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Arkansas vs Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 63-71
25-28 38-43
Position#118
Record11-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game66.7
vs
Florida 🏆
USA
Position#6
Record14-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Arkansas v Florida
11 Jan 2025
ARKA63
FLOR71
18 Feb 2023
ARKA84
FLOR65
16 Feb 2021
ARKA75
FLOR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
109-35
109
35
+74
H26/11
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A28/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A04/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H07/12
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
82-57
82
57
+25
A14/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H21/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H31/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
52-76
52
76
-24
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
60-15
49-20
34-49
43-41
32-40
44-33
27-32
48-28
45-49
44-38
46-28
36-29
54-31
41-36
42-39
50-23
27-42
25-34
33-33
33-40
149.3Avg total
81.3Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.466.7146.1+12.773%
Season at home (9)83.160.6143.7+22.689%
Season away (6)73.875.8149.7-2.050%
Last 10 (10)81.368.0149.3+13.370%
Last 5 (5)77.467.0144.4+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.179.6151.7-7.422%
vs Similar (12)76.677.1153.7-0.558%
vs Weaker (9)88.066.2154.2+21.889%
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#270
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H23/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H28/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H29/11
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H05/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
83-66
83
66
+17
A14/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H18/12
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
99-45
99
45
+54
H21/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
85-45
85
45
+40
H29/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
100-106
100
106
-6
A04/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
73-43
73
43
+30
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-25
47-43
32-28
43-30
37-18
51-33
39-35
48-34
41-32
42-34
46-34
44-50
54-17
45-28
46-27
39-18
42-52
58-54
34-15
39-28
150.8Avg total
87.3Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.364.9152.2+22.393%
Season at home (12)86.660.7147.2+25.9100%
Season away (3)90.082.0172.0+8.067%
Last 10 (10)87.363.5150.8+23.890%
Last 5 (5)89.464.6154.0+24.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.075.5149.5-1.550%
vs Similar (7)91.087.7178.7+3.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.868.2154.0+17.690%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +13.4+13.42nd half2nd half: +9.1+9.12nd half: +10.4+10.4
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +13.4+13.42nd half2nd half: +9.1+9.12nd half: +10.4+10.4
ArkansasFlorida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
60-15
60
15
+45
H26/11
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A28/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/12
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A14/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H31/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H09/01
NCAA
75.8Avg total
40.0Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.472.5+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.731.969.6+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)36.439.575.9-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.035.875.8+4.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.675.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.736.972.6-1.244%-
vs Similar (12)35.736.171.8-0.442%-
vs Weaker (9)40.333.173.4+7.256%-
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#270
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H23/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H28/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
W
37-18
37
18
+19
H29/11
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A14/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H18/12
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
54-17
54
17
+37
H21/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H29/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A04/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
34-15
34
15
+19
H08/01
NCAA
70.0Avg total
41.7Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.232.173.3+9.277%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.829.871.5+11.980%-
Last 30 away (10)40.236.676.8+3.670%-
Last 10 (10)41.728.370.0+13.490%-
Last 5 (5)44.429.073.4+15.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.032.068.0+4.050%-
vs Similar (7)42.437.980.3+4.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.330.171.5+11.281%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Arkansas wins
2
Florida wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Florida v Arkansas90-68
18/02/23Arkansas v Florida84-65
23/02/22Florida v Arkansas74-82
17/02/21Arkansas v Florida75-64
19/02/20Florida v Arkansas73-59
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HOle Miss66-73
04/01/25ATennessee52-76
31/12/24HOakland92-62
21/12/24HN. Carolina A&T95-67
14/12/24ACentral Arkansas82-57
11/12/24AMichigan89-87
07/12/24HUTSA Roadrunners75-60
04/12/24AMiami (FL)76-73
28/11/24AIllinois77-90
26/11/24HMd.-East. Shore109-35
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25HTennessee73-43
04/01/25AKentucky100-106
29/12/24HStetson85-45
21/12/24HNorth Florida99-45
18/12/24HNorth Carolina90-84
14/12/24AArizona State83-66
05/12/24HVirginia87-69
29/11/24HWichita State88-51
28/11/24HWake Forest75-58
23/11/24HSouthern Illinois93-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL73%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %73%89%50%
Points / game79.483.173.8
Allowed / game66.760.675.8
Point differential+12.7+22.6-2.0
Avg total146.1143.7149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%89%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %93%100%67%
Points / game87.386.690.0
Allowed / game64.960.782.0
Point differential+22.3+25.9+8.0
Avg total152.2147.2172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+87%92%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn1615194%86.666.0+20.6
2 Florida1514193%87.364.9+22.3
3 Tennessee1514193%77.357.1+20.3
4 Mississippi St.1514193%83.566.5+16.9
5 Georgia1513287%80.564.4+16.1
6 Ole Miss1513287%79.164.6+14.5
7 Alabama1513287%90.976.7+14.2
8 Texas A&M1513287%76.763.5+13.2
9 Oklahoma1513287%82.571.0+11.5
10 Missouri1613381%85.168.5+16.6
11 Vanderbilt1613381%83.467.6+15.8
12 Kentucky1512380%88.873.9+14.9
13 Texas1511473%82.764.9+17.8
14 LSU1511473%82.368.9+13.3
15 Arkansas1511473%79.466.7+12.7
16 South Carolina1610662%72.868.2+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas253863
Florida284371
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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