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Arizona State vs Kansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 87-84
36-38 51-46
Position#194
Record9-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#292
Record9-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game79.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arizona State v Kansas State
19 Jan 2027
ARIZ v KANS
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
ARIZ87
KANS84
04 Feb 2025
ARIZ70
KANS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#135
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A25/11
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H26/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
75-88
75
88
-13
H26/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H07/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H10/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A14/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A18/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
89-95
89
95
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
76-104
76
104
-28
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
48-52
42-48
58-46
43-43
32-45
47-28
39-42
35-26
38-22
38-55
44-24
33-45
44-45
40-38
35-40
38-48
51-47
30-45
46-59
165.2Avg total
82.0Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.378.5158.8+1.960%
Season at home (10)80.074.2154.2+5.860%
Season away (5)81.087.0168.0-6.060%
Last 10 (10)82.083.2165.2-1.250%
Last 5 (5)79.889.2169.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.285.9163.2-8.731%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.072.8148.8+3.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A22/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A26/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
66-82
66
82
-16
H02/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H06/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
108-49
108
49
+59
H09/12
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A13/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H20/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H28/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
76-101
76
101
-25
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-45
50-41
27-39
42-47
35-49
31-33
29-35
38-43
55-21
53-28
51-33
32-43
57-34
49-42
46-36
48-49
35-45
38-38
36-51
40-50
162.9Avg total
82.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.679.5166.1+7.160%
Season at home (11)89.676.7166.4+12.973%
Season away (4)78.287.2165.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)82.780.2162.9+2.540%
Last 5 (5)86.484.2170.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.680.1153.8-6.536%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.868.1145.8+9.777%
vs Weaker (3)95.763.7159.3+32.0100%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +0.7+0.7
Arizona StateKansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#135
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H26/11
NCAA
USC
#153
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H26/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H07/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H10/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A14/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A18/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A08/01
NCAA
79.5Avg total
38.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.438.474.7-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.937.674.5-0.735%-
Last 30 away (13)35.739.475.1-3.746%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.079.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.846.282.0-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.640.577.1-3.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.135.972.0+0.143%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A22/11
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H02/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H06/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
55-21
55
21
+34
H09/12
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A13/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H20/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H28/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A08/01
NCAA
79.4Avg total
40.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.334.371.6+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.332.472.6+7.968%-
Last 30 away (11)32.337.669.9-5.427%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.879.4+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.884.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.239.173.3-4.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.130.969.0+7.262%-
vs Weaker (3)48.726.775.3+22.0100%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Arizona State wins
2
Kansas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26ABrigham Young76-104
03/01/26HColorado89-95
21/12/25HOregon State75-78
18/12/25AUCLA77-90
14/12/25ASanta Clara82-79
10/12/25HNorthern Arizona73-48
07/12/25HOklahoma86-70
26/11/25HUSC75-88
26/11/25HWashington State100-94
25/11/25ATexas87-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26AArizona76-101
03/01/26HBrigham Young73-83
28/12/25HLouisiana Monroe94-85
20/12/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes106-76
13/12/25ACreighton83-76
09/12/25HMiss. Valley St.108-49
06/12/25HSeton Hall67-78
02/12/25HBowling Green66-82
26/11/25AIndiana69-86
22/11/25ANebraska85-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL60%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game80.380.081.0
Allowed / game78.574.287.0
Point differential+1.9+5.8-6.0
Avg total158.8154.2168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %60%73%25%
Points / game86.689.678.2
Allowed / game79.576.787.2
Point differential+7.1+12.9-9.0
Avg total166.1166.4165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona15150100%91.567.7+23.8
2 Houston1615194%77.260.0+17.2
3 Iowa State1514193%87.363.5+23.8
4 Brigham Young1514193%88.267.7+20.5
5 Oklahoma State1513287%90.279.7+10.5
6 UCF Knights1412286%86.975.8+11.1
7 Colorado1512380%86.577.9+8.6
8 TCU1511473%80.967.2+13.7
9 Texas Tech1511473%83.773.3+10.4
10 West Virginia1611569%74.862.3+12.5
11 Kansas1611569%77.568.1+9.4
12 Baylor1510567%88.374.3+14.0
13 Kansas State159660%86.679.5+7.1
14 Arizona State159660%80.378.5+1.9
15 Cincinnati158753%73.765.3+8.3
16 Utah Utes158753%80.380.1+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arizona State365187
Kansas State384684
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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