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Arkansas vs UNC Asheville Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 85-51
44-24 41-27
Position#112
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game62.9
vs
Position#28
Record8-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNC Asheville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#37
W
74-48
74
48
+26
H12/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H17/11
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H21/11
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H23/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
A24/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H29/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
99-58
99
58
+41
H03/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H07/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H10/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-21
42-27
41-29
30-27
36-28
44-26
34-40
53-50
26-35
41-32
31-33
43-28
40-35
59-23
21-26
44-32
43-40
45-38
37-25
39-32
142.6Avg total
79.2Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.962.9141.8+16.091%
Season at home (10)79.061.8140.8+17.290%
Season away (1)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.263.4142.6+15.890%
Last 5 (5)80.462.4142.8+18.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.272.5145.8+0.875%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.566.6139.1+5.981%
vs Weaker (10)79.762.5142.2+17.290%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A20/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H26/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A30/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H03/12
NCAA
Warren Wilson
#673
W
122-70
122
70
+52
H07/12
NCAA
Dayton
#85
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A10/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A14/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-21
38-43
30-43
45-34
30-29
38-45
30-31
43-30
29-34
37-45
46-38
44-45
59-33
63-37
19-34
37-45
47-32
47-52
38-34
36-39
153.4Avg total
79.0Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.873.8155.6+8.167%
Season at home (6)87.766.8154.5+20.883%
Season away (6)76.080.7156.7-4.750%
Last 10 (10)79.074.4153.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)87.277.8165.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.079.0145.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.374.2145.5-2.930%
vs Weaker (18)82.071.6153.6+10.467%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +12.5+12.52nd half: +1.3+1.3
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +12.5+12.52nd half: +1.3+1.3
ArkansasUNC Asheville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#37
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H12/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H17/11
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H23/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A24/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H29/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H03/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
21-26
21
26
-5
H07/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H10/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/12
NCAA
65.3Avg total
34.1Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.231.064.2+2.267%-
Last 30 at home (21)32.328.761.0+3.671%-
Last 30 away (9)35.336.371.7-1.056%-
Last 10 (10)34.131.265.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.431.866.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.232.265.5+1.075%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)29.430.059.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker (10)39.332.171.4+7.290%-
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H19/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A20/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H26/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A30/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Warren Wilson
#673
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H07/12
NCAA
Dayton
#85
L
19-34
19
34
-15
A10/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A14/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A17/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
36.2Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.732.267.8+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.032.469.4+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)33.931.965.8+2.062%-
Last 10 (10)36.232.969.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.834.276.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.034.063.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)29.635.765.3-6.120%-
vs Weaker (18)39.530.369.8+9.289%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas wins
0
UNC Asheville wins
No previous meetings.
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22HBradley76-57
10/12/22HOklahoma88-78
07/12/22HNC Greensboro65-58
03/12/22HSan Jose State99-58
29/11/22HTroy74-61
24/11/22ASan Diego State78-74 OT
23/11/22HCreighton87-90
21/11/22HLouisville80-54
17/11/22HSouth Dakota St.71-56
12/11/22HFordham74-48
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22AEast Tennessee St74-73
14/12/22ASouth Carolina St94-84
10/12/22ADayton56-79
07/12/22HWarren Wilson122-70
03/12/22HUT Martin90-83
30/11/22AN. Carolina Central66-79
26/11/22HWestern Carolina73-61
20/11/22AGeorgia State68-74
19/11/22HEastern Kentucky75-77
19/11/22HTX A&M Commerce72-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11101
Win %91%90%100%
Points / game78.979.078.0
Allowed / game62.961.874.0
Point differential+16.0+17.2+4.0
Avg total141.8140.8152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%100%
UNC Asheville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game81.887.776.0
Allowed / game73.866.880.7
Point differential+8.1+20.8-4.7
Avg total155.6154.5156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU1211192%73.063.9+9.1
2 Texas1110191%82.561.3+21.3
3 Arkansas1110191%78.962.9+16.0
4 Missouri1110191%88.475.0+13.4
5 Tennessee1210283%74.752.8+21.9
6 Mississippi St.1210283%66.754.2+12.5
7 Alabama1210283%83.772.1+11.6
8 Auburn119282%72.762.2+10.5
9 Oklahoma129375%69.060.7+8.3
10 Georgia129375%70.863.3+7.4
11 Kentucky118373%78.764.4+14.4
12 Ole Miss128467%70.063.5+6.5
13 Florida127558%76.567.2+9.3
14 Texas A&M116555%75.870.4+5.5
15 Vanderbilt115645%67.767.3+0.5
16 South Carolina115645%64.070.5-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UNC Asheville128467%81.873.8+8.1
2 High Point128467%82.176.9+5.2
3 Longwood138562%79.168.7+10.4
4 Radford136746%74.166.8+7.2
5 USC Upstate115645%69.671.6-2.0
6 Gardner Webb125742%72.562.9+9.6
7 Winthrop135838%74.976.7-1.8
8 Presbyterian134931%64.468.1-3.7
9 Charleston Southern103730%71.175.5-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas444185
UNC Asheville242751
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