Arlans vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Jan 2026

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 69-71

15-19 15-16 20-18 19-18

Position#11

Record5-8

FormLLLLW

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game79.4

Arlans

ChelSU Kostanay 🏆

Position#8

Record10-6

FormWWWWW

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game76.9

Higher League

Other2025-26

Meetings · Arlans v ChelSU Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arlans winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

ChelSU Kostanay winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arlans

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormArlans

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau 2

#15

70-56

+14

58avg 64

A16/10

Higher League

AiRom

#13

79-66

+13

82avg 64

A17/10

Higher League

Aktobe

84-94

-10

79avg 64

A08/11

Higher League

Aktobe

56-76

-20

45avg 64

H09/11

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

97-113

113

-16

79avg 64

A06/01

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

75-94

-19

65avg 64

H07/01

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

57-104

104

-47

41avg 64

A08/01

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

63-77

-14

48avg 64

H09/01

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

73-77

-4

no box

H18/01

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

93-66

+27

no box

A19/01

Higher League

27-14

11-13

15-9

17-20

29-12

16-14

18-22

16-18

22-19

20-27

21-31

21-17

11-19

15-20

18-22

12-15

29-32

16-33

24-24

28-24

18-28

24-28

16-17

17-21

15-34

14-30

18-27

10-13

18-13

19-17

14-25

12-22

17-16

19-12

17-22

20-27

20-20

30-13

27-27

16-6

157.0Avg total

74.7Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	75.6	79.4	155.0	-3.8	38%
Season at home (6)	70.0	79.0	149.0	-9.0	17%
Season away (7)	80.4	79.7	160.1	+0.7	57%
Last 10 (10)	74.7	82.3	157.0	-7.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	83.6	155.8	-11.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	74.5	89.5	164.0	-15.0	17%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	76.0	78.5	154.5	-2.5	25%
vs Weaker (3)	77.3	60.3	137.7	+17.0	100%

This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ChelSU Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Shymkent

73-108

108

-35

63avg 61

H12/11

Higher League

Turan

70-91

-21

66avg 61

A13/11

Higher League

Shymkent

72-102

102

-30

56avg 61

H14/11

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

83-78

78avg 61

H15/11

Higher League

Atyrau 2

99-57

+42

no box

H22/11

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau 2

#15

75-45

+30

67avg 61

A23/11

Higher League

Atyrau 2

95-72

+23

92avg 61

H24/11

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau 2

#15

80-59

+21

82avg 61

A25/11

Higher League

Arlans

#11

77-73

no box

A18/01

Higher League

AiRom

#13

62-55

no box

H19/01

Higher League

15-32

12-28

23-20

23-28

17-32

20-15

15-20

18-24

17-29

16-29

23-29

16-15

26-15

21-17

18-18

18-28

25-15

27-15

31-14

16-13

23-13

19-14

14-7

19-11

22-15

26-29

19-17

28-11

24-12

19-13

11-19

26-15

16-17

12-19

22-17

27-20

18-12

15-20

16-16

13-7

152.6Avg total

78.6Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	75.6	76.9	152.4	-1.3	62%
Season at home (9)	80.9	77.3	158.2	+3.6	78%
Season away (7)	68.7	76.3	145.0	-7.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	74.0	152.6	+4.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	60.8	138.6	+17.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	66.9	84.2	151.1	-17.2	12%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	71.4	72.6	144.0	-1.2	60%
vs Weaker (9)	70.6	54.6	125.1	+16.0	89%

This opponent (Arlans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ArlansChelSU Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.5	54%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	15.5	18.3	33.8	-2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	24.3	21.0	45.3	+3.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.2	39.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	23.0	40.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.2	19.2	37.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	28.0	14.0	42.0	+14.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	21.6	39.7	-3.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	21.1	40.9	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	22.1	38.5	-5.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	13.8	34.4	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	15.9	26.7	42.6	-10.8	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.9	12.8	34.6	+9.1	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	16.9	19.4	36.3	-2.5	38%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	15.7	18.7	34.3	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (7)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	13.7	24.2	37.8	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	23.0	17.5	40.5	+5.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	15.3	12.3	27.7	+3.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.1	19.6	35.8	-3.5	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	20.5	38.2	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.4	18.7	33.1	-4.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	14.7	22.2	36.9	-7.6	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	15.8	17.4	33.2	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.2	15.8	35.0	+3.5	62%	-

ArlansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau 2

#15

38-27

+11

A16/10

Higher League

AiRom

#13

45-26

+19

A17/10

Higher League

Aktobe

42-46

-4

A08/11

Higher League

Aktobe

26-39

-13

H09/11

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

45-65

-20

A06/01

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

42-56

-14

H07/01

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

29-64

-35

A08/01

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

37-30

H09/01

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

36-28

H18/01

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

50-33

+17

A19/01

Higher League

80.4Avg total

39.0Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	37.2	39.2	76.3	-2.0	46%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	31.2	37.0	68.2	-5.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (7)	42.3	41.0	83.3	+1.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	41.4	80.4	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	42.2	81.0	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	31.3	47.2	78.5	-15.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	41.2	36.8	78.0	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	26.3	69.7	+17.0	100%	-

