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Malbas vs Aros Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 80-73
18-17 20-17 21-21 21-18
Position#2
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game78.7
Malbas 🏆
Sweden
vs
Position#13
Record1-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game85.3
SwedenSuperettan· Heleneholms Sporthall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Malbas v Aros Basket
25 Oct 2025
MALB80
AROS73
06 Apr 2025
MALB60
AROS92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aros Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#12
L
78-90
78
90
-12
71avg 76
A23/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
L
60-92
60
92
-32
50avg 76
H06/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
W
80-68
80
68
+12
71avg 76
H13/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
54-69
54
69
-15
46avg 76
A21/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
W
84-62
84
62
+22
86avg 76
H27/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
69-88
69
88
-19
59avg 76
H01/05
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
55avg 76
A04/05
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
88-95
88
95
-7
76avg 76
A20/09
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
96-67
96
67
+29
88avg 76
H28/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
95-74
95
74
+21
92avg 76
H05/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
18-26
23-14
20-29
12-28
17-14
13-26
18-24
19-18
17-15
20-19
24-16
24-13
10-19
11-13
9-24
19-17
23-20
18-16
24-9
16-28
12-25
19-17
22-18
13-20
21-27
15-24
18-17
14-22
25-18
23-25
26-30
29-18
22-14
22-19
23-16
14-27
31-19
32-16
18-12
156.4Avg total
77.1Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.078.7171.7+14.367%
Season at home (2)95.570.5166.0+25.0100%
Season away (1)88.095.0183.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)77.179.3156.4-2.240%
Last 5 (5)83.082.4165.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.082.0149.0-15.00%
vs Similar (7)81.368.3149.6+13.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.375.7161.1+9.663%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#9
W
79-56
79
56
+23
82avg 71
H22/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
59-85
59
85
-26
44avg 71
A29/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
77-83
77
83
-6
61avg 71
A05/04
Superettan
Malbas
#5
W
92-60
92
60
+32
82avg 71
A06/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
71-80
71
80
-9
60avg 71
H12/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
70-94
70
94
-24
56avg 71
A21/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
79-72
79
72
+7
72avg 71
H25/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 71
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
69-107
69
107
-38
64avg 71
A05/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
70-83
70
83
-13
63avg 71
A11/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
13-11
16-18
24-9
14-25
16-24
16-17
13-19
17-19
13-25
18-17
29-22
28-12
14-17
26-13
24-18
15-18
14-22
23-15
19-25
12-25
18-27
22-20
18-22
19-25
17-17
22-20
21-10
19-12
12-13
19-26
26-15
13-26
26-34
16-24
14-23
17-27
20-15
18-20
15-21
152.8Avg total
74.2Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.785.3157.0-13.733%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)71.785.3157.0-13.733%
Last 10 (10)74.278.6152.8-4.440%
Last 5 (5)72.884.4157.2-11.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.284.0160.2-7.833%
vs Similar (11)77.177.5154.5-0.455%
vs Weaker (10)83.480.1163.5+3.360%
This opponent (Malbas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
MalbasAros Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#12
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A23/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H06/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H13/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A21/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H27/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
H01/05
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A04/05
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A20/09
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H28/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H05/10
Superettan
78.2Avg total
37.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.037.379.3+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.238.082.2+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)39.436.675.9+2.864%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.978.2-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.683.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.543.278.8-7.825%-
vs Similar (7)41.933.975.7+8.086%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.437.480.7+6.068%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A29/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A05/04
Superettan
Malbas
#5
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A06/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H12/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A21/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H25/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A05/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/10
Superettan
75.5Avg total
34.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.981.2-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.037.979.9+4.146%-
Last 30 away (17)38.943.282.1-4.441%-
Last 10 (10)34.341.275.5-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.644.278.8-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.744.684.2-4.922%-
vs Similar (11)37.538.576.0-1.155%-
vs Weaker (10)43.840.384.1+3.550%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.3
54.9%
50.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.98.0
26.8%
30.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.711.7
70.1%
67.0%11.7
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.9
50.4%
50.7%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.05.8
25.2%
30.9%17.4
🏀 Free throws21.113.9
65.9%
67.0%13.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas
WWLLLWLWLL
Aros Basket
LLWWLLWLLW
#2
League position
#13
-2.3
Net rating
-6.4
99.3
Offensive rating
94.3
101.7
Defensive rating
100.7
48.3%
Effective FG%
45.9%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.6%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
26.8%
3-point %
25.2%
66.4%
Assist %
60.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 94.3Defence101.7 · 100.7Shooting48.3% · 45.9%3-point %26.8% · 25.2%Ball care18.3% · 19.6%Off. rebounds28.8% · 28.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Malbas   ■ Aros Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Malbas wins
1
Aros Basket wins
DateGameScore
06/04/25Malbas v Aros Basket60-92
21/09/24Aros Basket v Malbas66-70
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25HWetterbygden Stars95-74
28/09/25HTrelleborg96-67
20/09/25AEskilstuna88-95
04/05/25ASloga Uppsala67-88
01/05/25HSloga Uppsala69-88
27/04/25HOckelbo84-62
21/04/25AOckelbo54-69
13/04/25HDjurgarden80-68
06/04/25HAros Basket60-92
23/03/25AAIK Basket78-90
Aros Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25ASollentuna70-83
05/10/25AFryshuset Basket69-107
27/09/25AWetterbygden Stars76-66
25/04/25HKFUM Fryshuset79-72
21/04/25AKFUM Fryshuset70-94
12/04/25HOckelbo71-80
06/04/25AMalbas92-60
05/04/25AIK Eos77-83
29/03/25AOckelbo59-85
22/03/25HHuddinge79-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game93.095.588.0
Allowed / game78.770.595.0
Point differential+14.3+25.0-7.0
Avg total171.7166.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aros Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
Home--
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game71.7-71.7
Allowed / game85.3-85.3
Point differential-13.7--13.7
Avg total157.0-157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fryshuset Basket76186%89.676.9+12.7
2 IK Eos43175%76.567.0+9.5
3 Ockelbo43175%75.274.2+1.0
4 Malbas32167%93.078.7+14.3
5 Djurgarden53260%86.677.4+9.2
6 Sollentuna53260%79.673.4+6.2
7 Eskilstuna53260%86.085.6+0.4
8 Alvik42250%82.280.0+2.2
9 Wetterbygden Stars63350%75.879.8-4.0
10 Huddinge52340%81.683.8-2.2
11 Trelleborg52340%75.283.8-8.6
12 Aros Basket31233%71.785.3-13.7
13 AIK Basket5050%77.084.8-7.8
14 Blackeberg5050%67.087.8-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malbas1820212180
Aros Basket1717211873
← all games of the day
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