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Aris vs Lukoil Levski Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-76
24-26 22-17 13-11 22-22
Position#14
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game71.2
Aris 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lukoil Levski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H13/10
Basket League
Kataja
#21
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#12
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A21/10
Basket League
BC Dnipro
#31
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H29/10
Basket League
Lukoil Levski
#8
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kataja
#21
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A10/11
Basket League
BC Dnipro
#31
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#4
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H18/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
17-24
19-21
17-17
29-16
13-26
11-16
17-21
22-24
10-21
17-13
17-12
15-22
13-11
14-11
13-7
12-25
16-19
19-12
17-12
12-24
29-24
13-17
12-12
26-16
20-19
16-20
24-33
15-16
11-18
21-13
25-14
24-12
19-14
32-26
11-9
14-18
16-20
13-18
19-12
140.4Avg total
69.7Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.671.2143.8+1.440%
Season at home (2)78.070.0148.0+8.050%
Season away (3)69.072.0141.0-3.033%
Last 10 (10)69.770.7140.4-1.030%
Last 5 (5)74.471.0145.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.775.2141.9-8.611%
vs Similar ◀ (8)66.265.9132.1+0.450%
vs Weaker (12)74.366.5140.8+7.858%
This opponent (Lukoil Levski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lukoil LevskiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Dnipro
#31
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#9
W
102-67
102
67
+35
H19/10
NBL
Kataja
#21
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Balkan
#3
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A27/10
NBL
Aris
#14
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#2
W
109-105
109
105
+4
H03/11
NBL
BC Dnipro
#31
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Bultex
#4
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A10/11
NBL
Kataja
#21
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#5
W
105-84
105
84
+21
H18/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
24-8
17-20
16-14
36-18
23-16
22-10
21-23
28-19
23-22
22-8
21-37
23-19
21-18
22-21
23-21
24-12
24-29
17-13
12-12
26-20
13-27
33-26
37-32
30-24
28-17
7-17
23-14
21-18
17-25
30-16
26-27
25-26
28-32
19-17
30-20
22-23
32-18
25-24
26-19
174.8Avg total
94.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.876.8165.6+12.0100%
Season at home (3)84.772.3157.0+12.3100%
Season away (2)95.083.5178.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)94.380.5174.8+13.8100%
Last 5 (5)99.688.4188.0+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.173.2151.3+4.875%
vs Weaker (18)90.178.4168.6+11.789%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
ArisLukoil Levski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H13/10
Basket League
Kataja
#21
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A21/10
Basket League
BC Dnipro
#31
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H29/10
Basket League
Lukoil Levski
#8
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kataja
#21
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A10/11
Basket League
BC Dnipro
#31
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H18/11
Basket League
74.1Avg total
35.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.636.871.4-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.235.470.6-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)34.038.072.0-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)35.039.174.1-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.273.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.640.272.8-7.711%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.135.168.2-2.050%-
vs Weaker (12)36.934.571.4+2.450%-
This opponent (Lukoil Levski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lukoil LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Dnipro
#31
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#9
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H19/10
NBL
Kataja
#21
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Balkan
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A27/10
NBL
Aris
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H03/11
NBL
BC Dnipro
#31
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Bultex
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A10/11
NBL
Kataja
#21
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H18/11
NBL
90.8Avg total
49.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.682.8+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.437.182.5+8.380%-
Last 30 away (15)43.040.183.1+2.947%-
Last 10 (10)49.441.490.8+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)48.446.094.4+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.638.080.6+4.667%-
vs Weaker (18)45.339.084.3+6.361%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
1
Lukoil Levski wins
DateGameScore
31/10/18Lukoil Levski v Aris77-66
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18HPeristeri62-68
14/11/18HBC Dnipro86-61
10/11/18AKolossos Rhodes72-61
07/11/18AKataja86-88
31/10/18ALukoil Levski66-77
29/10/18HOlympiacos64-68
24/10/18ABC Dnipro55-51
21/10/18APanionios66-70
17/10/18HKataja70-79
13/10/18HPanathinaikos70-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18HRilski Sportist105-84
14/11/18AKataja102-95
10/11/18AAcademic Bultex94-86
07/11/18ABC Dnipro88-72
03/11/18HBeroe109-105
31/10/18HAris77-66
27/10/18ABalkan89-79
23/10/18HKataja94-86
19/10/18HCherno More102-67
17/10/18HBC Dnipro83-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game72.678.069.0
Allowed / game71.270.072.0
Point differential+1.4+8.0-3.0
Avg total143.8148.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lukoil Levski
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.884.795.0
Allowed / game76.872.383.5
Point differential+12.0+12.3+11.5
Avg total165.6157.0178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears550100%106.675.4+31.2
2 Lukoil Levski550100%88.876.8+12.0
3 Sassari76186%96.078.0+18.0
4 Alba Fehervar76186%87.080.4+6.6
5 Saratov65183%96.386.8+9.5
6 Donar Groningen65183%78.873.3+5.5
7 Varese54180%86.273.2+13.0
8 Szolnoki Olaj54180%85.078.6+6.4
9 Z-Mobile Prishtina54180%85.882.6+3.2
10 Leiden86275%75.972.8+3.1
11 Nes Ziona107370%91.281.9+9.3
12 s.Oliver Wurzburg64267%77.372.7+4.7
13 Kataja96367%84.480.7+3.8
14 Balkan85362%79.074.5+4.5
15 Karsiyaka53260%80.872.4+8.4
16 Minsk53260%84.082.2+1.8
17 AEK Larnaca53260%73.476.6-3.2
18 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
19 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
20 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
21 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
22 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
23 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
24 Cherkaski Mavpy94544%81.284.0-2.8
25 Sakarya BB52340%79.276.6+2.6
26 Aris52340%72.671.2+1.4
27 Szombathely52340%77.283.0-5.8
28 Istanbul BB93633%71.978.7-6.8
29 BC Dnipro92722%70.778.2-7.6
30 FC Porto51420%79.284.4-5.2
31 CSM Oradea51420%77.084.6-7.6
32 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
33 Rilski Sportist71614%77.489.1-11.7
34 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
35 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
36 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
37 Leicester Riders5050%73.288.4-15.2
38 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
39 BC Steaua Bucuresti5050%68.289.8-21.6
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2422132281
Lukoil Levski2617112276
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