PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Arkansas vs Vanderbilt Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 93-68
46-35 47-33
Position#36
Record13-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#37
Record16-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arkansas v Vanderbilt
15 Mar 2026
ARKA86
VAND75
20 Jan 2026
ARKA93
VAND68
13 Mar 2024
ARKA90
VAND85
27 Feb 2024
ARKA82
VAND85
04 Jan 2022
ARKA74
VAND75
11 Mar 2020
ARKA86
VAND73
15 Jan 2020
ARKA75
VAND55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vanderbilt winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H06/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H13/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
108-80
108
80
+28
H17/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H20/12
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
103-74
103
74
+29
H30/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H03/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A10/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
108-74
108
74
+34
H15/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-24
48-34
43-49
50-37
60-36
48-44
41-49
44-45
48-28
55-46
37-36
49-39
42-32
52-55
34-49
39-46
50-38
58-36
32-45
44-45
172.1Avg total
90.8Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)89.777.4167.1+12.272%
Season at home (14)93.275.2168.4+18.086%
Season away (4)77.285.2162.5-8.025%
Last 10 (10)90.881.3172.1+9.570%
Last 5 (5)87.484.2171.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.779.5157.2-1.833%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.877.9160.7+4.869%
vs Weaker (11)90.574.6165.2+15.982%
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VanderbiltUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H04/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H13/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
77-70 OT
77
70
+7
A18/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
98-67
98
67
+31
A21/12
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
96-53
96
53
+43
H30/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A03/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
96-90
96
90
+6
H08/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H10/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A15/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
94-98
94
98
-4
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-38
40-31
47-31
36-41
28-22
34-40
54-37
44-30
47-27
49-26
42-34
41-37
43-43
53-47
52-38
32-35
37-42
27-38
45-44
49-54
160.6Avg total
86.3Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)91.473.9165.4+17.589%
Season at home (11)95.272.5167.7+22.691%
Season away (7)85.676.1161.7+9.486%
Last 10 (10)86.374.3160.6+12.080%
Last 5 (5)84.282.4166.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.782.8160.5-5.217%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.879.9160.7+0.960%
vs Weaker (14)90.871.3162.1+19.593%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +2.6+2.6
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: +2.6+2.6
ArkansasVanderbilt
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H06/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H13/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H17/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H20/12
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A10/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H15/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/01
NCAA
80.7Avg total
42.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.376.9+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.735.780.4+9.078%-
Last 30 away (12)34.437.271.6-2.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.680.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.079.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.239.075.2-2.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.238.578.7+1.869%-
vs Weaker (11)43.532.375.7+11.282%-
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VanderbiltLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H13/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
28-22
28
22
+6
A18/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A21/12
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H30/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A03/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H08/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H10/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H17/01
NCAA
79.9Avg total
44.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.834.976.7+6.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.435.378.6+8.165%-
Last 30 away (13)39.834.474.2+5.577%-
Last 10 (10)44.335.679.9+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.284.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.834.069.8+1.867%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.938.677.5+0.340%-
vs Weaker (14)46.532.679.1+13.993%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Arkansas wins
3
Vanderbilt wins
DateGameScore
05/03/25Vanderbilt v Arkansas77-90
13/03/24Arkansas v Vanderbilt90-85 OT
28/02/24Arkansas v Vanderbilt82-85
14/01/23Vanderbilt v Arkansas97-84
05/01/22Arkansas v Vanderbilt74-75
23/01/21Vanderbilt v Arkansas71-92
12/03/20Arkansas v Vanderbilt86-73
16/01/20Arkansas v Vanderbilt75-55
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AGeorgia76-90
15/01/26HSouth Carolina108-74
10/01/26AAuburn73-95
08/01/26AOle Miss94-87
03/01/26HTennessee86-75
30/12/25HJames Madison103-74
20/12/25HHouston85-94
17/12/25HQueens Royals108-80
13/12/25HTexas Tech93-86
06/12/25HFresno State82-58
Vanderbiltlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HFlorida94-98
15/01/26ATexas64-80
10/01/26HLSU84-73
08/01/26HAlabama96-90
03/01/26ASouth Carolina83-71
30/12/25HNew Haven Chargers96-53
21/12/25AWake Forest98-67
18/12/25AMemphis77-70 OT
13/12/25HCentral Arkansas83-72
04/12/25HSMU Mustangs88-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL72%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18144
Win %72%86%25%
Points / game89.793.277.2
Allowed / game77.475.285.2
Point differential+12.2+18.0-8.0
Avg total167.1168.4162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vanderbilt
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL89%
HomeWWWWL91%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %89%91%86%
Points / game91.495.285.6
Allowed / game73.972.576.1
Point differential+17.5+22.6+9.4
Avg total165.4167.7161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%82%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt1816289%91.473.9+17.5
2 Georgia1815383%96.076.2+19.8
3 Texas A&M1814478%91.977.6+14.4
4 Florida1914574%86.172.1+14.1
5 Arkansas1813572%89.777.4+12.2
6 Alabama1813572%93.182.6+10.6
7 Missouri1813572%81.272.2+9.0
8 LSU1913668%83.372.8+10.5
9 Tennessee1812667%82.468.8+13.6
10 Kentucky1812667%82.970.2+12.8
11 Texas1811761%86.374.4+11.9
12 Auburn1811761%85.878.7+7.2
13 Ole Miss1811761%76.070.8+5.2
14 Mississippi St.1811761%80.376.6+3.7
15 Oklahoma1911858%83.575.3+8.3
16 South Carolina1911858%78.872.0+6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas464793
Vanderbilt353368
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.