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Arkansas State vs Old Dominion Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 90-75
48-39 42-36
Position#186
Record5-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#353
Record4-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game77.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Arkansas State v Old Dominion
28 Jan 2026
ARKA71
OLD 75
06 Jan 2024
ARKA90
OLD 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Old Dominion winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#178
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A25/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H29/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A05/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H09/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A14/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A21/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
90-91
90
91
-1
A30/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
109-83
109
83
+26
H05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-27
29-44
51-17
24-41
38-35
33-40
31-27
35-50
28-49
37-40
46-38
41-30
29-31
46-32
43-38
27-36
39-50
51-41
59-40
50-43
151.4Avg total
76.5Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.979.2157.1-1.436%
Season at home (4)91.878.0169.8+13.875%
Season away (10)72.379.7152.0-7.420%
Last 10 (10)76.574.9151.4+1.640%
Last 5 (5)86.275.8162.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)63.676.3139.9-12.70%
vs Similar (14)72.174.0146.1-1.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)81.272.7153.8+8.567%
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#102
W
68-61 OT
68
61
+7
H26/11
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A02/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#326
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A07/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H10/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
87-111
87
111
-24
H21/12
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H23/12
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A24/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H31/12
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-25
33-29
31-32
38-36
33-40
35-41
41-36
38-48
30-50
39-34
41-47
46-64
34-31
44-32
28-41
37-46
36-22
23-39
34-55
39-31
150.1Avg total
71.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)70.577.0147.5-6.529%
Season at home (8)69.672.6142.2-3.050%
Season away (6)71.782.8154.5-11.20%
Last 10 (10)71.578.6150.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)72.481.6154.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)69.174.4143.4-5.337%
vs Similar (10)65.767.5133.2-1.860%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: -2.8-2.8
Arkansas StateOld Dominion
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A25/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
51-17
51
17
+34
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A02/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A05/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A14/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H05/01
NCAA
74.4Avg total
39.2Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.735.168.8-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.134.869.9+0.242%-
Last 30 away (18)32.735.368.0-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)39.235.274.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.482.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)28.636.565.1-7.910%-
vs Similar (14)33.636.069.6-2.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.230.772.8+11.583%-
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#102
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H26/11
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A02/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#326
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A07/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H10/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H21/12
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H23/12
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A24/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H31/12
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A05/01
NCAA
70.8Avg total
32.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.733.965.7-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.232.362.5-2.138%-
Last 30 away (14)33.535.869.3-2.343%-
Last 10 (10)32.937.970.8-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.639.273.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)31.636.267.8-4.626%-
vs Similar (10)31.230.461.6+0.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Arkansas State wins
0
Old Dominion wins
DateGameScore
30/12/22Old Dominion v Arkansas State57-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HGeorgia Southern109-83
30/12/23AGeorgia State90-91
21/12/23ABelmont70-74
14/12/23ALouisville75-63
09/12/23HUAB87-68
05/12/23AAlabama65-89
02/12/23AUALR66-77
29/11/23HJackson State71-75
26/11/23AUTRGV75-58
25/11/23ASan Diego Toreros57-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24ATroy73-86
31/12/23HSouth Alabama59-61
24/12/23AUMass65-87
23/12/23HTemple78-63
21/12/23HTCU87-111
10/12/23HJames Madison69-84
07/12/23AWilliam & Mary79-84
02/12/23ANortheastern68-81
30/11/23HRadford69-68
26/11/23HDrexel68-61 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW36%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14410
Win %36%75%20%
Points / game77.991.872.3
Allowed / game79.278.079.7
Point differential-1.4+13.8-7.4
Avg total157.1169.8152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Old Dominion
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game70.569.671.7
Allowed / game77.072.682.8
Point differential-6.5-3.0-11.2
Avg total147.5142.2154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison14140100%90.171.2+18.9
2 Appalachian State1411379%79.564.8+14.7
3 Troy148657%82.670.9+11.8
4 South Alabama148657%74.174.6-0.5
5 Louisiana Lafayette147750%75.971.3+4.6
6 Southern Miss147750%70.471.5-1.1
7 Marshall157847%75.975.9-0.1
8 Georgia State136746%79.474.6+4.8
9 Texas State146843%69.169.9-0.7
10 Arkansas State145936%77.979.2-1.4
11 Louisiana Monroe124833%68.772.3-3.7
12 Coastal Carolina134931%78.777.6+1.1
13 Old Dominion1441029%70.577.0-6.5
14 Georgia Southern141137%68.480.4-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State484290
Old Dominion393675
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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