Venezia vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Sep 2025

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 81-85

27-20 22-29 16-21 16-15

Position#9

Record-

FormLLWWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Venezia

Aris 🏆

Position#13

Record-

FormLLWWW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

EurocupRound 1· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio

European cup2025

Meetings · Venezia v Aris

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aris winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVenezia

Date

Competition

Trieste

103-71

103

+32

94avg 77

H13/04

Lega A

Trapani

100-110 OT

100

110

-10

87avg 77

A19/04

Lega A

Pistoia

#16

90-93

-3

78avg 77

H27/04

Lega A

Treviso

#11

72-83

-11

62avg 77

A04/05

Lega A

Varese

#12

83-64

+19

90avg 77

H11/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

85-90

-5

78avg 77

A18/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

75-77

-2

69avg 77

A20/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

89-82

82avg 77

H23/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

84-78

78avg 77

H25/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

84-86

-2

78avg 77

A27/05

Lega A

29-13

25-23

28-18

21-17

24-12

26-36

14-23

27-20

16-20

16-25

25-27

33-21

22-12

16-26

16-13

18-32

20-21

23-20

18-14

22-9

18-28

23-17

15-29

29-16

13-20

20-20

26-15

16-22

22-15

25-22

18-22

24-23

13-17

25-21

22-21

24-19

21-22

18-19

26-24

19-21

169.9Avg total

86.5Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	86.5	83.4	169.9	+3.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	82.6	166.0	+0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	83.9	83.9	167.8	+0.0	50%
vs Similar (10)	84.7	80.9	165.6	+3.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	88.3	79.8	168.1	+8.5	80%

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ArisLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAris

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

73-83

-10

62avg 68

H17/03

Basket League

AS Karditsas

82-76

85avg 68

A23/03

Basket League

Panionios

78-92

-14

71avg 68

A29/03

Basket League

Peristeri

78-83

-5

70avg 68

H01/04

Basket League

Lavrio

#12

89-75

+14

85avg 68

A05/04

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

#10

84-86

-2

72avg 68

H12/04

Basket League

Maroussi

#11

68-91

-23

56avg 68

A26/04

Basket League

Lavrio

#12

79-61

+18

80avg 68

H03/05

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

#10

99-98

96avg 68

A10/05

Basket League

Maroussi

#11

114-109 OT

114

109

100avg 68

H17/05

Basket League

20-17

13-27

18-23

22-16

20-26

22-15

21-18

19-17

11-17

18-26

27-28

22-21

16-25

17-23

25-16

20-19

24-15

23-22

19-16

19-22

26-23

15-26

24-15

27-13

16-26

13-25

12-27

16-16

17-10

26-16

20-19

19-16

35-28

19-24

26-30

18-24

26-16

23-26

33-34

169.8Avg total

84.4Scored

85.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	84.4	85.4	169.8	-1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	89.0	177.8	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	77.9	91.8	169.7	-13.9	21%
vs Similar (16)	81.0	83.1	164.1	-2.1	44%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VeneziaAris

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.9	38.7	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.3	30%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.5	17.2	38.7	+4.3	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	20.4	40.7	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	43%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.4	19.1	38.4	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	19.0	42.5	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	21.9	43.9	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.9	44.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	24.0	20.4	44.4	+3.6	70%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.6	19.7	41.3	+1.9	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	22.2	40.8	-3.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.6	44.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.3	25.1	44.4	-5.8	21%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.9	18.9	36.9	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trieste

54-36

+18

H13/04

Lega A

Trapani

50-48

A19/04

Lega A

Pistoia

#16

32-45

-13

H27/04

Lega A

Treviso

#11

38-38

A04/05

Lega A

Varese

#12

43-41

H11/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

41-45

-4

A18/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

33-40

-7

A20/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

47-37

+10

H23/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

38-38

H25/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

39-41

-2

A27/05

Lega A

82.4Avg total

41.5Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	39.2	82.3	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.4	37.9	81.3	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	40.6	83.3	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	40.9	82.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	40.2	79.8	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.8	40.5	83.3	+2.3	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.2	40.3	83.5	+2.9	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	43.1	36.9	80.0	+6.2	80%	-

