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Iowa State vs Houston Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 70-67
43-40 27-27
Position#34
Record21-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game65.2
Iowa State 🏆
USA
vs
Houston
USA
Position#18
Record23-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game61.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Iowa State v Houston
16 Feb 2026
IOWA70
HOUS67
09 Jan 2024
IOWA57
HOUS53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H10/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A14/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A17/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H21/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H30/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
95-61
95
61
+34
A01/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H07/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-40
41-31
23-44
40-40
31-35
39-44
44-26
43-31
51-21
33-50
52-29
45-38
50-21
45-40
37-33
35-36
30-29
25-33
37-27
37-29
145.7Avg total
78.0Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.665.2148.7+18.484%
Season at home (15)88.761.1149.7+27.6100%
Season away (10)75.971.3147.2+4.660%
Last 10 (10)78.067.7145.7+10.370%
Last 5 (5)78.663.0141.6+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)87.075.5162.5+11.550%
vs Weaker (28)82.765.5148.2+17.282%
This opponent (Houston) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HoustonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A10/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
77-48
77
48
+29
H14/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
103-73
103
73
+30
H18/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A24/01
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A29/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H31/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
79-55
79
55
+24
H05/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A08/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A11/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-26
44-29
33-18
44-30
56-29
47-44
49-55
37-35
43-30
36-40
32-20
44-34
33-19
46-36
37-31
40-35
34-25
32-27
33-19
45-45
142.5Avg total
79.8Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.361.3139.6+17.092%
Season at home (17)78.757.8136.5+20.994%
Season away (8)77.468.8146.1+8.688%
Last 10 (10)79.862.7142.5+17.190%
Last 5 (5)75.258.2133.4+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.067.0137.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (2)72.070.5142.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (27)77.360.8138.1+16.593%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: +11.1+11.12nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +6.0+6.0
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: +11.1+11.12nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +6.0+6.0
Iowa StateHouston
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A14/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A17/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H21/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H30/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
50-21
50
21
+29
A01/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A11/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H14/02
NCAA
70.2Avg total
39.7Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.130.770.8+9.480%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.828.870.6+13.189%-
Last 30 away (12)37.533.771.2+3.867%-
Last 10 (10)39.730.570.2+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.227.869.0+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)46.536.583.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (28)39.630.370.0+9.379%-
This opponent (Houston) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HoustonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A10/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
33-18
33
18
+15
H14/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H18/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A24/01
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A29/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H31/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
33-19
33
19
+14
H05/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A08/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A11/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
33-19
33
19
+14
H14/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
38.3Scored
27.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.427.765.2+9.783%-
Last 30 at home (21)37.324.962.1+12.490%-
Last 30 away (9)37.834.472.2+3.367%-
Last 10 (10)38.327.265.5+11.190%-
Last 5 (5)33.822.856.6+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.034.062.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)33.027.560.5+5.5100%-
vs Weaker (27)38.127.565.6+10.685%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Iowa State wins
2
Houston wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25Houston v Iowa State68-59
16/03/24Houston v Iowa State41-69
20/02/24Houston v Iowa State73-65
10/01/24Iowa State v Houston57-53
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HKansas74-56
11/02/26ATCU55-62
07/02/26HBaylor72-69
01/02/26AKansas State95-61
30/01/26HColorado97-67
24/01/26AOklahoma State84-71
21/01/26HUCF Knights87-57
17/01/26ACincinnati70-79
14/01/26AKansas63-84
10/01/26HOklahoma State83-71
Houstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HKansas State78-64
11/02/26AUtah Utes66-52
08/02/26ABrigham Young77-66
05/02/26HUCF Knights79-55
31/01/26HCincinnati76-54
29/01/26ATCU79-70
24/01/26ATexas Tech86-90
18/01/26HArizona State103-73
14/01/26HWest Virginia77-48
10/01/26ABaylor77-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %84%100%60%
Points / game83.688.775.9
Allowed / game65.261.171.3
Point differential+18.4+27.6+4.6
Avg total148.7149.7147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%87%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Houston
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %92%94%88%
Points / game78.378.777.4
Allowed / game61.357.868.8
Point differential+17.0+20.9+8.6
Avg total139.6136.5146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%76%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona2523292%88.268.6+19.6
2 Houston2523292%78.361.3+17.0
3 Iowa State2521484%83.665.2+18.4
4 Brigham Young2519676%86.574.5+12.0
5 Texas Tech2519676%82.072.4+9.6
6 Kansas2519676%77.168.0+9.1
7 UCF Knights2417771%81.877.7+4.1
8 TCU2516964%78.972.1+6.8
9 West Virginia2516964%70.163.8+6.4
10 Oklahoma State2516964%84.781.3+3.4
11 Cincinnati26141254%72.367.0+5.3
12 Colorado26141254%80.078.5+1.5
13 Baylor25131252%83.476.1+7.2
14 Arizona State25131252%78.779.2-0.4
15 Kansas State25101540%80.280.7-0.5
16 Utah Utes2591636%76.479.5-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa State432770
Houston402767
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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