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Arizona vs Iowa State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 73-57
37-25 36-32
Position#7
Record27-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game68.6
Arizona 🏆
USA
vs
Iowa State
USA
Position#34
Record23-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arizona v Iowa State
13 Mar 2026
ARIZ82
IOWA80
02 Mar 2026
ARIZ73
IOWA57
27 Jan 2025
ARIZ86
IOWA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iowa State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArizonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
W
88-53
88
53
+35
H24/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
84-47
84
47
+37
H07/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-23
45-30
44-31
42-52
38-38
49-36
40-22
44-25
45-42
33-40
32-32
34-34
42-35
33-33
36-31
37-35
34-41
53-39
39-28
45-33
150.9Avg total
81.7Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)87.168.6155.7+18.493%
Season at home (18)89.565.0154.5+24.594%
Season away (11)83.174.5157.6+8.591%
Last 10 (10)81.769.2150.9+12.580%
Last 5 (5)78.870.6149.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)93.0100.0193.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)83.076.5159.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker (27)87.468.0155.4+19.393%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H30/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
95-61
95
61
+34
A01/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H07/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A22/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A25/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
51-21
33-50
52-29
45-38
50-21
45-40
37-33
35-36
30-29
25-33
37-27
37-29
43-40
27-27
30-39
39-40
41-31
34-28
29-45
44-37
143.7Avg total
76.4Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.966.1148.0+15.979%
Season at home (17)86.662.6149.3+24.094%
Season away (12)75.270.9146.2+4.358%
Last 10 (10)76.467.3143.7+9.170%
Last 5 (5)72.268.6140.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)70.067.0137.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker (29)82.266.9149.1+15.376%
This opponent (Arizona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +0.6+0.6
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +0.6+0.6
ArizonaIowa State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArizonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H24/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A27/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H07/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A10/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A25/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H28/02
NCAA
71.6Avg total
39.3Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.233.275.4+9.080%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.631.274.8+12.389%-
Last 30 away (12)40.236.276.4+4.167%-
Last 10 (10)39.332.371.6+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.470.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.048.090.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)43.038.581.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker (27)42.232.374.4+9.981%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H30/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
50-21
50
21
+29
A01/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A11/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H28/02
NCAA
71.5Avg total
40.0Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.531.871.3+7.773%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.830.872.6+10.983%-
Last 30 away (12)36.233.269.4+2.958%-
Last 10 (10)40.031.571.5+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.472.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)43.040.083.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker (29)39.431.570.9+7.972%-
This opponent (Arizona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Arizona wins
1
Iowa State wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25Iowa State v Arizona84-67
28/01/25Arizona v Iowa State86-75 OT
Arizonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HKansas84-61
25/02/26ABaylor87-80
21/02/26AHouston73-66
19/02/26HBrigham Young75-68
14/02/26HTexas Tech75-78 OT
10/02/26AKansas78-82
07/02/26HOklahoma State84-47
31/01/26AArizona State87-74
27/01/26ABrigham Young86-83
24/01/26HWest Virginia88-53
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HTexas Tech73-82
25/02/26AUtah Utes75-59
22/02/26ABrigham Young69-79
17/02/26HHouston70-67
14/02/26HKansas74-56
11/02/26ATCU55-62
07/02/26HBaylor72-69
01/02/26AKansas State95-61
30/01/26HColorado97-67
24/01/26AOklahoma State84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW93%
HomeWWLWW94%
AwayWWLWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %93%94%91%
Points / game87.189.583.1
Allowed / game68.665.074.5
Point differential+18.4+24.5+8.5
Avg total155.7154.5157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%78%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Iowa State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL79%
HomeWWWWL94%
AwayWWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %79%94%58%
Points / game81.986.675.2
Allowed / game66.162.670.9
Point differential+15.9+24.0+4.3
Avg total148.0149.3146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%76%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona2927293%87.168.6+18.4
2 Houston2924583%77.562.3+15.2
3 Iowa State2923679%81.966.1+15.9
4 Texas Tech2922776%82.072.2+9.8
5 Kansas2921872%76.168.7+7.4
6 UCF Knights2820871%82.177.8+4.4
7 Brigham Young2920969%85.075.3+9.7
8 TCU29191066%78.371.9+6.4
9 West Virginia29171259%69.964.7+5.1
10 Oklahoma State29171259%83.381.8+1.5
11 Cincinnati29161355%73.267.5+5.7
12 Colorado29161355%79.578.7+0.8
13 Baylor29151452%82.777.0+5.7
14 Arizona State29151452%77.978.2-0.3
15 Kansas State29111838%79.580.9-1.4
16 Utah Utes29101934%74.578.1-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arizona373673
Iowa State253257
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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