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Aris vs Manresa Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-86
18-27 25-17 21-22 15-20
Position#13
Record2-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Manresa 🏆
Position#10
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeEurocupRound 4· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manresa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
L
68-91
68
91
-23
56avg 69
A26/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
79-61
79
61
+18
80avg 69
H03/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
99-98
99
98
+1
96avg 69
A10/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
100avg 69
H17/05
Basket League
Venezia
#9
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 69
A30/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#11
L
77-91
77
91
-14
58avg 69
A04/10
Basket League
Hamburg
#20
W
98-76
98
76
+22
95avg 69
H08/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
65-73
65
73
-8
54avg 69
H11/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
59-80
59
80
-21
49avg 69
A14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#12
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
95avg 69
A18/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
16-26
13-25
12-27
16-16
17-10
26-16
20-19
19-16
35-28
19-24
26-30
18-24
26-16
23-26
33-34
20-27
29-22
21-16
15-16
20-21
22-18
27-30
8-22
20-14
25-14
25-17
28-31
22-20
18-18
18-20
7-15
18-20
17-24
16-19
8-17
18-19
19-27
16-20
30-17
171.5Avg total
84.7Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.779.0159.7+1.767%
Season at home (1)98.076.0174.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)72.080.5152.5-8.550%
Last 10 (10)84.786.8171.5-2.150%
Last 5 (5)80.485.6166.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.288.8164.9-12.625%
vs Similar (14)81.681.5163.1+0.150%
vs Weaker (4)85.887.0172.8-1.225%
This opponent (Manresa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManresa
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
L
71-81
71
81
-10
64avg 79
A11/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
65-67
65
67
-2
51avg 79
H18/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
81-83
81
83
-2
69avg 79
A24/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
86-83
86
83
+3
84avg 79
H30/05
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
69-76
69
76
-7
66avg 79
A01/10
Eurocup
Tenerife
#8
L
93-104
93
104
-11
51avg 79
A04/10
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
74-62
74
62
+12
65avg 79
H08/10
Eurocup
Granada
#18
W
83-68
83
68
+15
74avg 79
H11/10
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
101-94
101
94
+7
99avg 79
H15/10
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#15
L
80-87
80
87
-7
70avg 79
H18/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
15-26
18-13
16-24
10-21
16-18
20-14
19-14
27-20
15-23
15-19
24-21
31-26
14-16
18-26
23-15
18-29
9-13
22-19
20-15
23-23
17-25
19-28
34-28
14-15
22-13
17-16
21-18
20-11
21-13
28-24
14-20
20-24
28-30
21-19
32-21
19-31
28-22
18-20
15-14
160.8Avg total
80.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.377.3158.7+4.067%
Season at home (2)87.578.0165.5+9.5100%
Season away (1)69.076.0145.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)80.380.5160.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)86.283.0169.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.188.3169.4-7.114%
vs Similar (9)88.688.9177.4-0.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.484.3171.7+3.154%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
ArisManresa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H03/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A10/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H17/05
Basket League
Venezia
#9
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A30/09
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A04/10
Basket League
Hamburg
#20
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H08/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H11/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#12
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A18/10
Basket League
81.5Avg total
42.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.979.8-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.040.679.6-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)38.841.279.9-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.381.5+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.078.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.646.385.9-6.817%-
vs Similar (14)37.637.174.8+0.557%-
vs Weaker (4)41.037.878.8+3.275%-
This opponent (Manresa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A11/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H18/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A24/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H30/05
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A01/10
Eurocup
Tenerife
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A04/10
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H08/10
Eurocup
Granada
#18
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H11/10
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H15/10
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#15
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H18/10
ACB
80.6Avg total
38.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.987.3-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.044.189.1+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)41.843.785.5-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.780.6-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.483.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.044.783.7-5.729%-
vs Similar (9)46.144.490.6+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.943.288.2+1.754%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.3
53.6%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.1
35.8%
34.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.915.1
68.9%
75.2%15.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manresatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manresa: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.7
49.9%
54.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.2
31.5%
34.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.617.5
77.4%
75.2%17.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLLWLWWWWL
Manresa
LWWWLLWLLL
#13
League position
#10
-2.5
Net rating
+0.3
106.9
Offensive rating
102.6
109.4
Defensive rating
102.3
53.7%
Effective FG%
48.8%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.4%
Turnover %
19.3%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.8%
3-point %
31.5%
55.8%
Assist %
66.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 102.6Defence109.4 · 102.3Shooting53.7% · 48.8%3-point %35.8% · 31.5%Ball care18.4% · 19.3%Off. rebounds26.0% · 29.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Aris   ■ Manresa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
0
Manresa wins
No previous meetings.
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25AMaroussi103-108 OT
14/10/25ACedevita Olimpija59-80
11/10/25HKolossos Rhodes65-73
08/10/25HHamburg98-76
04/10/25AAS Karditsas77-91
30/09/25AVenezia85-81
17/05/25HMaroussi114-109 OT
10/05/25AKolossos Rhodes99-98
03/05/25HLavrio79-61
26/04/25AMaroussi68-91
Manresalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HGran Canaria80-87
15/10/25HHapoel Jerusalem101-94
11/10/25HGranada83-68
08/10/25HSlask Wroclaw74-62
04/10/25ATenerife93-104
01/10/25ACedevita Olimpija69-76
30/05/25HTenerife86-83
24/05/25AMoraBanc Andorra81-83
18/05/25HReal Madrid65-67
11/05/25AMurcia71-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game80.798.072.0
Allowed / game79.076.080.5
Point differential+1.7+22.0-8.5
Avg total159.7174.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manresa
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game81.387.569.0
Allowed / game77.378.076.0
Point differential+4.0+9.5-7.0
Avg total158.7165.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JL Bourg330100%77.761.3+16.3
2 Bahcesehir Kol.330100%99.083.0+16.0
3 Cedevita Olimpija330100%85.070.7+14.3
4 Ulm330100%99.094.3+4.7
5 Besiktas32167%90.382.0+8.3
6 Manresa32167%81.377.3+4.0
7 Aris32167%80.779.0+1.7
8 Slask Wroclaw32167%83.784.0-0.3
9 Chemnitz31233%86.783.0+3.7
10 Buducnost31233%84.781.7+3.0
11 Venezia31233%81.382.3-1.0
12 Cluj-Napoca31233%96.798.0-1.3
13 Turk Telekom31233%84.085.3-1.3
14 Hapoel Jerusalem31233%92.795.0-2.3
15 Panionios31233%80.385.0-4.7
16 Lietkabelis31233%82.087.7-5.7
17 Trento31233%75.387.3-12.0
18 London Lions31233%73.085.3-12.3
19 Neptunas41325%88.294.8-6.5
20 Hamburg4040%83.5100.2-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1825211579
Manresa2717222086
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