PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Arkansas State vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-65
27-31 45-34
Position#278
Record6-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game63.3
vs
Position#348
Record1-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game60.6
Allowed / game81.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#264
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Lyon
#480
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H15/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H26/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#453
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A07/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A10/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-31
26-30
44-34
38-24
25-31
35-44
29-29
41-35
31-26
28-41
44-27
46-38
30-20
28-18
35-27
32-45
27-44
28-36
24-26
44-35
130.2Avg total
66.1Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)67.963.3131.2+4.655%
Season at home (7)73.358.3131.6+15.086%
Season away (4)58.572.0130.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)66.164.1130.2+2.050%
Last 5 (5)67.663.2130.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.971.0135.9-6.138%
vs Similar (10)64.566.6131.1-2.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)72.861.8134.6+11.080%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#44
L
70-111
70
111
-41
A08/11
NCAA
USC
#73
L
58-96
58
96
-38
A11/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
L
62-91
62
91
-29
A13/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A16/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
54-73
54
73
-19
A20/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A24/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A26/11
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A27/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A08/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
60-96
60
96
-36
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-53
36-58
23-48
35-48
25-47
37-44
33-36
24-34
34-31
20-42
28-37
29-38
36-29
31-29
27-45
31-27
27-36
36-35
20-55
40-41
141.9Avg total
60.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)60.681.3141.9-20.710%
Season at homeno games
Season away (10)60.681.3141.9-20.710%
Last 10 (10)60.681.3141.9-20.710%
Last 5 (5)61.074.4135.4-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)60.577.9138.4-17.313%
vs Similar (11)72.571.1143.5+1.455%
vs Weaker (4)73.276.2149.5-3.025%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -13.0-13.02nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -7.7-7.7
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -13.0-13.02nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -7.7-7.7
Arkansas StateAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#264
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Lyon
#480
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H22/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H26/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#453
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A10/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H15/12
NCAA
61.0Avg total
31.5Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.032.564.5-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.629.462.9+4.259%-
Last 30 away (13)29.836.666.5-6.823%-
Last 10 (10)31.529.561.0+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.028.860.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.237.666.9-8.40%-
vs Similar (10)29.130.359.4-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.930.865.7+4.170%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#44
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A08/11
NCAA
USC
#73
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A11/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A13/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/11
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A24/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A26/11
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A27/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A08/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
L
20-55
20
55
-35
A17/12
NCAA
70.4Avg total
28.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.636.065.6-6.530%-
Last 30 at home (9)29.232.661.8-3.333%-
Last 30 away (21)29.737.567.2-7.829%-
Last 10 (10)28.741.770.4-13.020%-
Last 5 (5)27.640.468.0-12.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)28.539.167.5-10.620%-
vs Similar (11)29.432.361.6-2.936%-
vs Weaker (4)34.235.069.2-0.850%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
0
Alabama State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/22HSoutheast Missouri State68-61
10/12/22AAir Force55-80
07/12/22ACentral Arkansas67-72
02/12/22HMiss. Valley St.58-38
27/11/22HBethel (TN)90-65
26/11/22HPrairie View A&M59-67
22/11/22HUT Martin70-64
19/11/22AUC Davis60-75
15/11/22HLyon82-58
12/11/22ALSU52-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22AGeorgia Tech60-96
08/12/22ANorth Alabama63-71
27/11/22AOhio58-72
26/11/22AEastern Illinois67-58
24/11/22ADuquesne57-75
20/11/22APittsburgh54-73
16/11/22ASan Jose State57-70
13/11/22APepperdine62-91
11/11/22AUSC58-96
08/11/22AUAB70-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %55%86%0%
Points / game67.973.358.5
Allowed / game63.358.372.0
Point differential+4.6+15.0-13.5
Avg total131.2131.6130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL10%
Home--
AwayLWLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games10-10
Win %10%-10%
Points / game60.6-60.6
Allowed / game81.3-81.3
Point differential-20.7--20.7
Avg total141.9-141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1211192%80.459.6+20.8
2 Louisiana Lafayette1110191%84.569.7+14.7
3 Marshall1311285%83.669.5+14.2
4 James Madison129375%92.663.2+29.3
5 Troy128467%79.565.2+14.2
6 Old Dominion117464%67.664.0+3.6
7 Appalachian State127558%79.763.7+16.0
8 Georgia Southern127558%69.264.1+5.1
9 Coastal Carolina116555%78.667.0+11.6
10 Arkansas State116555%67.963.3+4.6
11 Georgia State116555%67.364.5+2.8
12 Texas State126650%66.266.5-0.3
13 South Alabama104640%71.369.8+1.5
14 Louisiana Monroe124833%73.271.2+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grambling St.116555%64.664.5+0.2
2 Prairie View A&M114736%71.271.5-0.4
3 Bethune-Cookman114736%66.075.8-9.8
4 Southern Univ.124833%74.275.2-1.0
5 Arkansas-Pine Bluff134931%64.169.6-5.5
6 Alabama A&M Bulldogs103730%71.676.3-4.7
7 Texas Southern113827%66.175.2-9.1
8 Alcorn State113827%61.473.7-12.4
9 Florida A&M92722%54.973.4-18.6
10 Alabama State101910%60.681.3-20.7
11 Jackson State111109%66.082.6-16.6
12 Miss. Valley St.131128%52.076.7-24.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State274572
Alabama State313465
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.