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Iowa State vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-69
37-33 35-36
Position#34
Record19-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game65.5
Iowa State 🏆
USA
vs
Baylor
USA
Position#200
Record13-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game75.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Iowa State v Baylor
07 Feb 2026
IOWA72
BAYL69
04 Jan 2025
IOWA74
BAYL55
15 Mar 2024
IOWA76
BAYL62
31 Dec 2022
IOWA77
BAYL62
01 Jan 2022
IOWA72
BAYL77
02 Jan 2021
IOWA65
BAYL76
29 Jan 2020
IOWA53
BAYL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#297
W
89-61
89
61
+28
H30/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H03/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H10/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A14/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A17/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H21/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H30/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
95-61
95
61
+34
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-28
48-33
41-28
39-31
25-24
45-36
42-40
41-31
23-44
40-40
31-35
39-44
44-26
43-31
51-21
33-50
52-29
45-38
50-21
45-40
148.8Avg total
81.8Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.865.5151.4+20.386%
Season at home (13)91.160.8151.9+30.2100%
Season away (9)78.272.3150.6+5.967%
Last 10 (10)81.867.0148.8+14.880%
Last 5 (5)86.667.0153.6+19.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)85.876.5162.2+9.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.066.2150.1+17.881%
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A03/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H08/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H10/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A14/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A17/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H21/01
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H24/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A28/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-29
40-40
24-25
36-45
26-33
29-44
57-39
37-40
37-43
25-37
36-55
37-37
38-38
52-59
28-35
29-32
38-30
25-23
45-21
41-46
145.4Avg total
70.3Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.175.0159.1+9.159%
Season at home (15)89.976.2166.1+13.767%
Season away (7)71.672.4144.0-0.943%
Last 10 (10)70.375.1145.4-4.830%
Last 5 (5)73.875.2149.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)63.275.4138.6-12.20%
vs Similar (14)78.975.7154.6+3.150%
vs Weaker (11)88.669.0157.6+19.691%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.4+10.41st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -5.2-5.2
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.4+10.41st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -5.2-5.2
Iowa StateBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#297
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H30/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A08/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A14/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A17/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H21/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H30/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
50-21
50
21
+29
A01/02
NCAA
69.6Avg total
40.0Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.731.270.9+8.573%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.428.970.4+12.583%-
Last 30 away (12)37.234.671.8+2.658%-
Last 10 (10)40.029.669.6+10.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.626.472.0+19.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)40.034.074.0+6.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)39.730.870.5+8.973%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A03/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H08/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H10/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A14/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H21/01
NCAA
TCU
#77
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A28/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H05/02
NCAA
70.0Avg total
35.2Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.035.474.4+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.433.875.2+7.672%-
Last 30 away (12)35.337.873.2-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)35.234.870.0+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.872.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.636.666.2-7.020%-
vs Similar (14)36.336.572.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (11)46.633.580.1+13.282%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Iowa State wins
4
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
08/01/26Baylor v Iowa State60-70
04/01/25Iowa State v Baylor74-55
16/03/24Iowa State v Baylor76-62
04/02/24Baylor v Iowa State70-68
09/03/23Baylor v Iowa State72-78
04/03/23Baylor v Iowa State58-73
31/12/22Iowa State v Baylor77-62
05/03/22Baylor v Iowa State75-68
01/01/22Iowa State v Baylor72-77
24/02/21Baylor v Iowa State77-72
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26AKansas State95-61
30/01/26HColorado97-67
24/01/26AOklahoma State84-71
21/01/26HUCF Knights87-57
17/01/26ACincinnati70-79
14/01/26AKansas63-84
10/01/26HOklahoma State83-71
08/01/26ABaylor70-60
03/01/26HWest Virginia80-59
30/12/25HHouston Christian89-61
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26HColorado86-67
31/01/26AWest Virginia63-53
28/01/26ACincinnati57-67
24/01/26HTCU90-97
21/01/26HTexas Tech73-92
17/01/26AKansas62-80
14/01/26AOklahoma State94-79
10/01/26HHouston55-77
08/01/26HIowa State60-70
03/01/26ATCU63-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game85.891.178.2
Allowed / game65.560.872.3
Point differential+20.3+30.2+5.9
Avg total151.4151.9150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%92%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baylor
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW59%
HomeLLLLW67%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22157
Win %59%67%43%
Points / game84.189.971.6
Allowed / game75.076.272.4
Point differential+9.1+13.7-0.9
Avg total159.1166.1144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%53%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona22220100%89.568.5+21.0
2 Houston2220291%78.961.4+17.5
3 Iowa State2219386%85.865.5+20.3
4 Brigham Young2217577%86.773.0+13.7
5 Kansas2217577%78.167.7+10.5
6 UCF Knights2217577%82.977.2+5.7
7 Texas Tech2216673%82.974.0+9.0
8 Oklahoma State2216673%86.580.4+6.1
9 West Virginia2315865%70.363.3+6.9
10 Baylor2213959%84.175.0+9.1
11 TCU2213959%78.771.5+7.2
12 Colorado23131057%81.478.4+3.0
13 Arizona State23121152%78.879.3-0.5
14 Cincinnati23111248%70.767.0+3.7
15 Kansas State22101245%81.780.2+1.5
16 Utah Utes2291341%78.881.0-2.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa State373572
Baylor333669
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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