/10/22HSergio Ceppi56-71
16/10/22HCatolica50-57
07/10/22ALuis Matte Larrain87-79 OT
25/09/22ASergio Ceppi53-67
31/07/22ASergio Ceppi106-75
26/07/22HSportiva Italiana81-108
23/07/22HBrisas70-73
16/07/22ABoston C. C.62-85
10/07/22AManquehue58-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/22HCatolica46-59
23/10/22HSportiva Italiana61-80
15/10/22ASergio Ceppi65-93
07/10/22HArabe Valparaiso79-87 OT
30/09/22ACatolica30-108
30/07/22AManquehue52-90
24/07/22HBoston C. C.43-77
23/07/22HSergio Ceppi63-65
17/07/22ASportiva Italiana61-98
03/07/22ABrisas53-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arabe Valparaiso
Copa Chile 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game59.453.063.7
Allowed / game71.264.076.0
Point differential-11.8-11.0-12.3
Avg total130.6117.0139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%33%
Luis Matte Larrain
Copa Chile 2022
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game56.262.047.5
Allowed / game85.475.3100.5
Point differential-29.2-13.3-53.0
Avg total141.6137.3148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 U. De Concepcion660100%113.062.2+50.8
2 Leones Quilpue550100%84.848.2+36.6
3 Ancud770100%96.664.3+32.3
4 Sportiva Italiana550100%78.463.8+14.6
5 CD Puerto Varas65183%100.369.7+30.7
6 Espanol Osorno65183%97.770.8+26.8
7 Manquehue65183%82.260.0+22.2
8 Valdivia65183%82.069.3+12.7
9 Puente Alto43175%80.861.8+19.0
10 Tinguiririca75271%77.070.6+6.4
11 Catolica64267%71.555.7+15.8
12 Quilicura64267%78.869.5+9.3
13 Truenos De Talca64267%70.780.5-9.8
14 Sergio Ceppi53260%72.465.0+7.4
15 Las Animas53260%81.680.2+1.4
16 Espanol de Talca63350%75.269.7+5.5
17 Boston C. C.42250%65.069.2-4.2
18 Deportes Castro62433%70.079.7-9.7
19 Puerto Montt62433%70.082.0-12.0
20 Municipal Chillan62433%68.381.0-12.7
21 Arabe Valparaiso51420%59.471.2-11.8
22 Brisas51420%49.478.0-28.6
23 Tomas Lawrence61517%64.378.0-13.7
24 Stadio Italiano61517%62.879.3-16.5
25 Liceo Pablo Neruda61517%67.591.5-24.0
26 Liceo Curico71614%56.478.1-21.7
27 Temuco5050%69.289.2-20.0
28 Luis Matte Larrain5050%56.285.4-29.2
29 Aleman6060%51.585.3-33.8
30 CDSC Osorno7070%56.396.3-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arabe Valparaiso1416131053
Luis Matte Larrain1310202669
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