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Arkansas State vs UALR Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 73-62
40-22 33-40
Position#213
Record8-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Position#275
Record8-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Arkansas State v UALR
06 Dec 2026
ARKA v UALR
upcoming
12 Nov 2024
ARKA80
UALR63
22 Dec 2022
ARKA77
UALR75
12 Feb 2021
ARKA73
UALR62
22 Feb 2020
ARKA78
UALR81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#294
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A23/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
83-75 OT
83
75
+8
H30/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-45
43-39
32-35
23-27
40-36
34-36
39-36
54-36
31-27
37-54
29-41
45-36
26-35
42-33
31-25
33-40
36-38
59-49
46-29
37-48
151.3Avg total
76.1Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.071.6147.6+4.447%
Season at home (10)85.269.1154.3+16.180%
Season away (7)62.975.1138.0-12.30%
Last 10 (10)76.175.2151.3+0.950%
Last 5 (5)79.876.2156.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.677.0146.6-7.425%
vs Similar (14)72.874.1146.9-1.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.866.6148.4+15.162%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#197
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A09/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
A09/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H16/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H16/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A23/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A05/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
67-77 OT
67
77
-10
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
24-32
31-29
33-37
32-42
36-26
25-34
34-29
34-40
22-27
28-23
38-36
26-36
35-30
36-31
30-31
24-37
23-20
23-33
39-29
127.0Avg total
61.8Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.669.6139.2+0.144%
Season at home (10)71.770.0141.7+1.750%
Season away (8)67.069.0136.0-2.038%
Last 10 (10)61.865.2127.0-3.430%
Last 5 (5)61.464.2125.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)65.271.5136.8-6.212%
vs Similar (15)73.571.9145.5+1.660%
vs Weaker (7)83.770.4154.1+13.3100%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: -4.3-4.32nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: -4.3-4.32nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +1.7+1.7
Arkansas StateUALR
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#294
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A23/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H30/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H06/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H06/02
NCAA
68.6Avg total
33.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.033.966.9-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.332.768.9+3.653%-
Last 30 away (15)29.835.164.9-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)33.934.768.6-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.667.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.836.264.0-8.512%-
vs Similar (14)32.633.065.6-0.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.033.172.1+5.962%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#197
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A09/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A09/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H16/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A23/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A05/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A06/02
NCAA
62.1Avg total
28.9Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.268.5+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.334.172.4+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)29.734.464.1-4.643%-
Last 10 (10)28.933.262.1-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)27.432.059.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)29.136.865.9-7.60%-
vs Similar (15)34.533.768.1+0.867%-
vs Weaker (7)39.932.472.3+7.486%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
2
UALR wins
DateGameScore
22/02/20Arkansas State v UALR78-81
08/02/20UALR v Arkansas State90-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/21HLouisiana Lafayette83-77
06/02/21HLouisiana Lafayette95-87
30/01/21HUT Arlington64-65
30/01/21HUT Arlington83-75 OT
23/01/21ALouisiana Lafayette74-77
23/01/21ALouisiana Lafayette68-81
16/01/21HLouisiana Monroe93-72
16/01/21HLouisiana Monroe74-72
02/01/21ALouisiana Monroe55-62
02/01/21ALouisiana Monroe72-84
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/21ATexas State67-77 OT
05/02/21ATexas State47-57
30/01/21HLouisiana Monroe66-62
23/01/21AUT Arlington61-66
23/01/21AUT Arlington66-59
16/01/21HTexas State56-67
16/01/21HTexas State59-63
09/01/21ALouisiana Lafayette78-76 OT
09/01/21ALouisiana Lafayette64-66
02/01/21HUT Arlington54-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW47%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %47%80%0%
Points / game76.085.262.9
Allowed / game71.669.175.1
Point differential+4.4+16.1-12.3
Avg total147.6154.3138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%10%0%
UALR
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game69.671.767.0
Allowed / game69.670.069.0
Point differential+0.1+1.7-2.0
Avg total139.2141.7136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State2014670%66.662.0+4.5
2 James Madison1611569%77.968.4+9.5
3 Marshall1611569%81.672.3+9.3
4 Coastal Carolina1812667%81.867.7+14.2
5 Old Dominion1510567%70.071.1-1.1
6 Louisiana Lafayette2013765%74.773.2+1.4
7 Georgia State149564%81.673.9+7.8
8 Appalachian State1912763%72.162.6+9.5
9 South Alabama2113862%75.971.4+4.5
10 Georgia Southern22121055%72.967.9+5.0
11 Troy21101148%65.267.4-2.2
12 Arkansas State178947%76.071.6+4.4
13 Southern Miss2071335%64.366.2-1.9
14 Louisiana Monroe1961332%65.168.9-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State2216673%68.062.8+5.2
2 UALR1881044%69.669.6+0.1
3 Siu Edwardsville1881044%68.672.6-4.0
4 UT Martin1971237%65.776.9-11.2
5 Southeast Missouri State2071335%67.070.3-3.4
6 Western Illinois1861233%73.178.1-5.0
7 Eastern Illinois2271532%68.574.9-6.4
8 Tennessee State1831517%66.171.3-5.2
9 Tennessee Tech2121910%63.976.5-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State403373
UALR224062
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