This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Shymkent

27-60

-33

H12/11

Higher League

Turan

37-47

-10

A13/11

Higher League

Shymkent

33-58

-25

H14/11

Higher League

Tobol Kostanay 2

#12

47-32

+15

H15/11

Higher League

Atyrau 2

52-30

+22

H22/11

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau 2

#15

42-27

+15

A23/11

Higher League

Atyrau 2

48-44

H24/11

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau 2

#15

43-25

+18

A25/11

Higher League

Arlans

#11

28-36

-8

A18/01

Higher League

AiRom

#13

33-32

H19/01

Higher League

78.1Avg total

39.0Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	34.3	41.2	75.5	-6.9	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	41.6	79.1	-4.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	30.9	40.8	71.6	-9.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	39.1	78.1	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	32.8	71.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	30.6	48.9	79.6	-18.3	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	35.0	36.8	71.8	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.1	28.5	69.6	+12.6	88%	-

This opponent (Arlans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.1	21.4	41.6	-1.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.6	41.4	-3.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.6	42.0	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.7	23.0	44.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.5	22.8	41.2	-4.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	13.7	30.7	+3.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.6	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	17.6	34.6	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.7	36.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	15.2	31.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.8	15.9	33.6	+1.9	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (7)	18.0	17.3	35.3	+0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.3	35.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	17.8	32.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.5	19.3	40.8	+2.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	16.2	19.0	35.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	16.7	34.4	+0.9	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	17.4	35.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	16.0	33.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	12.8	35.4	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.3	15.9	33.2	+1.4	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	38.5	40.2	78.7	-1.8	46%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	38.8	42.0	80.8	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (7)	38.1	38.7	76.9	-0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	40.9	76.6	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	41.4	74.8	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	43.2	42.3	85.5	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	34.8	41.8	76.5	-7.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	34.0	34.0	68.0	+0.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.2	34.7	70.9	+1.5	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.0	35.7	73.7	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.2	33.6	67.8	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	34.9	74.5	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	28.0	67.0	+11.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	36.3	35.2	71.6	+1.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	36.4	35.8	72.2	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	35.8	32.9	68.6	+2.9	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Arlanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arlans: 73.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀24%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.2 pts a game · 24% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game

56%

30%

14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	20.5	49.4%	49.5%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	5.8	24.2%	28.5%	17.2
🏀 Free throws	24.5	14.8	60.2%	63.9%	14.8

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

ChelSU Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.5	30.0	60.6%	49.5%	60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	6.5	24.5%	28.5%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	25.2	17.5	69.3%	63.9%	17.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.5	30.0	60.6%	49.5%	60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	6.5	24.5%	28.5%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	25.2	17.5	69.3%	63.9%	17.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Arlans wins

ChelSU Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
18/01/26	Arlans v ChelSU Kostanay	73-77

Arlanslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/26	A	Tobol Kostanay 2	93-66
18/01/26	H	ChelSU Kostanay	73-77
09/01/26	H	CHAMP1ON	63-77
08/01/26	A	BC Almaty 2	57-104
07/01/26	H	CHAMP1ON	75-94
06/01/26	A	BC Almaty 2	97-113
09/11/25	H	Aktobe	56-76
08/11/25	A	Aktobe	84-94
17/10/25	A	AiRom	79-66
16/10/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau 2	70-56

ChelSU Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/26	H	AiRom	62-55
18/01/26	A	Arlans	77-73
25/11/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau 2	80-59
24/11/25	H	Atyrau 2	95-72
23/11/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau 2	75-45
22/11/25	H	Atyrau 2	99-57
15/11/25	H	Tobol Kostanay 2	83-78
14/11/25	H	Shymkent	72-102
13/11/25	A	Turan	70-91
12/11/25	H	Shymkent	73-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arlans

Higher League 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	38%
Home	LLLLL	17%
Away	WLLLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	38%	17%	57%
Points / game	75.6	70.0	80.4
Allowed / game	79.4	79.0	79.7
Point differential	-3.8	-9.0	+0.7
Avg total	155.0	149.0	160.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	17%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

ChelSU Kostanay

Higher League 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	62%
Home	LWWWW	78%
Away	LLWWW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	62%	78%	43%
Points / game	75.6	80.9	68.7
Allowed / game	76.9	77.3	76.3
Point differential	-1.3	+3.6	-7.6
Avg total	152.4	158.2	145.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	33%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Turan	18	18	0	100%	89.6	60.4	+29.2
2	Aktobe	16	15	1	94%	86.9	66.7	+20.2
3	Shymkent	18	16	2	89%	97.6	69.8	+27.7
4	Atyrau 2	18	14	4	78%	78.2	69.7	+8.4
5	Bars Petropavlovsk	16	11	5	69%	83.4	63.9	+19.6
6	ChelSU Kostanay	16	10	6	62%	75.6	76.9	-1.3
7	BC Almaty 2	16	8	8	50%	78.2	73.9	+4.4
8	CHAMP1ON	16	7	9	44%	70.4	72.4	-2.1
9	Arlans	13	5	8	38%	75.6	79.4	-3.8
10	Tigers-KazATU	16	5	11	31%	67.1	81.5	-14.4
11	Karaganda	15	4	11	27%	76.5	82.5	-5.9
12	Tobol Kostanay 2	17	3	14	18%	70.6	82.5	-11.8
13	AiRom	14	2	12	14%	60.8	78.3	-17.5
14	Pavlodar	15	2	13	13%	53.5	88.9	-35.4
15	Kaspiy Aktau 2	18	1	17	6%	57.2	83.9	-26.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Arlans	15	15	20	19	69
ChelSU Kostanay	19	16	18	18	71

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Arlans vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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