PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Arkansas vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 80-54
36-28 44-26
Position#112
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game54.0
vs
Position#367
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Arkansas v Louisville
03 Dec 2025
ARKA89
LOUI80
21 Nov 2022
ARKA80
LOUI54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#29
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A05/03
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H12/03
NCAA
Vermont
#10
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H18/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#18
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H20/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A24/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A27/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H08/11
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
74-48
74
48
+26
H12/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-50
45-28
29-26
50-41
24-36
40-46
34-27
41-44
26-17
27-31
32-29
42-39
33-45
36-33
34-26
42-32
32-21
42-27
41-29
30-27
136.3Avg total
70.9Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.754.0127.7+19.7100%
Season at home (3)73.754.0127.7+19.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.965.4136.3+5.570%
Last 5 (5)72.861.6134.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.272.5145.8+0.875%
vs Similar (15)71.769.3140.9+2.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)77.060.6137.6+16.482%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#190
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H19/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
77-99
77
99
-22
A27/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
43-75
43
75
-32
A02/03
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A10/03
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H10/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H12/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-27
42-34
36-36
27-34
36-44
41-55
21-33
22-42
17-36
44-35
45-28
39-46
24-20
26-31
30-41
36-26
37-34
35-39
25-38
35-23
134.8Avg total
64.6Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.067.0133.0-1.00%
Season at home (3)66.067.0133.0-1.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)64.670.2134.8-5.620%
Last 5 (5)66.465.2131.6+1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)64.773.0137.7-8.311%
vs Similar (11)68.766.5135.3+2.264%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -1.8-1.8
ArkansasLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#29
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A05/03
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#81
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H12/03
NCAA
Vermont
#10
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H18/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#18
W
26-17
26
17
+9
H20/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A24/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A27/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H12/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H17/11
NCAA
62.0Avg total
31.4Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.930.964.8+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.128.061.1+5.174%-
Last 30 away (11)35.435.971.3-0.545%-
Last 10 (10)31.430.662.0+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)34.430.064.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.232.265.5+1.075%-
vs Similar (15)30.130.961.0-0.947%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.530.469.8+9.182%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#190
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H19/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A02/03
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
17-36
17
36
-19
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H09/03
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A10/03
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H10/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H15/11
NCAA
63.6Avg total
29.9Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.234.265.4-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.933.565.4-1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)30.335.065.3-4.729%-
Last 10 (10)29.933.763.6-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)32.232.264.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)29.336.065.3-6.721%-
vs Similar (11)34.431.165.5+3.373%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas wins
0
Louisville wins
No previous meetings.
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/22HSouth Dakota St.71-56
12/11/22HFordham74-48
08/11/22HNorth Dakota St76-58
27/03/22ADuke69-78
24/03/22AGonzaga74-68
20/03/22HNew Mexico State53-48
18/03/22HVermont75-71
12/03/22HTexas A&M64-82
11/03/22HLSU79-67
05/03/22ATennessee74-78
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/22HAppalachian State60-61
12/11/22HWright State72-73
10/11/22HBellarmine66-67
10/03/22AVirginia50-51
09/03/22HGeorgia Tech84-74
05/03/22HVirginia61-71
02/03/22AVirginia Tech43-75
27/02/22AWake Forest77-99
22/02/22ANorth Carolina63-70
19/02/22HClemson70-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game73.773.7-
Allowed / game54.054.0-
Point differential+19.7+19.7-
Avg total127.7127.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Louisville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game66.066.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential-1.0-1.0-
Avg total133.0133.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%82.354.0+28.3
2 Alabama440100%84.857.5+27.2
3 Arkansas330100%73.754.0+19.7
4 Missouri550100%91.874.2+17.6
5 Auburn440100%74.558.0+16.5
6 LSU440100%75.859.5+16.2
7 Ole Miss440100%73.862.8+11.0
8 Mississippi St.43175%69.051.5+17.5
9 Florida43175%79.866.5+13.2
10 Oklahoma43175%63.855.8+8.0
11 Georgia43175%70.266.8+3.5
12 Tennessee32167%74.057.0+17.0
13 Kentucky53260%85.470.4+15.0
14 Texas A&M53260%77.070.8+6.2
15 Vanderbilt42250%70.066.5+3.5
16 South Carolina52340%62.673.6-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC State440100%88.263.5+24.8
2 Virginia440100%79.560.8+18.8
3 Georgia Tech330100%73.356.7+16.7
4 North Carolina440100%80.868.0+12.8
5 Notre Dame440100%78.873.0+5.8
6 Virginia Tech65183%79.765.5+14.2
7 Wake Forest54180%74.067.0+7.0
8 Duke43175%77.852.2+25.5
9 Clemson43175%73.866.2+7.5
10 Syracuse32167%78.066.7+11.3
11 Boston College53260%67.667.6+0.0
12 Stanford42250%70.063.8+6.2
13 Miami (FL)105550%73.371.2+2.1
14 SMU Mustangs42250%64.266.2-2.0
15 Pittsburgh52340%67.271.0-3.8
16 Louisville3030%66.067.0-1.0
17 California4040%61.869.0-7.2
18 Florida State4040%66.876.5-9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas364480
Louisville282654
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.