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Arkansas State vs Ohio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 100-87
51-39 49-48
Position#186
Record10-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#120
Record13-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#353
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H06/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H03/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
48-39
42-36
38-39
47-43
37-42
40-42
33-31
33-38
43-36
36-36
28-41
47-40
41-26
33-48
36-37
42-34
57-37
38-43
22-35
51-42
157.6Avg total
80.0Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.878.5157.3+0.242%
Season at home (10)86.578.1164.6+8.470%
Season away (14)73.278.9152.1-5.621%
Last 10 (10)80.077.6157.6+2.450%
Last 5 (5)80.678.8159.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)66.676.2142.8-9.60%
vs Similar (16)76.477.7154.1-1.244%
vs Weaker (9)83.875.1158.9+8.767%
This opponent (Ohio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H06/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A13/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H17/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H20/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A24/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A26/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
91-70
91
70
+21
H31/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-35
46-31
35-38
43-45
36-37
43-44
40-28
33-33
46-28
39-39
26-35
32-32
33-32
38-32
41-26
50-44
39-32
39-37
36-27
36-45
148.2Avg total
77.5Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.471.2149.6+7.357%
Season at home (16)80.669.4149.9+11.269%
Season away (7)73.675.3148.9-1.729%
Last 10 (10)77.570.7148.2+6.870%
Last 5 (5)76.469.8146.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.082.0157.0-7.00%
vs Similar (9)74.875.0149.8-0.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.569.2149.7+11.265%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +1.7+1.7
Arkansas StateOhio
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#353
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H06/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A18/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A28/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H03/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H08/02
NCAA
74.6Avg total
38.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.336.273.5+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.937.077.9+3.950%-
Last 30 away (18)34.935.770.6-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)38.336.374.6+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.272.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)28.037.065.0-9.020%-
vs Similar (16)36.238.474.7-2.238%-
vs Weaker (9)44.331.876.1+12.689%-
This opponent (Ohio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H06/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A13/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H17/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H20/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A24/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A26/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H31/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A07/02
NCAA
68.2Avg total
36.4Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.032.870.8+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.031.570.5+7.567%-
Last 30 away (12)36.534.871.2+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)36.431.868.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.030.465.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.035.074.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (9)34.834.369.1+0.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.432.071.4+7.470%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
0
Ohio wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HJames Madison73-77
03/02/24HLouisiana Monroe95-80
01/02/24HSouthern Miss78-71
28/01/24ALouisiana Monroe82-85 OT
26/01/24ALouisiana Lafayette75-81
20/01/24ATexas State79-72
18/01/24ASouthern Miss66-69
13/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette77-84
12/01/24HTexas State85-82
06/01/24HOld Dominion90-75
Ohiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24ABall State84-79 OT
03/02/24HMiami (Ohio)78-69
31/01/24HBuffalo91-70
26/01/24AKent State71-64
24/01/24AAkron58-67
20/01/24HEastern Michigan85-67
17/01/24HCentral Michigan73-61
13/01/24AWestern Michigan79-81
10/01/24ABowling Green78-83
06/01/24HNorthern Illinois78-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL42%
HomeWLWWL70%
AwayLLWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %42%70%21%
Points / game78.886.573.2
Allowed / game78.578.178.9
Point differential+0.2+8.4-5.6
Avg total157.3164.6152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Ohio
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %57%69%29%
Points / game78.480.673.6
Allowed / game71.269.475.3
Point differential+7.3+11.2-1.7
Avg total149.6149.9148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)40% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %9%6%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison2421388%85.269.2+16.0
2 Appalachian State2520580%78.666.9+11.7
3 Troy2416867%80.169.5+10.6
4 Louisiana Lafayette2415962%77.371.2+6.1
5 Southern Miss25141156%70.570.1+0.4
6 Marshall25121348%75.776.4-0.8
7 Georgia State24111346%78.174.3+3.8
8 South Alabama24111346%73.477.1-3.7
9 Arkansas State24101442%78.878.5+0.2
10 Texas State24101442%68.370.1-1.8
11 Louisiana Monroe2281436%70.574.6-4.2
12 Coastal Carolina2361726%74.779.9-5.2
13 Old Dominion2561924%71.276.6-5.4
14 Georgia Southern2451921%70.579.3-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2318578%75.964.3+11.6
2 Bowling Green2316770%77.272.0+5.2
3 UMass2214864%80.372.0+8.2
4 Toledo2415962%80.777.4+3.2
5 Central Michigan24141058%66.871.0-4.2
6 Ohio23131057%78.471.2+7.3
7 Ball State23121152%75.471.0+4.4
8 Kent State23121152%76.972.7+4.1
9 Miami (Ohio)23111248%72.471.0+1.4
10 Eastern Michigan2391439%67.275.3-8.1
11 Northern Illinois2281436%76.078.7-2.7
12 Western Michigan2481633%71.575.5-4.0
13 Buffalo222209%66.880.4-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State5149100
Ohio394887
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