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Arkansas vs Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-65
37-31 47-34
Position#112
Record17-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game65.6
vs
Position#205
Record14-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game66.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Arkansas v Florida
11 Jan 2025
ARKA63
FLOR71
18 Feb 2023
ARKA84
FLOR65
16 Feb 2021
ARKA75
FLOR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#127
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A14/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H21/01
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H25/01
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H01/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-34
42-63
35-34
41-45
32-29
37-28
38-14
22-26
33-27
31-40
42-34
39-36
36-27
29-36
41-40
47-33
25-34
39-36
33-24
23-38
138.5Avg total
70.7Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.865.6139.4+8.265%
Season at home (17)76.062.2138.2+13.882%
Season away (9)69.771.9141.6-2.233%
Last 10 (10)70.767.8138.5+2.950%
Last 5 (5)70.867.6138.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.875.2147.0-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.165.5137.6+6.662%
vs Weaker (10)74.962.1137.0+12.880%
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#56
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H14/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A19/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A22/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H26/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A28/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H02/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A05/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
69-97
69
97
-28
A09/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-28
45-36
12-23
40-31
33-24
28-35
34-26
47-34
16-37
34-27
27-21
40-33
22-33
45-39
23-52
46-45
41-42
39-46
39-29
40-35
135.5Avg total
67.9Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.866.9138.7+4.954%
Season at home (15)78.464.9143.3+13.573%
Season away (11)62.869.6132.5-6.827%
Last 10 (10)67.967.6135.5+0.350%
Last 5 (5)72.475.0147.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.874.2138.0-10.317%
vs Similar ◀ (15)68.968.3137.2+0.733%
vs Weaker (8)81.162.1143.2+19.0100%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +4.3+4.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +4.3+4.3
ArkansasFlorida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#127
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A19/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H21/01
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
38-14
38
14
+24
H25/01
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A28/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A04/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A16/02
NCAA
65.4Avg total
35.7Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.530.163.6+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.228.963.1+5.368%-
Last 30 away (11)32.332.364.5+0.064%-
Last 10 (10)35.729.765.4+6.090%-
Last 5 (5)35.431.867.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.033.566.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.030.262.2+1.856%-
vs Weaker (10)36.128.664.7+7.590%-
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#56
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H14/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
12-23
12
23
-11
A19/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A22/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H26/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
16-37
16
37
-21
A28/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A05/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
23-52
23
52
-29
A09/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H15/02
NCAA
59.0Avg total
27.5Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.432.163.5-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.230.665.9+4.659%-
Last 30 away (13)26.433.960.3-7.523%-
Last 10 (10)27.531.559.0-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.435.465.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)27.835.863.7-8.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)29.830.960.7-1.140%-
vs Weaker (8)36.630.266.9+6.475%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Arkansas wins
1
Florida wins
DateGameScore
23/02/22Florida v Arkansas74-82
17/02/21Arkansas v Florida75-64
19/02/20Florida v Arkansas73-59
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23ATexas A&M56-62
11/02/23HMississippi St.64-70
08/02/23AKentucky88-73
04/02/23ASouth Carolina65-63
01/02/23HTexas A&M81-70
28/01/23ABaylor64-67
25/01/23HLSU60-40
21/01/23HOle Miss69-57
19/01/23AMissouri76-79
14/01/23AVanderbilt84-97
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23HOle Miss79-64
11/02/23HVanderbilt80-88
09/02/23AAlabama69-97
05/02/23AKentucky67-72
02/02/23HTennessee67-54
28/01/23AKansas State50-64
26/01/23HSouth Carolina81-60
22/01/23AMississippi St.61-59
19/01/23ATexas A&M52-54
14/01/23HMissouri73-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL65%
HomeLWWWL82%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %65%82%33%
Points / game73.876.069.7
Allowed / game65.662.271.9
Point differential+8.2+13.8-2.2
Avg total139.4138.2141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%11%
Florida
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW54%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %54%73%27%
Points / game71.878.462.8
Allowed / game66.964.969.6
Point differential+4.9+13.5-6.8
Avg total138.7143.3132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama2622485%82.568.7+13.8
2 Texas2620677%79.568.3+11.2
3 Tennessee2720774%71.756.7+14.9
4 Texas A&M2619773%74.566.1+8.4
5 Missouri2619773%81.175.7+5.4
6 Auburn2618869%72.864.7+8.1
7 Kentucky2718967%74.367.5+6.9
8 Arkansas2617965%73.865.6+8.2
9 Mississippi St.26161062%65.059.9+5.1
10 Georgia26161062%69.968.8+1.1
11 Florida26141254%71.866.9+4.9
12 Vanderbilt26141254%71.471.7-0.3
13 Oklahoma26131350%67.967.3+0.6
14 LSU27121544%66.569.3-2.8
15 Ole Miss26101638%67.368.5-1.2
16 South Carolina27101737%64.772.8-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas374784
Florida313465
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