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Arizona vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 68-45
28-27 40-18
Position#7
Record10-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game67.4
Arizona 🏆
USA
vs
Position#70
Record6-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game74.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arizona v San Diego State
20 Dec 2025
ARIZ68
SAN 45
22 Nov 2022
ARIZ87
SAN 70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arizona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArizonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H04/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H08/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
84-49
84
49
+35
H12/11
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A15/11
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A20/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
103-73
103
73
+30
H25/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
98-61
98
61
+37
H29/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H07/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A14/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
96-62
96
62
+34
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
50-46
43-41
44-37
49-30
46-17
38-32
28-25
41-40
35-33
36-34
56-28
47-45
47-32
51-29
44-32
53-36
39-41
57-34
51-31
45-31
157.4Avg total
90.0Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.067.4157.4+22.6100%
Season at home (7)94.966.7161.6+28.1100%
Season away (3)78.769.0147.7+9.7100%
Last 10 (10)90.067.4157.4+22.6100%
Last 5 (5)98.067.8165.8+30.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.778.0149.7-6.30%
vs Similar (12)84.378.7163.0+5.775%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.369.3157.5+19.093%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
L
68-95
68
95
-27
H19/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
77-45
77
45
+32
H05/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H09/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
107-108 OT
107
108
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
54-94
54
94
-40
A25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
97-80
97
80
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
23-47
45-48
40-25
37-20
34-21
39-36
38-38
51-51
33-45
21-49
51-41
46-39
36-40
45-51
33-32
44-34
51-41
38-30
33-30
48-28
156.9Avg total
80.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.874.4156.2+7.367%
Season at home (7)83.670.9154.4+12.771%
Season away (2)75.587.0162.5-11.550%
Last 10 (10)80.476.5156.9+3.960%
Last 5 (5)85.073.2158.2+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)65.580.0145.5-14.550%
vs Similar (14)70.970.2141.1+0.743%
vs Weaker (14)75.364.2139.5+11.186%
This opponent (Arizona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +11.8+11.81st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +10.8+10.82nd half: +2.8+2.8
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +11.8+11.81st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +10.8+10.82nd half: +2.8+2.8
ArizonaSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArizonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H04/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
46-17
46
17
+29
H12/11
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A15/11
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
56-28
56
28
+28
H25/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H29/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A14/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H17/12
NCAA
76.2Avg total
44.0Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.735.275.9+5.577%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.934.077.9+9.994%-
Last 30 away (13)36.436.873.2-0.454%-
Last 10 (10)44.032.276.2+11.890%-
Last 5 (5)47.432.880.2+14.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.033.768.7+1.367%-
vs Similar (12)40.338.478.8+1.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.132.975.0+9.187%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
L
23-47
23
47
-24
H19/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H05/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A26/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H11/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H18/12
NCAA
73.2Avg total
37.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.665.2+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.730.364.9+4.474%-
Last 30 away (11)31.634.065.6-2.445%-
Last 10 (10)37.236.073.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.877.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.038.571.5-5.550%-
vs Similar (14)32.431.163.6+1.357%-
vs Weaker (14)34.831.165.9+3.671%-
This opponent (Arizona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Arizona wins
0
San Diego State wins
DateGameScore
23/11/22Arizona v San Diego State87-70
Arizonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HAbilene Christian96-62
14/12/25AAlabama96-75
07/12/25HAuburn97-68
29/11/25HNorfolk State98-61
25/11/25HDenver103-73
20/11/25AUconn71-67
15/11/25AUCLA69-65
12/11/25HNorthern Arizona84-49
08/11/25HUtah Tech93-67
04/11/25HFlorida93-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HAir Force81-58
11/12/25HLamar89-71
04/12/25HUtah Valley State77-66
27/11/25HBaylor81-91
26/11/25AOregon97-80
25/11/25AMichigan54-94
19/11/25HTroy107-108 OT
09/11/25HIdaho State73-57
05/11/25HLong Beach State77-45
19/03/25HNorth Carolina68-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arizona
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.094.978.7
Allowed / game67.466.769.0
Point differential+22.6+28.1+9.7
Avg total157.4161.6147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%86%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %67%71%50%
Points / game81.883.675.5
Allowed / game74.470.987.0
Point differential+7.3+12.7-11.5
Avg total156.2154.4162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona10100100%90.067.4+22.6
2 Brigham Young1211192%85.665.4+20.2
3 Houston1211192%79.560.0+19.5
4 Iowa State1110191%89.064.7+24.3
5 UCF Knights1110191%88.674.5+14.2
6 Oklahoma State1110191%89.977.5+12.5
7 Colorado1210283%86.376.7+9.7
8 Baylor108280%91.277.1+14.1
9 Kansas129375%74.763.5+11.2
10 Texas Tech129375%83.574.5+9.0
11 Arizona State129375%80.475.0+5.4
12 TCU118373%77.265.5+11.6
13 West Virginia128467%75.360.9+14.4
14 Kansas State128467%88.077.0+11.0
15 Utah Utes128467%82.478.8+3.6
16 Cincinnati117464%75.565.5+10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1110191%85.966.7+19.2
2 New Mexico1210283%82.068.6+13.4
3 Wyoming129375%86.472.6+13.8
4 Colorado State129375%83.472.2+11.2
5 Nevada129375%77.772.3+5.3
6 San Diego State96367%81.874.4+7.3
7 Boise State128467%77.070.4+6.6
8 Grand Canyon117464%75.567.9+7.6
9 Fresno State126650%76.172.5+3.6
10 UNLV115645%81.281.6-0.5
11 San Jose State125742%74.875.0-0.2
12 Air Force123925%65.574.2-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arizona284068
San Diego State271845
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