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Arabe Valparaiso vs Truenos De Talca Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 May 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 43-57
16-23 13-6 7-12 7-16
Position#10
Record5-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#2
Record6-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game70.8
ChileLNB 2· Fortín Prat
Other2024-25
Meetings · Arabe Valparaiso v Truenos De Talca
25 May 2024
ARAB43
TRUE57
26 Sep 2021
ARAB61
TRUE62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arabe Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Truenos De Talca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValparaiso
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 63
A23/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
79-65
79
65
+14
76avg 63
H30/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
73-51
73
51
+22
74avg 63
A07/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
71avg 63
H13/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 63
H20/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
51-83
51
83
-32
40avg 63
H27/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
75avg 63
H11/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
56-96
56
96
-40
39avg 63
A12/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
53avg 63
A18/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
49-52
49
52
-3
no box
A19/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
17-16
14-17
31-25
23-19
19-16
15-23
22-7
18-5
18-14
22-14
15-18
18-18
18-13
20-23
24-22
24-25
23-13
4-26
25-15
9-24
14-16
15-23
13-20
18-23
19-24
20-17
27-17
9-15
21-30
10-25
16-26
15-23
16-25
16-16
17-12
–
–
–
–
142.3Avg total
69.0Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.073.3142.3-4.350%
Season at home (5)74.076.8150.8-2.860%
Season away (5)64.069.8133.8-5.840%
Last 10 (10)69.073.3142.3-4.350%
Last 5 (5)60.877.6138.4-16.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)62.181.2143.2-19.125%
vs Similar (11)62.967.9130.8-5.027%
vs Weaker (7)74.660.3134.9+14.386%
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Truenos De TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 59
A30/03
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
76-58
76
58
+18
72avg 59
H07/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
73-85
73
85
-12
59avg 59
A13/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
66avg 59
A20/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
57-61
57
61
-4
36avg 59
A21/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
70-58
70
58
+12
64avg 59
A28/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
77-65
77
65
+12
69avg 59
H01/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
72avg 59
H05/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
61-59
61
59
+2
53avg 59
A12/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
32avg 59
H19/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
25-20
14-28
14-13
23-10
19-16
17-15
17-17
17-18
18-26
20-21
18-20
13-24
18-15
20-26
24-13
16-23
12-15
13-11
16-12
23-22
24-10
14-14
9-12
13-22
19-14
26-14
19-15
26-15
17-21
21-29
23-19
9-21
21-16
24-12
7-10
17-11
20-15
16-20
22-26
142.7Avg total
72.6Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.770.8143.5+1.955%
Season at home (5)77.871.4149.2+6.480%
Season away (6)68.570.3138.8-1.833%
Last 10 (10)72.670.1142.7+2.560%
Last 5 (5)74.067.6141.6+6.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.085.8151.8-19.80%
vs Similar (6)71.067.5138.5+3.583%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)73.867.5141.3+6.367%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
Arabe ValparaisoTruenos De Talca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A07/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H13/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H20/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H27/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H11/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/05
LNB 2
72.2Avg total
35.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)31.636.668.2-5.139%-
Last 30 at home (10)32.436.068.4-3.640%-
Last 30 away (8)30.537.467.9-6.938%-
Last 10 (9)35.037.272.2-2.256%-
Last 5 (5)33.643.677.2-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.039.770.7-8.730%-
vs Similar (7)30.932.463.3-1.643%-
vs Weaker (1)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Truenos De TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A30/03
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H07/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A13/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A20/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A21/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A28/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H01/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A12/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H19/05
LNB 2
72.6Avg total
37.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.135.270.3-0.145%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.334.470.7+1.950%-
Last 30 away (15)34.035.969.9-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.235.472.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.471.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.440.976.3-5.433%-
vs Similar (6)34.731.265.8+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)35.133.368.4+1.850%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Arabe Valparaisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arabe Valparaiso: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.8
49.3%
44.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.6
28.6%
28.7%19.7
🏀 Free throws20.813.3
64.2%
63.6%13.3
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Truenos De Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Truenos De Talca: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.518.6
45.9%
44.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.0
29.9%
28.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.613.2
64.1%
63.6%13.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Arabe Valparaiso
LLLWLLWWWW
Truenos De Talca
WWWWWLLLWL
#10
League position
#2
-5.8
Net rating
+2.5
86.9
Offensive rating
95.1
92.7
Defensive rating
92.6
46.9%
Effective FG%
45.5%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
25.9%
Turnover %
18.3%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.6%
3-point %
29.9%
56.6%
Assist %
49.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.9 · 95.1Defence92.7 · 92.6Shooting46.9% · 45.5%3-point %28.6% · 29.9%Ball care25.9% · 18.3%Off. rebounds26.2% · 28.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Arabe Valparaiso   ■ Truenos De Talca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Arabe Valparaiso wins
2
Truenos De Talca wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24AMunicipal Chillan49-52
18/05/24AAleman64-76
12/05/24AStadio Italiano56-96
11/05/24HSergio Ceppi84-81
27/04/24HColo Colo51-83
20/04/24HBoston C. C.76-79
13/04/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-76
07/04/24ABrisas73-51
30/03/24HArturo Prat San Felipe79-65
23/03/24ATruenos De Talca78-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24HLuis Matte Larrain75-72
12/05/24ABrisas61-59
05/05/24HArturo Prat San Felipe87-84
01/05/24HAleman77-65
28/04/24ABoston C. C.70-58
21/04/24AQuilpue Basquetbol57-61
20/04/24AStadio Italiano75-78
13/04/24ASergio Ceppi73-85
07/04/24HMunicipal Chillan76-58
30/03/24AColo Colo75-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game69.074.064.0
Allowed / game73.376.869.8
Point differential-4.3-2.8-5.8
Avg total142.3150.8133.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Truenos De Talca
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW55%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game72.777.868.5
Allowed / game70.871.470.3
Point differential+1.9+6.4-1.8
Avg total143.5149.2138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo11110100%83.065.8+17.2
2 Stadio Italiano117464%67.962.5+5.4
3 Sergio Ceppi117464%76.372.3+4.0
4 Aleman117464%73.870.0+3.8
5 Truenos De Talca116555%72.770.8+1.9
6 Boston C. C.116555%69.569.5+0.0
7 Luis Matte Larrain116555%70.270.8-0.6
8 Arabe Valparaiso105550%69.073.3-4.3
9 Quilpue Basquetbol115645%68.669.4-0.7
10 Municipal Chillan114736%63.070.3-7.3
11 Brisas111109%66.574.2-7.7
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe121118%73.184.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arabe Valparaiso16137743
Truenos De Talca236121657
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