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Arkansas State vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 62-60
30-34 32-26
Position#101
Record16-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Position#156
Record18-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game62.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Arkansas State v Appalachian State
07 Jan 2027
ARKA v APPA
upcoming
23 Jan 2025
ARKA65
APPA55
25 Feb 2022
ARKA62
APPA60
30 Jan 2020
ARKA64
APPA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#40
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A27/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A11/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A13/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A18/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A19/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
35-28
27-33
27-28
33-35
40-31
29-26
30-34
34-23
33-35
35-29
42-50
25-45
26-25
29-48
38-36
26-22
32-27
33-36
36-38
130.3Avg total
64.2Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.268.2139.3+3.062%
Season at home (13)73.163.1136.2+10.077%
Season away (13)69.273.2142.5-4.046%
Last 10 (10)64.266.1130.3-1.940%
Last 5 (5)64.471.2135.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.071.9135.9-7.933%
vs Similar ◀ (9)65.467.4132.9-2.033%
vs Weaker (9)75.966.7142.6+9.289%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#229
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A22/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H27/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H29/01
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A03/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H12/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H17/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H19/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
33-33
33-27
28-27
35-29
37-28
29-41
37-27
20-34
50-27
33-29
32-32
16-28
33-30
39-37
22-30
30-19
39-32
40-32
38-34
126.6Avg total
66.1Scored
60.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)66.962.4129.4+4.560%
Season at home (17)67.757.2124.9+10.571%
Season away (13)65.969.2135.2-3.346%
Last 10 (10)66.160.5126.6+5.670%
Last 5 (5)64.460.6125.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.269.0136.2-1.840%
vs Similar ◀ (15)60.964.0124.9-3.147%
vs Weaker (10)75.856.8132.6+19.090%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +4.9+4.9
Arkansas StateAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#40
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A27/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A11/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A13/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A18/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A19/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H24/02
NCAA
63.2Avg total
30.3Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.034.167.1-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.429.864.2+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)31.837.969.6-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)30.332.963.2-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)29.636.065.6-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.939.470.3-8.611%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)30.130.060.1+0.144%-
vs Weaker (9)35.334.269.6+1.156%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#229
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A22/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H27/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A03/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
L
16-28
16
28
-12
H12/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H17/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H19/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/02
NCAA
61.7Avg total
31.2Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.330.963.3+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.828.660.5+3.265%-
Last 30 away (13)33.033.966.9-0.946%-
Last 10 (10)31.230.561.7+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)31.629.060.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.233.667.8+0.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)30.531.662.1-1.160%-
vs Weaker (10)34.128.662.7+5.560%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
3
Appalachian State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/22HCoastal Carolina69-74
19/02/22AUT Arlington58-49
18/02/22ATexas State67-84
13/02/22ASouth Alabama51-70
11/02/22ATroy77-79
05/02/22HLouisiana Lafayette67-58
04/02/22HLouisiana Monroe59-60
29/01/22ACoastal Carolina73-66
27/01/22AAppalachian State54-61
22/01/22HTexas State67-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/22AUALR78-66
19/02/22HSouth Alabama69-51
17/02/22HTroy61-67
12/02/22HGeorgia State49-58
10/02/22HGeorgia Southern65-61
05/02/22AUT Arlington70-61
03/02/22ATexas State66-68
29/01/22HUALR72-57
27/01/22HArkansas State61-54
22/01/22AGeorgia Southern70-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL62%
HomeWWLWL77%
AwayWLLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%77%46%
Points / game71.273.169.2
Allowed / game68.263.173.2
Point differential+3.0+10.0-4.0
Avg total139.3136.2142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%54%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWWLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %60%71%46%
Points / game66.967.765.9
Allowed / game62.457.269.2
Point differential+4.5+10.5-3.3
Avg total129.4124.9135.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%41%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State2620677%70.862.6+8.3
2 Troy2819968%69.965.1+4.8
3 South Alabama28181064%71.763.1+8.6
4 Georgia State2516964%70.864.2+6.7
5 Arkansas State26161062%71.268.2+3.0
6 Appalachian State30181260%66.962.4+4.5
7 Coastal Carolina28161257%73.165.1+8.0
8 James Madison27151256%76.172.0+4.1
9 Louisiana Lafayette27131448%71.169.6+1.6
10 Georgia Southern27121544%66.665.4+1.1
11 Louisiana Monroe30131743%72.374.1-1.8
12 Old Dominion28111739%66.467.0-0.7
13 Marshall29111838%74.576.6-2.1
14 Southern Miss2862221%64.074.8-10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State303262
Appalachian State342660
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