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Texas State vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:15
Final 72-79
36-43 36-36
Position#214
Record7-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#186
Record7-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game78.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Texas State v Arkansas State
17 Dec 2025
TEXA70
ARKA89
01 Feb 2025
TEXA74
ARKA85
20 Jan 2024
TEXA72
ARKA79
09 Feb 2023
TEXA66
ARKA62
17 Feb 2022
TEXA84
ARKA67
09 Jan 2021
TEXA v ARKA
upcoming
08 Jan 2021
TEXA v ARKA
upcoming
15 Feb 2020
TEXA69
ARKA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jarvis Christian
#628
W
107-58
107
58
+49
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A16/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#550
W
110-68
110
68
+42
H19/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
37-72
37
72
-35
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H05/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
68-86
68
86
-18
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-24
71-34
23-33
50-27
53-30
57-38
18-29
19-43
28-36
37-46
31-33
32-38
40-37
35-42
39-38
43-47
33-29
34-25
29-44
39-42
146.2Avg total
74.7Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.071.2141.2-1.239%
Season at home (8)76.269.6145.9+6.638%
Season away (10)65.072.5137.5-7.540%
Last 10 (10)74.771.5146.2+3.240%
Last 5 (5)71.075.0146.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)61.675.6137.3-14.07%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.967.5140.4+5.467%
vs Weaker (4)86.862.8149.5+24.075%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#67
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A05/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H09/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A14/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A21/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
90-91
90
91
-1
A30/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
109-83
109
83
+26
H05/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H06/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-49
37-40
46-38
41-30
29-31
46-32
43-38
27-36
39-50
51-41
59-40
50-43
48-39
42-36
38-39
47-43
37-42
40-42
33-31
33-38
159.2Avg total
81.4Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.278.8157.1-0.639%
Season at home (7)88.479.0167.4+9.471%
Season away (11)71.778.7150.5-7.018%
Last 10 (10)81.477.8159.2+3.650%
Last 5 (5)85.478.6164.0+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)61.474.6136.0-13.10%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.775.6149.3-1.938%
vs Weaker (7)82.473.0155.4+9.471%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +3.3+3.3
Texas StateArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jarvis Christian
#628
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A16/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#550
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H19/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H18/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
33.0Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.433.464.8-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.032.665.6+0.446%-
Last 30 away (17)30.134.064.1-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)33.033.366.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.270.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)27.937.265.1-9.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.230.463.6+2.767%-
vs Weaker (4)38.229.067.2+9.275%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#67
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A05/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A14/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H05/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H06/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A18/01
NCAA
79.7Avg total
40.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.235.670.8-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.536.676.1+2.855%-
Last 30 away (19)32.735.167.8-2.337%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.779.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.281.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.636.965.4-8.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.736.871.4-2.138%-
vs Weaker (7)43.031.974.9+11.186%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Texas State wins
2
Arkansas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette68-86
13/01/24ALouisiana Monroe67-54
12/01/24AArkansas State82-85
06/01/24HMarshall75-79
05/01/24HCoastal Carolina63-71
30/12/23AJames Madison65-82
22/12/23AHouston37-72
19/12/23HLe Tourneau110-68
16/12/23ASam Houston St.73-60
12/12/23HJarvis Christian107-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24ASouthern Miss66-69
13/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette77-84
12/01/24HTexas State85-82
06/01/24HOld Dominion90-75
05/01/24HGeorgia Southern109-83
30/12/23AGeorgia State90-91
21/12/23ABelmont70-74
14/12/23ALouisville75-63
09/12/23HUAB87-68
05/12/23AAlabama65-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%38%40%
Points / game70.076.265.0
Allowed / game71.269.672.5
Point differential-1.2+6.6-7.5
Avg total141.2145.9137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL39%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %39%71%18%
Points / game78.288.471.7
Allowed / game78.879.078.7
Point differential-0.6+9.4-7.0
Avg total157.1167.4150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison1816289%86.970.1+16.8
2 Appalachian State1915479%77.363.2+14.1
3 Troy1911858%79.969.5+10.4
4 Louisiana Lafayette1911858%77.872.5+5.3
5 Southern Miss1911858%69.870.6-0.7
6 South Alabama1910953%74.477.3-2.9
7 Georgia State189950%79.374.4+4.8
8 Marshall1991047%76.277.4-1.2
9 Arkansas State1871139%78.278.8-0.6
10 Texas State1871139%70.071.2-1.2
11 Coastal Carolina1851328%75.277.8-2.6
12 Old Dominion1851328%72.177.2-5.1
13 Louisiana Monroe1641225%67.173.2-6.1
14 Georgia Southern1941521%69.979.1-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State363672
Arkansas State433679
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