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Arkansas State vs UALR Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 77-75
31-39 46-36
Position#278
Record7-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game63.4
vs
Position#322
Record4-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game78.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Arkansas State v UALR
06 Dec 2026
ARKA v UALR
upcoming
12 Nov 2024
ARKA80
UALR63
22 Dec 2022
ARKA77
UALR75
12 Feb 2021
ARKA73
UALR62
22 Feb 2020
ARKA78
UALR81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon
#480
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H15/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H26/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#453
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A07/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A10/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-34
38-24
25-31
35-44
29-29
41-35
31-26
28-41
44-27
46-38
30-20
28-18
35-27
32-45
27-44
28-36
24-26
44-35
27-31
45-34
132.6Avg total
68.1Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)68.263.4131.7+4.858%
Season at home (8)73.159.1132.2+14.088%
Season away (4)58.572.0130.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)68.164.5132.6+3.660%
Last 5 (5)64.063.2127.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)65.370.4135.7-5.143%
vs Similar ◀ (10)64.566.6131.1-2.140%
vs Weaker (11)72.762.1134.8+10.682%
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#341
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A15/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A18/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
94-91
94
91
+3
H21/11
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A23/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A26/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
68-90
68
90
-22
A01/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A07/12
NCAA
Philander Smith
#472
W
83-54
83
54
+29
H13/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A17/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-37
41-45
35-42
41-42
37-41
57-50
30-39
38-48
27-43
40-37
24-49
44-41
30-46
41-41
41-20
42-34
23-30
39-42
32-27
43-39
152.8Avg total
73.5Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.478.9151.3-6.533%
Season at home (4)80.867.8148.5+13.0100%
Season away (8)68.284.5152.8-16.20%
Last 10 (10)73.579.3152.8-5.830%
Last 5 (5)71.873.8145.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)65.577.6143.1-12.117%
vs Similar ◀ (2)78.081.5159.5-3.550%
vs Weaker (3)72.369.3141.7+3.067%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: -6.5-6.52nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: -6.5-6.52nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +0.7+0.7
Arkansas StateUALR
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon
#480
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H22/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H26/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#453
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A10/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H15/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H20/12
NCAA
61.1Avg total
31.6Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.932.064.0-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.229.462.7+3.856%-
Last 30 away (12)30.035.965.9-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)31.629.561.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)28.629.658.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.436.666.0-7.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)29.130.359.4-1.240%-
vs Weaker (11)34.230.865.0+3.464%-
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#341
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A15/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A18/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/11
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A23/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A26/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A01/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A07/12
NCAA
Philander Smith
#472
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H13/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#266
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A17/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H21/12
NCAA
68.3Avg total
30.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.935.765.7-5.823%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.432.363.7-0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)28.838.467.2-9.56%-
Last 10 (10)30.937.468.3-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)30.034.464.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)29.237.466.6-8.213%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)30.035.565.5-5.50%-
vs Weaker (3)31.030.361.3+0.767%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Arkansas State wins
2
UALR wins
DateGameScore
13/02/21UALR v Arkansas State65-67
13/02/21Arkansas State v UALR73-62
22/02/20Arkansas State v UALR78-81
08/02/20UALR v Arkansas State90-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/22HAlabama State72-65
15/12/22HSoutheast Missouri State68-61
10/12/22AAir Force55-80
07/12/22ACentral Arkansas67-72
02/12/22HMiss. Valley St.58-38
27/11/22HBethel (TN)90-65
26/11/22HPrairie View A&M59-67
22/11/22HUT Martin70-64
19/11/22AUC Davis60-75
15/11/22HLyon82-58
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HCentral Arkansas75-66
17/12/22AJacksonville State62-72
13/12/22HPhilander Smith83-54
07/12/22AMemphis71-87
01/12/22ASan Francisco68-90
26/11/22AMiami (FL)67-80
23/11/22AIndiana68-87
21/11/22HJackson State94-91
18/11/22AEast Tennessee St76-84
15/11/22ACentral Arkansas71-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW58%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %58%88%0%
Points / game68.273.158.5
Allowed / game63.459.172.0
Point differential+4.8+14.0-13.5
Avg total131.7132.2130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UALR
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game72.480.868.2
Allowed / game78.967.884.5
Point differential-6.5+13.0-16.2
Avg total151.3148.5152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1211192%80.459.6+20.8
2 Marshall1311285%83.669.5+14.2
3 Louisiana Lafayette1210283%83.472.2+11.2
4 James Madison139469%93.266.6+26.5
5 Old Dominion128467%68.565.1+3.4
6 Troy138562%79.566.5+12.9
7 Georgia State127558%69.263.4+5.8
8 Arkansas State127558%68.263.4+4.8
9 Coastal Carolina116555%78.667.0+11.6
10 Appalachian State137654%77.463.5+13.9
11 Georgia Southern137654%68.063.6+4.4
12 Texas State137654%67.866.9+0.8
13 South Alabama126650%72.268.1+4.1
14 Louisiana Monroe134931%71.870.8+1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville139469%76.369.4+6.9
2 Western Illinois128467%77.871.2+6.6
3 UT Martin138562%84.973.6+11.3
4 Tennessee State138562%80.274.0+6.2
5 Southern Indiana137654%76.170.7+5.4
6 Morehead State137654%71.168.0+3.1
7 Lindenwood125742%70.471.1-0.7
8 Southeast Missouri State135838%71.171.4-0.3
9 UALR124833%72.478.9-6.5
10 Eastern Illinois134931%68.869.0-0.2
11 Tennessee Tech134931%72.473.7-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State314677
UALR393675
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