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Arkansas vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 74-61
31-33 43-28
Position#112
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game63.3
vs
Position#115
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game62.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Arkansas v Troy
13 Nov 2024
ARKA65
TROY49
28 Nov 2022
ARKA74
TROY61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#10
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H18/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#18
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H20/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A24/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A27/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H08/11
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
74-48
74
48
+26
H12/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H17/11
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H21/11
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H23/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
41-44
26-17
27-31
32-29
42-39
33-45
36-33
34-26
42-32
32-21
42-27
41-29
30-27
36-28
44-26
34-40
53-50
26-35
41-32
138.2Avg total
73.7Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.763.3141.0+14.383%
Season at home (5)77.661.2138.8+16.480%
Season away (1)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.764.5138.2+9.280%
Last 5 (5)78.064.4142.4+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.272.5145.8+0.875%
vs Similar ◀ (15)72.768.9141.6+3.973%
vs Weaker (11)76.960.5137.5+16.482%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#311
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#3
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A20/03
CBI
Montevallo
#416
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H08/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#634
W
96-42
96
42
+54
H11/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A15/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H17/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A19/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A20/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#653
W
118-61
118
61
+57
H23/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-26
0-0
32-36
0-0
24-29
0-0
33-37
0-0
27-48
0-0
43-34
0-0
34-31
0-0
53-36
0-0
59-22
0-0
37-20
0-0
32-25
0-0
47-47
0-0
38-29
0-0
35-25
0-0
38-36
0-0
38-42
0-0
26-32
0-0
47-30
0-0
66-30
0-0
52-31
144.4Avg total
79.8Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.062.3148.3+23.786%
Season at home (4)93.556.0149.5+37.5100%
Season away (3)76.070.7146.7+5.367%
Last 10 (10)79.864.6144.4+15.270%
Last 5 (5)83.865.4149.2+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.075.0145.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)67.265.0132.2+2.262%
vs Weaker (11)70.062.6132.6+7.482%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +7.9+7.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +7.9+7.9
ArkansasTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#10
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H18/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#18
W
26-17
26
17
+9
H20/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A24/03
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A27/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H12/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H17/11
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H23/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A24/11
NCAA
62.5Avg total
32.8Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.831.064.8+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.128.161.2+5.074%-
Last 30 away (11)34.936.171.0-1.245%-
Last 10 (10)32.829.762.5+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)33.830.664.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.232.265.5+1.075%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)29.931.160.9-1.247%-
vs Weaker (11)39.330.569.8+8.782%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#311
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H05/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#3
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A20/03
CBI
Montevallo
#416
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H08/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#634
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H11/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A15/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H17/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A20/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#653
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H23/11
NCAA
68.9Avg total
38.1Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.730.164.8+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.727.563.2+8.160%-
Last 30 away (15)33.732.766.4+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.130.868.9+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.030.470.4+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.030.562.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.930.462.3+1.554%-
vs Weaker (11)34.228.762.9+5.555%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas wins
0
Troy wins
No previous meetings.
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/22ASan Diego State78-74 OT
23/11/22HCreighton87-90
21/11/22HLouisville80-54
17/11/22HSouth Dakota St.71-56
12/11/22HFordham74-48
08/11/22HNorth Dakota St76-58
27/03/22ADuke69-78
24/03/22AGonzaga74-68
20/03/22HNew Mexico State53-48
18/03/22HVermont75-71
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22HSouthern-New O.118-61
20/11/22AMontana73-62
19/11/22ASt. Thomas (Minn.)76-78
17/11/22HMerrimack Warriors73-54
15/11/22AFlorida State79-72
11/11/22HMUW Owls96-42
08/11/22HMontevallo87-67
20/03/22AAbilene Christian70-82
06/03/22HLouisiana Lafayette57-66
05/03/22HUALR69-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %83%80%100%
Points / game77.777.678.0
Allowed / game63.361.274.0
Point differential+14.3+16.4+4.0
Avg total141.0138.8152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%100%
Troy
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game86.093.576.0
Allowed / game62.356.070.7
Point differential+23.7+37.5+5.3
Avg total148.3149.5146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas550100%82.252.8+29.4
2 Missouri770100%93.370.1+23.1
3 Auburn770100%70.156.9+13.3
4 Alabama76186%84.369.0+15.3
5 Mississippi St.76186%65.752.0+13.7
6 LSU76186%73.361.7+11.6
7 Oklahoma76186%65.756.9+8.9
8 Ole Miss76186%70.962.9+8.0
9 Tennessee65183%71.755.3+16.3
10 Arkansas65183%77.763.3+14.3
11 Georgia75271%68.964.9+4.0
12 Kentucky64267%87.268.0+19.2
13 Texas A&M64267%77.870.0+7.8
14 Florida74357%76.972.6+4.3
15 Vanderbilt63350%68.766.7+2.0
16 South Carolina63350%63.570.2-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss770100%78.155.1+23.0
2 Troy76186%86.062.3+23.7
3 Marshall65183%86.568.8+17.7
4 Louisiana Lafayette65183%82.771.5+11.2
5 James Madison86275%92.962.8+30.1
6 Appalachian State75271%80.669.4+11.1
7 Coastal Carolina53260%80.463.4+17.0
8 Arkansas State74357%71.363.6+7.7
9 Old Dominion74357%71.466.0+5.4
10 Georgia State74357%68.064.6+3.4
11 Georgia Southern74357%68.966.9+2.0
12 Texas State74357%65.765.0+0.7
13 South Alabama73443%72.666.7+5.9
14 Louisiana Monroe82625%71.072.4-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas314374
Troy332861
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