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Arkansas State vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 85-82
38-39 47-43
Position#186
Record6-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#214
Record6-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Arkansas State v Texas State
10 Jan 2026
ARKA83
TEXA82
25 Jan 2025
ARKA80
TEXA65
11 Jan 2024
ARKA85
TEXA82
12 Jan 2023
ARKA58
TEXA61
22 Jan 2022
ARKA67
TEXA60
22 Feb 2021
ARKA52
TEXA57
04 Jan 2020
ARKA67
TEXA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#359
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H29/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A05/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H09/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A14/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A21/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
90-91
90
91
-1
A30/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
109-83
109
83
+26
H05/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-17
24-41
38-35
33-40
31-27
35-50
28-49
37-40
46-38
41-30
29-31
46-32
43-38
27-36
39-50
51-41
59-40
50-43
48-39
42-36
155.1Avg total
79.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.778.9157.6-0.340%
Season at home (5)91.477.4168.8+14.080%
Season away (10)72.379.7152.0-7.420%
Last 10 (10)79.875.3155.1+4.550%
Last 5 (5)86.877.2164.0+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)63.676.3139.9-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.275.0148.2-1.838%
vs Weaker (7)82.473.0155.4+9.471%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#320
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A01/12
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#628
W
107-58
107
58
+49
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A16/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#550
W
110-68
110
68
+42
H19/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
37-72
37
72
-35
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H05/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-28
42-46
32-27
41-39
26-36
32-41
36-24
71-34
23-33
50-27
53-30
57-38
18-29
19-43
28-36
37-46
31-33
32-38
40-37
35-42
143.5Avg total
72.8Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.570.5140.0-0.940%
Season at home (7)77.467.3144.7+10.143%
Season away (8)62.673.2135.9-10.638%
Last 10 (10)72.870.7143.5+2.140%
Last 5 (5)70.074.4144.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)60.373.3133.6-13.17%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.966.0137.9+5.975%
vs Weaker (3)93.365.7159.0+27.767%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +2.2+2.2
Arkansas StateTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#359
W
51-17
51
17
+34
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A02/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A05/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A14/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H05/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H06/01
NCAA
77.6Avg total
41.2Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.535.569.9-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.135.872.8+1.350%-
Last 30 away (18)32.735.368.0-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.477.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.683.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)28.636.565.1-7.910%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.436.671.0-2.238%-
vs Weaker (7)43.031.974.9+11.186%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Utah
#320
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H22/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A01/12
NCAA
Jarvis Christian
#628
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A16/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#550
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H19/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/01
NCAA
62.5Avg total
31.2Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.732.963.6-2.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.431.664.0+0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)29.234.163.2-4.919%-
Last 10 (10)31.231.362.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.033.067.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)27.335.963.2-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.530.262.8+2.258%-
vs Weaker (3)40.029.069.0+11.067%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Arkansas State wins
6
Texas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HOld Dominion90-75
05/01/24HGeorgia Southern109-83
30/12/23AGeorgia State90-91
21/12/23ABelmont70-74
14/12/23ALouisville75-63
09/12/23HUAB87-68
05/12/23AAlabama65-89
02/12/23AUALR66-77
29/11/23HJackson State71-75
26/11/23AUTRGV75-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HMarshall75-79
05/01/24HCoastal Carolina63-71
30/12/23AJames Madison65-82
22/12/23AHouston37-72
19/12/23HLe Tourneau110-68
16/12/23ASam Houston St.73-60
12/12/23HJarvis Christian107-58
01/12/23ATexas58-77
25/11/23AUT Arlington73-66
22/11/23HSouthern Utah67-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW40%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %40%80%20%
Points / game78.791.472.3
Allowed / game78.977.479.7
Point differential-0.3+14.0-7.4
Avg total157.6168.8152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%80%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%43%38%
Points / game69.577.462.6
Allowed / game70.567.373.2
Point differential-0.9+10.1-10.6
Avg total140.0144.7135.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison1615194%88.870.8+18.0
2 Appalachian State1612475%77.863.6+14.2
3 Troy1610662%81.470.4+10.9
4 Georgia State158753%79.974.4+5.5
5 Southern Miss158753%71.171.5-0.3
6 Marshall179853%76.275.8+0.5
7 Louisiana Lafayette168850%76.372.1+4.2
8 South Alabama168850%73.176.5-3.4
9 Arkansas State156940%78.778.9-0.3
10 Texas State156940%69.570.5-0.9
11 Louisiana Monroe134931%68.672.6-4.0
12 Coastal Carolina1541127%76.377.6-1.3
13 Old Dominion1641225%70.877.8-7.1
14 Georgia Southern1621412%69.279.6-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State384785
Texas State394382
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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