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

33-44

-11

H17/03

Basket League

AS Karditsas

42-41

A23/03

Basket League

Panionios

29-43

-14

A29/03

Basket League

Peristeri

33-48

-15

H01/04

Basket League

Lavrio

#12

47-37

+10

A05/04

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

#10

45-45

H12/04

Basket League

Maroussi

#11

43-39

A26/04

Basket League

Lavrio

#12

33-26

H03/05

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

#10

54-44

+10

A10/05

Basket League

Maroussi

#11

44-40

H17/05

Basket League

81.0Avg total

40.3Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	42.0	80.2	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.3	41.4	78.6	-4.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	42.6	81.5	-3.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	40.7	81.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	38.8	82.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	39.1	46.6	85.7	-7.6	14%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.3	38.0	75.3	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.3	42.4	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.2	43.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.4	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.5	22.3	43.8	-0.8	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	23.1	43.4	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.4	42.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	23.3	42.4	-4.1	29%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.5	39.1	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.0	43.3	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.9	21.4	40.3	-2.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.5	19.8	42.3	+2.7	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	23.8	43.1	-4.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.1	43%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	41.4	83.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	38.8	81.5	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	44.0	85.1	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	40.6	84.7	+3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	42.4	86.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.2	41.5	81.7	-1.3	30%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.5	40.6	82.1	+0.9	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	44.0	42.1	86.1	+1.9	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	43.7	83.9	-3.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	40.0	80.9	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	46.9	86.4	-7.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	43.8	86.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	48.4	90.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.9	45.1	84.0	-6.3	21%	-
vs Similar (16)	41.4	42.4	83.8	-1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 85.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

48%

32%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	22.0	54.7%	54.5%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.9	35.6%	34.4%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.0	71.4%	75.2%	15.0

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 83.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game

48%

32%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	19.5	54.9%	54.5%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	10.0	32.7%	34.4%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	20.9	14.4	68.9%	75.2%	14.4

They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.2	52.5%	54.5%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	8.5	33.6%	34.4%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.5	77.1%	75.2%	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	20.0	52.2%	54.5%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	9.7	34.6%	34.4%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	22.9	15.9	69.4%	75.2%	15.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	21.5	53.3%	54.5%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.6	34.8%	34.4%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.8	74.5%	75.2%	15.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	18.5	50.8%	54.5%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	9.1	31.5%	34.4%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.2	71.3%	75.2%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	19.4	51.5%	54.5%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.8	32.7%	34.4%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.5	76.9%	75.2%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	20.2	53.8%	54.5%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	9.1	36.2%	34.4%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	26.0	18.7	72.0%	75.2%	18.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Venezia

LWWLLWLLLW

Aris

WWWLLWLLWL

League position

#13

+4.3

Net rating

-2.0

111.3

Offensive rating

106.5

107.0

Defensive rating

108.5

54.2%

Effective FG%

52.2%

51.6%

Opp. effective FG%

52.1%

18.8%

Turnover %

18.6%

33.1%

Off. rebound %

29.9%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.32

35.6%

3-point %

32.7%

57.3%

Assist %

59.7%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Venezia ■ Aris

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Venezia wins

Aris wins

Date	Game	Score
04/12/24	Aris v Venezia	74-81
25/09/24	Venezia v Aris	95-75

Venezialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/05/25	A	Virtus Bologna	84-86
25/05/25	H	Virtus Bologna	84-78
23/05/25	H	Virtus Bologna	89-82
20/05/25	A	Virtus Bologna	75-77
18/05/25	A	Virtus Bologna	85-90
11/05/25	H	Varese	83-64
04/05/25	A	Treviso	72-83
27/04/25	H	Pistoia	90-93
19/04/25	A	Trapani	100-110 OT
13/04/25	H	Trieste	103-71

Arislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/05/25	H	Maroussi	114-109 OT
10/05/25	A	Kolossos Rhodes	99-98
03/05/25	H	Lavrio	79-61
26/04/25	A	Maroussi	68-91
12/04/25	H	Kolossos Rhodes	84-86
05/04/25	A	Lavrio	89-75
01/04/25	H	Peristeri	78-83
29/03/25	A	Panionios	78-92
23/03/25	A	AS Karditsas	82-76
17/03/25	H	Panathinaikos	73-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia

Eurocup 2025

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Aris

Eurocup 2025

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hapoel Jerusalem	1	1	0	100%	100.0	85.0	+15.0
2	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	100%	95.0	85.0	+10.0
3	Ulm	1	1	0	100%	96.0	93.0	+3.0
4	Turk Telekom	1	0	1	0%	93.0	96.0	-3.0
5	Neptunas	1	0	1	0%	85.0	95.0	-10.0
6	Hamburg	1	0	1	0%	85.0	100.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Venezia	27	22	16	16	81
Aris	20	29	21	15	85

← all games of the day

Venezia vs Aris Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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