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Florida vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 90-68
46-33 44-35
Position#73
Record10-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game76.5
Florida 🏆
USA
vs
Arkansas
USA
Position#224
Record9-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Florida v Arkansas
28 Feb 2026
FLOR111
ARKA77
13 Jan 2024
FLOR90
ARKA68
22 Feb 2022
FLOR74
ARKA82
18 Feb 2020
FLOR73
ARKA59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#58
L
91-95
91
95
-4
H24/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A30/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H06/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H09/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H15/12
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
A20/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
96-57
96
57
+39
H22/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
97-72
97
72
+25
H30/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H06/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
85-103
85
103
-18
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-41
50-54
36-32
35-50
30-31
47-26
40-30
47-46
37-30
33-35
38-37
43-44
44-27
52-30
52-29
45-43
45-37
40-50
40-44
45-59
166.0Avg total
86.5Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.176.5162.7+9.667%
Season at home (10)87.471.8159.2+15.680%
Season away (5)83.686.0169.6-2.440%
Last 10 (10)86.579.5166.0+7.060%
Last 5 (5)93.884.0177.8+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.075.5143.5-7.550%
vs Similar (16)75.176.2151.2-1.131%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.872.1157.9+13.791%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#57
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A23/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A24/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H30/11
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H05/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A09/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H16/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H22/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H30/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
51-83
51
83
-32
H06/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-42
42-42
38-35
34-52
33-32
47-43
40-35
57-48
25-37
45-42
41-33
28-33
28-35
55-38
48-42
58-48
30-37
21-46
24-34
42-42
156.9Avg total
77.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.176.8155.9+2.360%
Season at home (11)81.875.1156.9+6.782%
Season away (4)71.881.5153.2-9.80%
Last 10 (10)77.379.6156.9-2.350%
Last 5 (5)75.077.6152.6-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.181.2156.2-6.133%
vs Similar (15)75.970.1146.1+5.867%
vs Weaker (3)82.768.3151.0+14.3100%
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -0.5-0.5
FloridaArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#58
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A30/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H06/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H09/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A20/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H30/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H06/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A11/01
NCAA
74.1Avg total
40.3Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.769.4+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.831.369.1+6.567%-
Last 30 away (12)32.737.370.0-4.742%-
Last 10 (10)40.333.874.1+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.834.878.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)25.036.561.5-11.550%-
vs Similar (16)35.035.270.2-0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.630.870.5+8.882%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#57
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A23/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H05/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A09/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H16/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H22/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H30/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H06/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A11/01
NCAA
70.6Avg total
34.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.833.067.7+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.232.368.5+3.971%-
Last 30 away (13)32.833.866.7-1.054%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.270.6-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.270.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.936.670.5-2.750%-
vs Similar (15)34.731.365.9+3.467%-
vs Weaker (3)38.727.065.7+11.7100%-
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Florida wins
3
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
18/02/23Arkansas v Florida84-65
23/02/22Florida v Arkansas74-82
17/02/21Arkansas v Florida75-64
19/02/20Florida v Arkansas73-59
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24AOle Miss85-103
06/01/24HKentucky85-87
30/12/23HQuinnipiac97-72
22/12/23HGrambling St.96-57
20/12/23AMichigan106-101 OT
15/12/23HEast Carolina70-65
09/12/23HRichmond Spiders87-76
06/12/23HMerrimack Warriors77-57
30/11/23AWake Forest71-82
24/11/23HBaylor91-95
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24AGeorgia66-76
06/01/24HAuburn51-83
30/12/23HNC Wilmington106-90
22/12/23HAbilene Christian83-73
16/12/23HLipscomb69-66
09/12/23AOklahoma70-79
05/12/23HFurman97-83
30/11/23HDuke80-75
24/11/23ANorth Carolina72-87
23/11/23AMemphis79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %67%80%40%
Points / game86.187.483.6
Allowed / game76.571.886.0
Point differential+9.6+15.6-2.4
Avg total162.7159.2169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%70%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%20%
Arkansas
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %60%82%0%
Points / game79.181.871.8
Allowed / game76.875.181.5
Point differential+2.3+6.7-9.8
Avg total155.9156.9153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ole Miss1615194%77.669.5+8.1
2 South Carolina1614288%72.964.1+8.9
3 Auburn1513287%83.564.9+18.6
4 Oklahoma1613381%80.165.2+14.9
5 Kentucky1512380%90.876.0+14.8
6 Texas1512380%78.065.8+12.2
7 Mississippi St.1512380%75.363.7+11.7
8 Tennessee1612475%78.766.0+12.7
9 Georgia1612475%75.670.1+5.6
10 Alabama1510567%90.673.9+16.7
11 Florida1510567%86.176.5+9.6
12 LSU1510567%76.267.9+8.3
13 Texas A&M1610662%74.768.2+6.4
14 Arkansas159660%79.176.8+2.3
15 Missouri168850%75.672.7+2.9
16 Vanderbilt1651131%68.171.7-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida464490
Arkansas333568
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