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Arkansas State vs Miss. Valley St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 58-38
30-20 28-18
Position#278
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game63.6
vs
Position#366
Record1-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game55.5
Allowed / game79.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miss. Valley St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H24/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H03/03
NCAA
Harding
#484
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Lyon
#480
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H15/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H26/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#453
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-36
36-38
30-34
32-26
39-42
42-35
40-28
46-27
26-31
26-30
44-34
38-24
25-31
35-44
29-29
41-35
31-26
28-41
44-27
46-38
136.7Avg total
71.1Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.363.6134.9+7.757%
Season at home (5)77.461.8139.2+15.680%
Season away (2)56.068.0124.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)71.165.6136.7+5.560%
Last 5 (5)72.265.8138.0+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.069.2134.2-4.244%
vs Similar (8)65.265.6130.9-0.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)78.567.3145.8+11.391%
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#192
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#286
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
53-117
53
117
-64
A07/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A12/11
NCAA
Yale
#50
L
51-80
51
80
-29
A14/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A15/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A21/11
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A23/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
45-88
45
88
-43
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-43
40-29
39-41
30-35
21-61
32-56
28-30
26-42
21-35
30-45
28-26
24-34
31-33
45-35
37-40
25-43
19-30
32-34
20-42
25-46
136.2Avg total
58.2Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)55.579.0134.5-23.512%
Season at home (1)76.068.0144.0+8.0100%
Season away (7)52.680.6133.1-28.00%
Last 10 (10)58.278.0136.2-19.810%
Last 5 (5)57.272.6129.8-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)66.380.8147.1-14.511%
vs Similar (2)73.583.5157.0-10.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -10.8-10.82nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -9.0-9.0
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -10.8-10.82nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -9.0-9.0
Arkansas StateMiss. Valley St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H24/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H03/03
NCAA
Harding
#484
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Lyon
#480
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H22/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H26/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#453
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H27/11
NCAA
65.9Avg total
34.1Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.667.0-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.730.666.3+5.165%-
Last 30 away (13)30.537.568.0-6.915%-
Last 10 (10)34.131.865.9+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.629.464.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.337.067.3-6.711%-
vs Similar (8)30.029.159.1+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)36.934.471.3+2.555%-
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#192
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A04/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#286
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A05/03
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
21-61
21
61
-40
A07/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A12/11
NCAA
Yale
#50
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A14/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A15/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H19/11
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/11
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
19-30
19
30
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A26/11
NCAA
65.4Avg total
27.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.238.069.2-6.827%-
Last 30 at home (12)31.433.965.3-2.550%-
Last 30 away (18)31.140.771.8-9.711%-
Last 10 (10)27.338.165.4-10.810%-
Last 5 (5)27.034.261.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)30.837.968.6-7.125%-
vs Similar (2)37.539.577.0-2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Arkansas State wins
0
Miss. Valley St. wins
DateGameScore
11/12/21Miss. Valley St. v Arkansas State77-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/22HBethel (TN)90-65
26/11/22HPrairie View A&M59-67
22/11/22HUT Martin70-64
19/11/22AUC Davis60-75
15/11/22HLyon82-58
12/11/22ALSU52-61
08/11/22HHarding86-55
03/03/22HLouisiana Monroe81-77
26/02/22HAppalachian State62-60
24/02/22HCoastal Carolina69-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22AColorado State45-88
23/11/22AAir Force51-64
21/11/22AMissouri62-83
19/11/22HNorth Alabama76-68
15/11/22AEast. Washington52-60
14/11/22AYale51-80
12/11/22AHawaii54-72
07/11/22ABaylor53-117
05/03/22AJackson State69-76
04/03/22AAlcorn State69-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%80%0%
Points / game71.377.456.0
Allowed / game63.661.868.0
Point differential+7.7+15.6-12.0
Avg total134.9139.2124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miss. Valley St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL12%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games817
Win %12%100%0%
Points / game55.576.052.6
Allowed / game79.068.080.6
Point differential-23.5+8.0-28.0
Avg total134.5144.0133.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss880100%76.455.0+21.4
2 Marshall76186%83.967.1+16.7
3 Louisiana Lafayette76186%85.771.3+14.4
4 James Madison86275%92.962.8+30.1
5 Troy86275%82.963.8+19.1
6 Appalachian State85362%78.168.9+9.2
7 Georgia State85362%69.463.1+6.2
8 Arkansas State74357%71.363.6+7.7
9 Texas State74357%65.765.0+0.7
10 Coastal Carolina63350%76.762.8+13.8
11 Old Dominion84450%70.067.1+2.9
12 Georgia Southern84450%66.967.2-0.4
13 South Alabama83538%70.968.9+2.0
14 Louisiana Monroe82625%71.072.4-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grambling St.74357%67.365.6+1.7
2 Prairie View A&M84450%74.471.9+2.5
3 Southern Univ.73443%75.471.0+4.4
4 Bethune-Cookman73443%65.472.3-6.9
5 Alcorn State83538%63.671.4-7.8
6 Alabama A&M Bulldogs72529%76.479.7-3.3
7 Arkansas-Pine Bluff92722%63.472.7-9.2
8 Florida A&M61517%55.880.8-25.0
9 Texas Southern81712%60.579.5-19.0
10 Alabama State81712%60.480.8-20.4
11 Miss. Valley St.81712%55.579.0-23.5
12 Jackson State6060%70.584.5-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State302858
Miss. Valley St.201838
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