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ASA vs Caen Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#19
Record3-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record4-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game87.9
FrancePro BRound 21· Espace Sport La Forêt
Other2026-27
Meetings · ASA v Caen
29 Jan 2027
ASA v CAEN
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
ASA80
CAEN74
18 Mar 2025
ASA80
CAEN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ASA win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Caen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ASAFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormASA
Date
Competition
Orleans
#3
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
74avg 79
H15/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 79
A25/09
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
85-74
85
74
+11
81avg 79
H02/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
67-90
67
90
-23
61avg 79
A10/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 79
A16/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
L
76-85
76
85
-9
65avg 79
H20/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
L
90-99
90
99
-9
88avg 79
A23/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
93-70
93
70
+23
89avg 79
H30/10
Pro B
Caen
#12
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
A06/11
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
103-108
103
108
-5
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
11-22
15-18
23-20
20-33
23-18
23-29
22-15
16-26
25-17
20-20
24-11
21-22
16-22
18-15
12-31
14-18
28-27
13-18
23-26
28-21
15-16
17-25
16-23
23-15
16-32
26-25
25-27
26-28
20-10
18-19
29-13
15-20
23-17
21-19
16-19
21-21
28-27
22-25
32-35
172.3Avg total
84.7Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.288.3173.6-3.133%
Season at home (4)89.284.2173.5+5.050%
Season away (5)82.091.6173.6-9.620%
Last 10 (10)84.787.6172.3-2.930%
Last 5 (5)89.889.4179.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.886.5161.2-11.825%
vs Similar ◀ (22)85.986.5172.4-0.645%
vs Weaker (4)88.882.0170.8+6.875%
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Antibes
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 71
A15/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
88avg 71
H25/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
115-111 OT
115
111
+4
102avg 71
A02/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
90-77
90
77
+13
82avg 71
H09/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
76-80
76
80
-4
63avg 71
A16/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 71
H20/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
68avg 71
H23/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
77-102
77
102
-25
65avg 71
A30/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
14-24
38-28
27-17
22-16
27-23
19-25
13-17
22-18
22-25
20-21
28-28
24-27
31-24
14-10
21-16
19-24
17-17
21-16
19-23
19-15
23-20
15-20
15-26
17-14
21-26
14-22
22-17
20-21
19-25
22-28
16-28
20-15
17-23
19-21
19-16
23-17
24-19
20-20
19-27
174.0Avg total
86.3Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.687.9173.4-2.344%
Season at home (5)83.283.0166.2+0.240%
Season away (4)88.594.0182.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)86.387.7174.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)78.886.4165.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.983.5158.4-8.628%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.486.0171.4-0.656%
vs Weaker (3)87.086.3173.3+0.767%
This opponent (ASA) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
ASACaen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ASALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#3
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H15/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A25/09
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H02/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A10/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A16/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H20/10
Pro B
Nantes
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A23/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H30/10
Pro B
Caen
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A06/11
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H13/11
Pro B
83.4Avg total
41.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.784.4-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.542.586.0+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.982.7-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.383.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.484.4+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.842.282.0-2.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)41.542.984.4-1.336%-
vs Weaker (4)44.242.286.5+2.075%-
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antibes
#15
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A15/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H25/09
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A02/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H09/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A16/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H23/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A30/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H06/11
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/11
Pro B
82.5Avg total
41.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.939.280.1+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)37.640.377.9-2.757%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.082.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.079.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.538.676.1-1.156%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.440.682.0+0.967%-
vs Weaker (3)44.344.088.3+0.367%-
This opponent (ASA) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ASAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ASA: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.8
54.8%
53.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.4
32.4%
33.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.317.2
73.8%
74.0%17.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.3
51.9%
53.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.0
33.0%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.2
72.6%
74.0%16.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ASA
LWWLLLLWLL
Caen
WLLLLLWWWW
#19
League position
#12
-4.0
Net rating
-4.3
92.8
Offensive rating
92.4
96.8
Defensive rating
96.7
52.0%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.4%
3-point %
33.0%
73.4%
Assist %
57.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 92.4Defence96.8 · 96.7Shooting52.0% · 50.9%3-point %32.4% · 33.0%Ball care18.0% · 16.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ ASA   ■ Caen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
ASA wins
0
Caen wins
DateGameScore
06/11/26Caen v ASA85-87 OT
24/04/26Caen v ASA70-79
28/10/25ASA v Caen80-74
18/03/25ASA v Caen80-77
10/01/25Caen v ASA69-75
ASAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HHyeres-Toulon103-108
06/11/26ACaen87-85 OT
30/10/26HAix Maurienne93-70
23/10/26ANantes90-99
20/10/26HSt. Chamond76-85
16/10/26ALevallois78-89
10/10/26AQuimper67-90
02/10/26HAntibes85-74
25/09/26ALa Rochelle88-95
15/05/26HOrleans80-81 OT
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ADenain-Voltaire86-83
06/11/26HASA85-87 OT
30/10/26AAntibes77-102
23/10/26HPoitiers74-79
20/10/26HQuimper72-81
16/10/26AVichy76-80
09/10/26HHyeres-Toulon90-77
02/10/26ASt. Chamond115-111 OT
25/09/26HAix Maurienne95-91 OT
15/05/26AAntibes93-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ASA
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game85.289.282.0
Allowed / game88.384.291.6
Point differential-3.1+5.0-9.6
Avg total173.6173.5173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Caen
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game85.683.288.5
Allowed / game87.983.094.0
Point differential-2.3+0.2-5.5
Avg total173.4166.2182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %33%40%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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