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Aris vs Lavrio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 79-61
16-16 17-10 26-16 20-19
Position#7
Record10-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game83.9
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#12
Record7-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game85.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 4· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Aris v Lavrio
03 May 2025
ARI79
LAV61
10 Mar 2025
ARI82
LAV65
23 Mar 2024
ARI84
LAV60
04 Dec 2022
ARI87
LAV61
30 Oct 2021
ARI69
LAV73
06 Feb 2021
ARI89
LAV94
21 Dec 2019
ARI81
LAV70
19 Jan 2019
ARI84
LAV70
14 Feb 2018
ARI80
LAV69
26 Dec 2016
ARI98
LAV77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lavrio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Panionios
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
78avg 66
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
63-75
63
75
-12
53avg 66
A01/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
80avg 66
H10/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
62avg 66
H17/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
82-76
82
76
+6
85avg 66
A23/03
Basket League
Panionios
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
71avg 66
A29/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 66
H01/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
89-75
89
75
+14
85avg 66
A05/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
84-86
84
86
-2
72avg 66
H12/04
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
68-91
68
91
-23
56avg 66
A26/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
13-18
24-11
19-23
17-24
19-15
13-16
14-20
18-12
25-16
19-19
20-18
20-17
13-27
18-23
22-16
20-26
22-15
21-18
19-17
11-17
18-26
27-28
22-21
16-25
17-23
25-16
20-19
24-15
23-22
23-22
19-16
19-22
26-23
15-26
24-15
27-13
16-26
13-25
12-27
157.5Avg total
77.7Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.683.9161.6-6.337%
Season at home (13)77.578.4155.9-0.846%
Season away (14)77.789.1166.8-11.429%
Last 10 (10)77.779.8157.5-2.140%
Last 5 (5)79.485.4164.8-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.390.3166.7-14.013%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.482.8162.2-3.440%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
PAOK
#6
W
74-69
74
69
+5
67avg 71
A01/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 71
H09/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 71
H03/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
65-82
65
82
-17
51avg 71
A10/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
70avg 71
H15/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
70-98
70
98
-28
62avg 71
A23/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
77-90
77
90
-13
63avg 71
A29/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
60avg 71
H05/04
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
85-90
85
90
-5
76avg 71
A12/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
74-83
74
83
-9
69avg 71
H26/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
22-17
18-17
17-18
27-24
20-22
20-21
27-25
24-27
19-19
22-18
17-25
12-18
16-25
19-19
18-20
21-26
14-24
9-15
35-25
14-24
24-26
11-20
21-28
21-24
23-25
17-20
16-21
15-24
22-23
22-23
16-19
17-30
16-28
18-17
34-15
15-27
19-24
21-16
19-16
164.7Avg total
77.5Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.685.6165.2-6.027%
Season at home (13)79.784.5164.2-4.831%
Season away (13)79.586.6166.2-7.123%
Last 10 (10)77.587.2164.7-9.720%
Last 5 (5)76.290.0166.2-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.687.1165.7-8.521%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.884.5165.3-3.740%
vs Weaker (1)104.066.0170.0+38.0100%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
ArisLavrio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A01/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H10/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H17/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/03
Basket League
Panionios
#8
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A29/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H01/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A05/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/04
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/04
Basket League
79.0Avg total
38.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.980.9-5.023%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.043.481.4-5.47%-
Last 30 away (16)37.942.580.4-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.279.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.481.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.146.584.6-8.57%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.839.377.1-1.540%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A01/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H03/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A10/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H15/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A23/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H05/04
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A12/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H26/04
Basket League
85.2Avg total
37.8Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.683.2-2.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.141.781.7-1.647%-
Last 30 away (15)41.043.684.6-2.653%-
Last 10 (10)37.847.485.2-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)37.251.088.2-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.142.782.8-2.642%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.343.583.8-3.260%-
vs Weaker (1)51.033.084.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.0
51.7%
53.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.1
31.2%
34.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.613.4
72.0%
73.3%13.4
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.3
50.9%
53.5%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.2
32.7%
34.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.913.1
73.2%
73.3%13.1
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLWLLWLWLW
Lavrio
LLLLLLLLWW
#7
League position
#12
-3.9
Net rating
-15.9
102.1
Offensive rating
104.5
105.9
Defensive rating
120.4
49.5%
Effective FG%
50.1%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.2%
3-point %
32.7%
63.5%
Assist %
56.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 104.5Defence105.9 · 120.4Shooting49.5% · 50.1%3-point %31.2% · 32.7%Ball care19.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds30.5% · 26.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Aris   ■ Lavrio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Aris wins
6
Lavrio wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25Lavrio v Aris75-89
10/03/25Aris v Lavrio82-65
07/12/24Lavrio v Aris93-84
23/03/24Aris v Lavrio84-60
23/12/23Lavrio v Aris91-86 OT
18/03/23Lavrio v Aris81-70
04/12/22Aris v Lavrio87-61
19/03/22Lavrio v Aris68-64
30/10/21Aris v Lavrio69-73
06/02/21Aris v Lavrio89-94
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25AMaroussi68-91
12/04/25HKolossos Rhodes84-86
05/04/25ALavrio89-75
01/04/25HPeristeri78-83
29/03/25APanionios78-92
23/03/25AAS Karditsas82-76
17/03/25HPanathinaikos73-83
10/03/25HLavrio82-65
01/03/25APAOK63-75
08/02/25HPanionios80-72
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HKolossos Rhodes74-83
12/04/25AMaroussi85-90
05/04/25HAris75-89
29/03/25APeristeri77-90
23/03/25APanathinaikos70-98
15/03/25HAEK Athens79-90
10/03/25AAris65-82
03/03/25HAS Karditsas82-89
09/02/25HMaroussi94-92
01/02/25APAOK74-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL37%
HomeWWLLL46%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %37%46%29%
Points / game77.677.577.7
Allowed / game83.978.489.1
Point differential-6.3-0.8-11.4
Avg total161.6155.9166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Lavrio
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWLLLL31%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %27%31%23%
Points / game79.679.779.5
Allowed / game85.684.586.6
Point differential-6.0-4.8-7.1
Avg total165.2164.2166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos24240100%93.876.0+17.7
2 Olympiacos2422292%90.173.7+16.4
3 AEK Athens2516964%84.781.4+3.3
4 Promitheas25131252%81.281.2-0.1
5 AS Karditsas26131350%76.578.5-2.0
6 PAOK26111542%79.682.6-3.0
7 Panionios25101540%77.680.6-3.0
8 Peristeri26101638%76.982.7-5.8
9 Aris27101737%77.683.9-6.3
10 Kolossos Rhodes2691735%79.381.2-1.8
11 Maroussi2681831%78.585.1-6.6
12 Lavrio2671927%79.685.6-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1617262079
Lavrio1610161961
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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